Politics
Generation gap spells trouble for Tories
ON MONDAY, the Conservative think-tank Onward published a report into generational voting patterns, policy priorities and political values.
The report considers why age has become the key dividing line in British politics, what has happened since the last general election, and what can be done to win over millions of younger people deserting the centre-right in considerable numbers.
The report follows a detailed 10,000 sample poll, conducted by Hanbury Strategy. It is the largest study of the generation gap since age became the key political dividing line in British politics.
Younger and older voters have always been politically different, but never by this much
In 2017, the gap between younger and older voters was 50 points larger than the post-war average since 1945 and five times higher than in 2010. It started, in 2015 before Brexit and Jeremy Corbyn became the leader of the Labour Party. This gap has grown, not narrowed, since the last General Election.
In 2017, “the tipping point age” – the median age at which a voter is more likely to vote Conservative than Labour – was 47 years old. The report establishes that, since the election, “the tipping point” has risen by 4 years to 51 years old.
The Conservative age curve is getting steeper. Among 18–24-year-olds, 14% said they would vote Conservative if there was an election today. 62% said they would vote Labour. 9% of this group said they would vote for the Liberal Democrats.
Among those over 65 years old, the opposite was true, 56% of respondents said they would vote Conservative, against 24% for Labour. The only groups with a net positive vote for Conservatives are 55–64s and voters over the age of 65.
Projecting the results of the survey forward to 2022 shows that the Conservatives face a wipeout in Wales.
If age continues to be a predictor of vote intention, the Conservatives are also in trouble in London. For example, Putney, which has a majority of just 3.3%, has 2.6 younger people for every older person. Other Conservative seats potentially affected by the demographic shift include the Cities of London and Westminster, Hendon, Chelsea and Fulham, and Uxbridge and South Ruislip (currently held by would-be PM Boris Johnson).
According to Onward, the dissonance between different age groups largely down to the Conservatives’ failure to win over younger voters. 28% of under-35s would consider voting Conservative, but fewer than 17% say they would do so if an election were held today. Onward says that this amounts to 3 million voters young Conservative considerers which could be won over but currently would not vote for the party.
Polling among the younger age group suggests that on some policies, the Conservatives could be knocking on an open door. 18-24s are most in favour (63%) of keeping more of their own money and paying less tax. However, they also favour making the economy fairer, not just bigger. Nearly two-thirds of people favour “reducing the gap between rich and poor” over “working to create faster economic growth”, with 18-24s most in favour (67%).
On immigration, there is net support for reducing immigration in every age bracket, within every ethnic group, and among Remain voters.
In terms of priorities, the environment is the third top issue for 18-24-year-old voters and younger voters.
Notably, immigration is of far lesser importance to younger voters than older ones, a reverse of the position on welfare benefits, about which older voters are far less exercised. All age groups regard the NHS and Brexit as the top two priorities.
A disconcerting gap is rising in the Conservatives’ appeal to female voters. Only 8% of 18-24-year-old women would vote Conservative today, which correlates heavily with pessimism: 56% of women think the next generation will be worse off than their own. Meanwhile, Asian voters (42%) are nearly as likely to consider voting Conservative as White voters (44%), but only half as many would do so today.
Politics
Freshwater East garage as home application turned down
A CALL to allow a seaside village garage used as a home without permission to continue doing so has been turned down.
In an application to Pembrokeshire coast National Park, Anthony Parfitt sought permission for a certificate of lawfulness for a former garage now domestic building at Oaklands, Portclew Road, Freshwater East, having purchased it back in 2016.
An application for a certificate of lawfulness allows an applicant to stay at a development or keep it if they can provide proof of occupancy over a prolonged period.
A supporting statement said: “The previous owner of the site lodged a planning application for a new house on the site in May 2013. With anticipation of approval of this application, and prior to placing the application, they made alterations to the existing garage, changing its use to domestic dwelling as they intended to live in the garage whilst the new house was built.
“The application was refused in July of 2013 and then again in 2014 (amended design), however the ‘garage’s now domestic status was not abandoned, and shows evidence of its ‘continuous use’ as a domestic unit, continuing right up to present day.
“This dwelling, known as Oaklands, has and has had all the facilities for day to day living ever since it was initially refurbished/changed use in 2013 by its previous owner, and at the point of first inspection by myself in May 2016, and still continues in its domestic use to this current day.”
In support of his application, Mr Parfitt provided documentation from previous residents confirming its “continuous use” without abandonment to any other use.
An officer report recommending refusal said there were “inconsistencies in the historical use of the garage” to discharge a 2012 planning condition for the site to be used for garage purposes only.
It said: “The planning enforcement team visited the property in September 2025 and the present use of the garage for residential use and its layout was confirmed. The applicant has confirmed that tenancies were gained by word of mouth and it does not appear that active steps were taken to advertise or market the garage for occupation via advertisement, listing with estate agents etc in between lets.”
It added: “Enquiries have been made with Pembrokeshire County Council, and it does not appear that council tax has been paid in respect of the occupation of the garage at any time.”
It said the timeline of evidence from different tenants included one related to the applicant, applicants who used the space for model making, as a woodworking and carpentry workshop, and the production of cigar box guitars, with one of the tenants using it as a residential basis before moving away, using the space as a workshop on his return.
In refusing the certificate of lawfulness it said there was “an overall lack of consistent evidence to demonstrate continuous occupation as a dwellinghouse,” in breach of the 2012 condition.
“It is not doubted that there have been periods of residential occupation, but it does seem likely that these have been sporadic and interspersed with periods of alternative use (potentially within the terms of the condition) as well as periods of non-use.”
News
Starmer under fire as aides quit and Scottish Labour leader calls on him to resign
Two senior Downing Street exits in 24 hours as Anas Sarwar breaks ranks, but ministers insist the Prime Minister is staying put
PRESSURE continued to mount on Keir Starmer today (Monday) after two of his closest advisers resigned within 24 hours and the leader of Scottish Labour publicly called on him to step down.
The rapid series of events has fuelled growing speculation about the Prime Minister’s authority inside his own party, with critics describing the situation in Downing Street as chaotic and poorly handled.

Starmer first lost his chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney, who stepped aside after taking responsibility for recommending the controversial appointment of Peter Mandelson as the UK’s ambassador to Washington.
Within hours, his director of communications, Tim Allan, also quit, saying a new team should take charge of the government’s messaging.
Two departures at that level in a single day are highly unusual and immediately prompted questions in Westminster about stability at the centre of government.
The crisis deepened further when Anas Sarwar broke ranks and urged Starmer to resign, arguing that the ongoing Mandelson controversy was becoming a damaging distraction and risked harming Labour’s prospects, particularly in Scotland.
Sarwar is the most senior Labour figure so far to publicly question the Prime Minister’s position.
A row that would not go away
The Mandelson appointment was initially seen as a difficult but containable judgement call. Supporters pointed to his experience and international contacts, while critics raised concerns about his past links to the late financier Jeffrey Epstein.
However, instead of fading, the story has dragged on for days, prompting criticism of how Downing Street has handled the fallout.
Several Labour MPs privately admit the issue is no longer the appointment itself but the perception that the government has been slow and defensive in responding.
One senior backbencher said: “It’s not the decision that hurts you. It’s looking like you’re not in control.”
Who is backing Starmer
Despite the noise, Starmer still retains public support from much of the Cabinet.
Allies say he remains focused on governing and has no intention of stepping down. Downing Street sources insist he is “getting on with the job” and dismiss talk of an imminent leadership challenge.
Senior ministers have urged colleagues to rally around the Prime Minister rather than fuel instability.
There is currently no formal mechanism under way to remove him, and no obvious successor waiting in the wings.
Political risk growing
Nevertheless, the optics are uncomfortable.
Two senior resignations in quick succession, combined with a public call to quit from within Labour’s own ranks, risk creating the impression of a government losing control of its message.
That perception matters.
Prime ministers are rarely forced out over a single decision. They fall when their own MPs begin to doubt that they can win the next election.
With Reform UK continuing to dominate headlines with simple, punchy messaging and Labour struggling to explain its record, some backbenchers fear that continued communication missteps could erode confidence further.
For now, Starmer remains in office.
But after the past 24 hours, questions about his leadership are no longer confined to the opposition benches.
They are coming from inside his own party.
News
Jobs and training schemes in Pembrokeshire could be hit by new UK growth fund rules
JOBS and training schemes in Pembrokeshire could be affected by changes to a major UK Government funding programme, with councils across Wales warning that more than a thousand posts may be at risk.
The new Local Growth Fund will replace the UK Shared Prosperity Fund, which currently pays for business support, employability and skills projects delivered by councils and voluntary groups.
Like authorities across Wales, Pembrokeshire County Council uses the existing fund to back frontline services including help for small businesses, training courses, and support for people trying to get back into work.
A coalition of councils and third sector organisations, coordinated by the Industrial Communities Alliance, has written to Prime Minister Keir Starmer urging changes to the scheme.
They say the current plans risk avoidable job losses and service cuts, particularly in poorer communities that rely most on council-led support.
Funding for Wales is expected to total around £547 million over three years under the replacement programme. However, local leaders argue that the overall pot is smaller than previous arrangements and that new spending rules could limit how the money is used.
Under proposals, around 70 per cent of the funding would have to go on capital projects such as buildings and infrastructure, leaving just 30 per cent for day-to-day services and staffing.
Councils say most current schemes depend on revenue funding to pay staff who advise small firms, run skills courses and work directly with residents to help them into employment.
The alliance estimates around 1,500 council jobs across Wales are currently supported through the fund, alongside many more in charities and community organisations delivering services on the ground.
Meirion Thomas, who coordinated the campaign, said: “These programmes support businesses, training and employability. Losing them would hit the very communities the fund is meant to help.”
Both the Welsh Government and the UK Government say the new arrangements are intended to drive economic growth and give local areas greater control over spending decisions.
Ministers have said the fund is designed to create jobs, improve productivity and support communities, and that discussions with councils are continuing.
The Herald has asked Pembrokeshire County Council how many local jobs and schemes currently rely on the funding and what impact the new rules may have locally.
With the new system due to start in April, council leaders say clarity is urgently needed to avoid disruption to services that many businesses and jobseekers in Pembrokeshire depend on.
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