Politics
Economist warns of Brexit dangers

Peter Midmore: Concerned
PROFESSOR Peter Midmore from Aberystwyth University has informed Assembly Members about the challenges for the Welsh Government with a rural policy outside the European Union.
In evidence to the Climate Change, Environment and Rural Affairs Committee, economist Peter Midmore said:
“The most important unresolved question at present is the shape of the post-Brexit trade agreement with the EU-27. Single market access would be the best immediate outcome for Welsh agriculture, because physical market logistics are integrated with continental supply chains.
“However, the current stance of the negotiating partners does not suggest a speedy or completely liberal outcome.
“In the short to medium term, most-favoured nation access to European markets (that is, in the absence of any immediate UKEU trade agreement) would, for example, imply a 12.8% tariff plus €1,713 per tonne for sheep meat exports.”
Simon Thomas, one of the Assembly Members quizzing Professor Midmore, advocated membership of single market as the best way forward for Welsh agriculture.
Mid and West AM, Simon Thomas Plaid Cymru’s Shadow Cabinet Secretary for Energy, Climate Change and Rural Affairs said:
“It was disappointing to see Labour AMs vote with UKIP, and the Conservatives against membership of the single market in the Senedd chamber.
“Plaid Cymru is united around what we think is the best deal for Wales and for our rural communities. Access to the single market is not enough. We need membership to the single market in order to really reap the benefits for our farming industry.”
News
Ben Lake backs tougher protections for rural heating oil customers
CMA calls for new regulatory regime after households faced cancelled orders and sharp price increases
BEN LAKE MP has welcomed proposals for stronger protections for households that rely on heating oil, following a major investigation by the Competition and Markets Authority.
The Ceredigion Preseli MP said people living in rural and off-grid communities should receive protections comparable to those available to customers connected to the mains gas and electricity networks.
Around 1.5 million UK households depend on heating oil. Customers currently lack several protections available elsewhere in the energy market, including consistent support for vulnerable people and access to independent dispute resolution when complaints cannot be settled directly with suppliers.
The CMA launched its investigation after conflict in the Middle East disrupted supplies and caused heating oil prices to rise sharply earlier this year.
Its final report found that the market remained generally competitive and that suppliers had not profited materially from the crisis. Most of the increase was attributed to higher wholesale costs.
However, the regulator concluded that customers remained particularly exposed during periods of disruption, with uncertainty over prices, deliveries and the support available when problems arose.
In Wales, the average retail price rose from 64p per litre in February to 106p in March, an increase of 42p. Across the UK, prices peaked at 123p per litre in April, 92% above February’s average.
The CMA has recommended a proportionate regulatory regime requiring heating oil suppliers to register and meet minimum standards.
Proposed protections would cover the way prices are quoted, how cancellations are handled and access to independent dispute resolution. Suppliers could also be required to explain available payment plans and minimum purchase quantities more clearly.
A register of vulnerable customers has also been proposed, alongside a review of minimum-order rules to determine whether households should be allowed to buy smaller quantities.
Heating oil is generally purchased in bulk, leaving households facing bills of £500 or more at a time. The CMA said allowing smaller orders could make the fuel more accessible to customers experiencing financial difficulties.
Ben Lake old The Herald: “I welcome the Competition and Markets Authority’s call for a new regulatory regime for heating oil suppliers, together with action to compensate households affected by last-minute order cancellations earlier this year.
“Requiring suppliers to meet minimum standards, clearly explain payment plans and minimum purchases, and maintain a register of vulnerable households would help protect off-grid customers during sudden price increases or periods of crisis.
“These recommendations are welcome, but I will also be pressing for similar protections to be introduced for households that rely on LPG.”
The CMA estimates that around 1,700 customers may have had orders cancelled in circumstances that breached their contracts.
Although those customers received refunds, some were forced to place replacement orders at much higher prices, potentially leaving them between £150 and £350 worse off. Others were unable to obtain replacement fuel.
Several suppliers have agreed to compensate affected customers. Those who paid more for a replacement delivery are expected to receive the difference, while customers who did not purchase replacement oil should have their original orders honoured at the agreed price.
The CMA said some suppliers had not yet agreed to provide compensation and warned that it was preparing possible court enforcement action.
Mr Lake said the regulator’s findings reflected concerns raised by constituents across Ceredigion Preseli.
He said: “The conclusions of the CMA’s report will not surprise residents of Ceredigion Preseli.
“Many saw the price of their regular fuel deliveries changing at very short notice during the Middle East fuel crisis. I am also aware of cases where customers were not told the final price until the delivery lorry had arrived at their property.
“Ceredigion Preseli has one of the highest proportions of households in Great Britain that are not connected to the mains gas network. The crisis therefore had a disproportionate effect on the amount many residents were forced to pay to heat their homes.”
Mr Lake welcomed the commitment to compensate affected households but said further information was needed about how eligible customers would receive payments.
He added: “I welcome the announcement that compensation will be paid, but the eligibility and process remain unclear.
“I have asked for further details about how customers can make sure they receive the money they are owed. I am determined that constituents in Ceredigion Preseli should receive every penny of compensation to which they are entitled.”
The CMA will now work with the UK and devolved governments, regulators and the heating oil industry to consider how its recommendations should be implemented.
News
Stephen Kinnock begins work as new Secretary of State for Wales
Aberafan Maesteg MP promises to champion Welsh interests and work closely with governments and institutions across Wales
STEPHEN KINNOCK has begun work as Secretary of State for Wales after being appointed to Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s new Cabinet.
The Aberafan Maesteg MP was appointed Welsh Secretary on Monday, July 20, having previously served as a Minister of State at the Department of Health and Social Care.
Mr Kinnock said he would provide a strong voice for Wales within the UK Government and promised an open and collaborative approach to the role.
He said he would work with the Welsh Government, local authorities and institutions across the country to support economic growth and deliver improved outcomes for Welsh communities.
Mr Kinnock said: “It is the privilege of my life to be appointed Welsh Secretary, and to serve the people of Wales as part of Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s new Cabinet.
“Wales succeeds when we all pull in the same direction, and I will work across all levels of government to deliver the best possible outcomes for our communities as a dynamic and confident country in a dynamic and strong United Kingdom.
“As Welsh Secretary, I will ensure that the Wales Office continues to champion Wales within the UK Government and that the needs of the Welsh people are prioritised.
“This is about building a strong Wales within a strong United Kingdom, where everyone has the opportunity to reach their full potential, with good growth in every Welsh postcode and communities that are in control and supported by government at every level.
“I am truly honoured to be taking on this role at such a pivotal time for Wales and for the UK, and I am clear that there is no limit to what we can achieve by working together.”
Mr Kinnock is now expected to begin a programme of meetings and visits as he develops the UK Government’s agenda for Wales and represents Welsh interests in Westminster and across Whitehall.
Health
Welsh A&E performance hits record low as parties clash over NHS pressures
Only 63% of patients were dealt with within four hours in June, while treatment waiting lists and ambulance response times also worsened
A&E PERFORMANCE in Wales has fallen to its lowest recorded level, prompting renewed political pressure on the Welsh Government over waiting lists, ambulance response times and delays in cancer treatment.
Official figures show that 63% of patients attending emergency departments in June were admitted, transferred or discharged within four hours.
The figure was the lowest on record and remained well below the Welsh Government’s 95% target.
Performance was worse in major emergency departments, where fewer than half of patients, 49%, completed their visit within four hours.
A total of 11,826 people spent 12 hours or longer in Welsh emergency departments during June. This was the second-highest monthly figure recorded and an increase from 11,066 in May.
June also saw the highest number of emergency department attendances recorded for that month.
Treatment waiting list rises
The number of referral-to-treatment pathways waiting to begin treatment increased from 680,003 in April to 689,721 in May.
A patient may appear on more than one pathway if they are waiting for treatment for separate conditions, meaning the figure does not represent 689,721 individual people.
The estimated number of individual patients waiting nevertheless increased from around 536,500 to 542,600.
The number of pathways waiting longer than two years rose from 3,694 in April to 4,208 in May, an increase of around 14%.
There was also a rise in pathways waiting longer than a year, from 96,409 to 97,590.
Cancer performance remained below the national target. In May, 57.1% of patients started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of cancer being suspected, compared with the Welsh Government target of 75%.
Ambulance response times deteriorate
Ambulance response times for serious calls also worsened during June.
The median response time for red calls, involving immediately life-threatening conditions, increased to nine minutes and 32 seconds. The time in which 90% of red calls received a response was 23 minutes and 15 seconds.
Orange calls, which can include suspected strokes and other serious but not immediately life-threatening conditions, had a median response time of one hour, 29 minutes and ten seconds.
The longest 10% of orange-call waits exceeded six hours and 14 minutes.
Conservatives blame Plaid government
The Welsh Conservatives said the results showed that the pressures facing the NHS were continuing to deepen.
Shadow Cabinet Minister for Health and Social Care Natasha Asghar MS accused Plaid Cymru of attempting to distance itself from problems that developed under previous Welsh Labour governments.
Plaid supported a number of Labour budgets during the previous Senedd and entered a formal co-operation agreement with Labour between 2021 and 2024, although it was not responsible for running the health department during that period.
Ms Asghar said: “A&E performance has fallen to its lowest level on record, while the number of people enduring waits of 12 hours or more has reached the second-highest figure ever recorded.
“Cancer performance remains well below target, waiting lists have significantly increased and ambulance response times for the most serious red calls have once again deteriorated.
“Plaid Cymru cannot escape responsibility for this. They supported the previous Welsh Labour Government’s budgets and are now running the health service. Patients need urgent action, not more empty promises.”
The Welsh Conservatives renewed their call for the Government to declare a health emergency, increase hospital capacity and introduce a new NHS workforce strategy.
The party also called for a more detailed plan to reduce treatment waiting lists and relieve pressure on emergency departments.
Government says results are unacceptable
Cabinet Minister for Health and Care Mabon ap Gwynfor acknowledged that the figures were “disappointing and unacceptable”.
He said the Government’s immediate priority was to reduce the backlog inherited from the previous administration and ensure that patients who had waited longest were treated first.
Mr ap Gwynfor said: “Too many people are waiting for treatment, and they are waiting too long.
“We have a plan to tackle this which will deliver the real change the people of Wales need to see and that they rightly deserve.”
The minister said the Government intended to develop clinically led surgical hubs to increase capacity and prevent planned operations being disrupted by emergency pressures.
The new administration has proposed an additional £145 million for NHS Wales during the current financial year. This includes £100 million to increase planned-care activity and £25 million in capital funding for surgical and diagnostic hubs.
However, the supplementary budget containing the additional funding had not been approved by the Senedd when the latest figures were published.
Mr ap Gwynfor also said prolonged hot weather had contributed to increased emergency department attendances in June, adding further pressure to NHS and social care services.
He highlighted improved performance for the most serious purple-category ambulance calls, involving patients experiencing a cardiac or respiratory arrest. The response target for those calls had been met consistently over the previous 12 months.
Surgeons call for cross-party action
The Royal College of Surgeons of England said the figures demonstrated the need for increased surgical capacity and greater certainty over NHS funding.
Professor Jon Barry, the college’s director in Wales, said staff were working tirelessly but warned that lasting improvement would require expanded capacity and reliable resources.
He called on political parties to work together, saying that behind every waiting-list statistic was a patient whose life had been placed on hold.
The college said the principle of creating more surgical hubs had attracted support from parties across the political spectrum during the Senedd election.
Problems pre-date new administration
The latest figures cover the opening months of the new Plaid Cymru administration.
The planned-treatment and cancer figures relate to May, when the new Government had only recently taken office, while the A&E and ambulance figures cover June.
Many of the underlying problems, including lengthy treatment waits, missed A&E targets and pressure on ambulance services, developed over several years under successive Welsh Labour governments.
Plaid Cymru can therefore argue that it inherited a health service already facing serious difficulties. However, as the party now controls the health portfolio, attention will increasingly turn to whether its additional funding, surgical hubs and promised reforms deliver measurable improvements for patients.
Cabinet Minister for Health and Care
Minister Mabon ap Gwynfor said: “My immediate priority is clear – cut the waiting list backlog inherited from the previous Government, help those who have been waiting longest, and build an NHS here in Wales that can stand strong for generations to come.
“Today’s statistics are disappointing and unacceptable. Too many people are waiting for treatment, and they are waiting too long. We have a plan to tackle this which will deliver the real change the people of Wales need to see and that they rightly deserve.
“We’re doing things differently to previous approaches. Through our clinically-led surgical hub programme we will strengthen local capacity, get patients treated quicker and ensure that elective care demand is managed more sustainably within day-to-day NHS activity. We are committed to delivering our investment to support waiting list reductions this year.
“June saw the highest number of emergency department attendances recorded for that month. Prolonged hot weather led to more people turning up with heat-related issues, adding further pressure on health and care services. Sustained year-round preparedness is vital to anticipate seasonal risks such as heatwaves, and this Government will work closely with our partners to deliver it consistently. We have already begun preparations for expected winter pressures.
“Meanwhile, the response time target for the ambulance service to respond to patients in the purple category – those experiencing a cardiac or respiratory arrest who need an ambulance immediately – has been met consistently for the past 12 months which I am pleased about.
“I want to recognise the incredible people working in our NHS and social care. Every single day, they show up and give everything they have – often under enormous pressure. Their dedication and compassion is something we should all be proud of. Thank you for everything you continue to do.”
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