Politics
UKIP surge in opinion polls

Neil Hamilton: Thought to be a mid and west regional Assembly candidate
IN SPITE of a troubled Assembly election campaign, the failure of the National Executive to ratify any candidates as we move within three months of the elections and the resignation of a UKIP councillor in protest over the parachuting in of prominent UKIP members onto the regional lists, the party has increased their projected vote share to 18% according to a recent poll.
If this was replicated on voting day, it would lead to UKIP gaining nine regional Assembly seats – including two in mid and west Wales.
Support for Labour has slipped to 31%, which is around 10% lower than in the run-up to the 2011 elections, where the party gained 30 seats and formed a minority government.
The party is currently predicted to win 27 seats, of which two are regional, leaving them four seats short of a majority. However, support for both Plaid Cymru and the Welsh Conservatives appears to be unchanged, beyond the 1% margin of error, meaning that the parties look likely to win 10 and 12 seats respectively. This would mean that, if these figures were reflected on voting day, it would take a coalition of Plaid Cymru, the Conservatives, and UKIP to gain a working majority.
YouGov shows consistently higher levels of support for UKIP than other polls. At the last election it showed significantly higher shares of the vote for both Labour and UKIP than were actually returned in the election poll. However, surveys suggest that UKIP voters and Plaid Cymru voters are more likely to vote that Conservative, Liberal Democrat, and Labour voters.
It is unlikely that Plaid Cymru and the Conservatives would work in a coalition together. Leanne Wood, Adam Price and Helen Mary Jones – all of whom advised against the ‘rainbow coalition’ in 2007, are likely to be elected to the Assembly.
While the Welsh Conservatives have not yet announced their intentions regarding EU membership, leader Andrew RT Davies has said that there need to be an open discussion about the subject. This, allied with remarks he made at the Conservative Party conference last year in which he asked for England to ‘take Mark Reckless back’ would seem to indicate that a Conservative UKIP coalition would be unlikely.
Plaid Cymru are ideologically opposed to UKIP on several key points including EU membership. In addition, the party lost seats following a coalition with Labour. It is hard to see how a coalition with the Conservatives and UKIP would not cost them far more, especially as the party is the only one in Wales to call itself socialist.
A return to the 2007 One Wales coalition between Plaid Cymru and Labour has been predicted by some pundits. However, some campaigners during the 2015 General Election claimed that overt support given to Ed Milliband’s Labour government cost the party dearly on the doorstep. Andrew RT Davies has already begun to make political capital out of this, casting his party as the only alternative to a Welsh Labour-led administration.
It is hard to understand why UKIP has delayed in announcing candidates, when at least two south west Wales branches held local hustings before Christmas. UKIP are highly unlikely to win any constituency seats in the area, and the suspicion remains that, with the probable exception of Neil Hamilton in Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, local party members will stand for the constituencies, while the more winnable regional seats will be contested by more high-profile candidates, such as Mr Reckless and UKIP press officer Alexandra Phillips.
The Herald asked UKIP for a statement regarding its candidates over two weeks ago. That request, addressed to Alexandra Philips as UKIP Wales’ Press Officer, was not favoured with either an acknowledgement or response,
Business
Haverfordwest Kings Arms pub basement flat scheme refused
A SCHEME to convert the basement of a Grade-II-listed former pub in a Pembrokeshire town’s conservation area to a flat has been refused by planners who said it would create an “oppressive living environment”.
In the application to Pembrokeshire County Council, Toyeb Ali Rahman, through agent Hayston Developments & Planning Ltd, sought permission to convert the basement of the former Kings Arms Hotel, Dew Street, Haverfordwest, the building most recently used as an Indian takeaway, to a residential flat.
A supporting statement said: “The Kings Arms Public House was a public house and was formerly a coaching house with a range of former stables to the rear which have been converted to dwellings. It is a mid-terrace property fronting the western side of Dew Street close to the town centre of Haverfordwest,” adding: “Since closure the public house has been used as a takeaway restaurant and is a mixture of flats and offices.”
It went on to say: “The application proposal only involves a small-scale conversion of a basement storage area associated with the former Kings Arms Hotel to a one bedroom residential flat. There would be no extensions with the only external alteration to the building being the replacement of a poorly detailed metal roller shutter door with conventional domestic entrance door with sidelight.
“As such, there would be no change to the impact of the building or proposal on the locality. In fact, basement area is not at all visible from the street scene along Dew Street.”
However, the scheme was refused by county planners on three points.
“The proposed change of use would result in a self-contained residential unit that fails to provide an acceptable standard of residential amenity for future occupiers. The habitable accommodation would be served by no external windows, resulting in inadequate levels of natural daylight and outlook and creating a poor-quality and oppressive living environment.
“Furthermore, insufficient information has been submitted to demonstrate that adequate ventilation, air quality, and moisture control could be achieved without harm to the character and appearance of the listed building.”
Planners also said the proposals would, through its design and use of materials, “fail to respect the special architectural and historic interest of the listed building”.
The final reason for refusal was the scheme would “result in an increase in nitrogen discharges draining into the Milford Haven Inner waterbody of the Pembrokeshire Marine Special Area of Conservation (SAC) where features are known to be in unfavourable condition due to current evidence of both chemical and biological failure,” with insufficient information to demonstrate mitigation measures which would allow the proposed development to achieve nutrient neutrality.
News
New Welsh Government plastic bans held up by internal market talks
Cardiff under pressure from industry and environmental groups as new restrictions loom
THE WELSH GOVERNMENT has confirmed that further bans on single-use plastic products will not be enacted before the end of the current Senedd term — but reiterated its commitment to phasing out what it calls “unnecessary” plastics to protect the environment.
In a written statement on Wednesday (Feb 11), Deputy First Minister and Cabinet Secretary for Climate Change and Rural Affairs Huw Irranca-Davies said planned “Phase 2” restrictions under the Environmental Protection (Single-use Plastic Products) (Wales) Act 2023 will be delayed as officials work with UK governments to secure an exemption from the United Kingdom Internal Market Act 2020 (UKIMA).
Phase 1 of the act, which came into force in October 2023, already bans a range of commonly littered items such as plastic cutlery, drinks stirrers, polystyrene cups and takeaway containers.
Under Phase 2, ministers had intended to restrict polystyrene lids, single-use plastic carrier bags and products made of oxo-degradable plastic by spring 2026 — but Mr Irranca-Davies said that timetable is no longer feasible this term due to the ongoing negotiations over internal market arrangements.
“We are committed to seeing polystyrene lids … plastic single-use carrier bags or products made of oxo-degradable plastic banned and are working to achieve that as soon as possible,” he said in the statement.
Environmental groups and campaigners have welcomed the Government’s overall ambition but stressed the urgency of moving from pledges to action.
A spokesperson for Keep Wales Tidy said the original legislation was a crucial step in tackling plastic waste, noting that plastics remain one of the most common forms of litter found on beaches and in waterways. “This move shows intent, but communities are looking for swift implementation,” the group added in a recent comment on social media about Wales’s ongoing efforts to reduce single-use plastics.
Wales was one of the first parts of the UK to target carrier bags, introducing a 5p charge for single-use plastic bags in 2011, which saw usage drop dramatically — by over 90 per cent according to government data.
Critics from parts of the business community, including hospitality and retail sectors, have previously expressed concerns over the practical impacts of rapidly changing plastic regulations, particularly where alternatives are not readily available or where internal market uncertainties create compliance challenges for firms operating across the UK.
Mr Irranca-Davies said the Welsh Government remains committed to the wider goals of its Beyond Recycling circular economy strategy — including a **zero-waste **ambition by 2050 — and to ending what he described as a “throw-away culture” that harms the environment and future generations.
He also highlighted progress already made: Wales now ranks among the world’s highest for household recycling rates, a significant rise from less than five per cent at the point of devolution.
The Government says wet wipes containing plastic will be restricted from 18 December 2026 and that it will continue working with UK partners to resolve internal market issues and push remaining bans forward.
Business
Redevelopment plans at Clunderwen dairy farm approved
PLANS for new livestock buildings at a Pembrokeshire dairy farm, aimed at “improved animal husbandry” will not lead to an increase in herd size, councillors heard.
In an application recommended for approval at the February meeting of Pembrokeshire County Council’s planning committee, Mr Roblin of Clynderwen Farm, Clunderwen, sought permission for two livestock building at the 210-hectare dairy farm of 280 cows and 235 head of young stock.
A report for members said each livestock accommodation building would have a length of 77 m, a width of 33m, an eaves height of 3.6m and a ridge height of 8.9m.
Both buildings would be parallel to each other and would cover a footprint of 5,082sqm (2,541sqm each). The proposal includes a total of 308 cubicles, loafing and feed areas, with a central feed passage in the middle.
It said the buildings at the site, some 200 metres from the nearby Redhill school and just over a kilometre from Clunderwen, would sit a little lower than those already on site, and the proposals would not lead to any increase in herd size.
Speaking at the meeting, agent Gethin Beynon said the scheme would lead to “improved animal husbandry to serve the existing milking herd and to support the next farming generation”.
He told members the application was accompanied by environmental enhancements and screening, with no objections from members of the public or any statutory bodies.
Mr Beynon went on to say the herd was currently housed in historic farm site buildings that “fall short of current standards,” with a farm move towards Holstein cattle which need more space.
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“It will improve animal husbandry and efficiencies in what is currently a challenging market,” he concluded.
Approval was moved by Cllr Alan Dennison, seconded by Cllr Brian Hall, and unanimously backed by committee members.
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