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Housing pressure grows as Wales told up to 9,300 new homes a year are needed

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WALES could need nearly nine thousand extra homes a year over the next five years, according to new figures published by the Welsh Government, as ministers warn that homelessness and overcrowding are driving a sharp rise in housing pressure.

In a written statement on Thursday (Feb 12), Housing and Local Government Secretary Jayne Bryant set out fresh “2025-based” estimates showing both existing shortfalls and future demand for homes across the country.

The data suggests there is already an unmet need for around 9,400 homes in Wales – a figure that has jumped by 64% since the last assessment in 2019. Officials say the increase is largely due to more households living in temporary accommodation or unsuitable housing.

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Five-year demand spike

On top of that backlog, analysts estimate that between 7,800 and 9,300 additional homes will be needed every year between July 2025 and June 2030. The central estimate stands at 8,700 annually.

Most of that demand – about 65% – is expected to be for market housing, with the remaining 35% for affordable homes. However, all of the current backlog is assumed to require affordable provision.

Ministers say higher household growth projections are behind the rise, with more people living alone and demographic changes increasing the number of properties required overall.

Bryant said the figures would form part of the evidence base for future planning and housing policy, adding that they are not formal building targets but an indication of likely need.

Pressure felt locally

For communities in west Wales, including Pembrokeshire and Carmarthenshire, the numbers are likely to intensify debate around where new homes should be built and who they are for.

Rural towns have long complained of young families being priced out, rising rents and limited social housing, while councils face growing temporary accommodation costs for homeless households.

The Herald understands that several local authorities are already struggling to keep pace with demand, with waiting lists stretching into the thousands and increasing use of hotels and short-term lets to house families in crisis.

Slower growth long term

Looking further ahead, the government expects the pace of new need to slow gradually over the next 20 years as household growth stabilises.

Officials have also updated the way the figures are calculated, including new assumptions about rent levels and incomes, and presenting existing need as a single total rather than spreading it over several years.

The estimates will help inform future reviews of Wales’ national planning framework and wider housing strategy.

But for many families currently in overcrowded homes or temporary accommodation, the message is immediate: thousands more homes are required – and quickly – if the housing crisis is to ease.

 

Community

Festival of the Sea to return with free family day at Milford Waterfront

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Coastal groups, artists and charities unite at Sybil House to celebrate Pembrokeshire’s marine life and community spirit

MILFORD HAVEN is set for a splash of colour, music and marine discovery next month as the Festival of the Sea returns with a full day of free activities for families.

Organised by Pembrokeshire Coastal Forum, the event will take place at Sybil House on Sunday, March 1, from 10:00am to 4:00pm, bringing together conservation groups, artists, performers and community organisations to celebrate the county’s coastline and the people whose lives are tied to it.

The Herald understands the festival proved popular last year and has been expanded for 2026, with organisers moving into the larger indoor venue to allow more stalls, workshops and performances.

Visitors can expect a packed programme of hands-on activities and entertainment aimed at all ages. Highlights include a marine wildlife touch tank hosted by the Field Studies Council, children’s art and clay workshops at the Waterfront Gallery, live music and sea shanties, and walkabout pirate performers bringing a bit of theatre to the waterfront.

Throughout the day, local choirs and musicians will perform, creating what organisers hope will feel like a relaxed, community celebration rather than a formal exhibition.

Sue Burton, Pembrokeshire Marine Special Area of Conservation Officer, said: “The Festival of the Sea was really popular last year, and I’m really pleased it’s coming back in the bigger venue of Sybil House.

“The marine environment of Pembrokeshire is internationally important for wildlife as well as for employment and energy. The festival is a fun way to celebrate all the great work being done for our seas, and it’s a great opportunity to engage young people through art workshops, face painting and street theatre.”

A wide range of organisations will host information stands and activities, including the RNLI, Sea Trust, Project Seagrass, The Crown Estate, Car-y-Môr, Marine Conservation Society, Marine Energy Wales and the Port of Milford Haven.

Together, they will showcase projects ranging from marine wildlife protection and habitat restoration to renewable energy and sustainable seafood, highlighting the economic and environmental importance of the Haven and surrounding coastline.

Food and refreshments will also be available, including local produce from Pembrokeshire Beach Food, giving visitors a taste of Pembrokeshire’s growing reputation for coastal cuisine.

Entry is free, and organisers say people are welcome to drop in for a single activity or spend the whole day exploring what is on offer. A full schedule of talks and workshops will be released closer to the date.

For more information, visit www.pembrokeshirecoastalforum.org.uk/festival-of-the-sea.

 

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Crime

Jury retires in Swansea brother murder trial

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Man accused of killing ‘proud father of two’ after violent flat attack in Morriston

A JULY has retired to consider its verdict in the trial of a Swansea man accused of murdering his own brother in what prosecutors described as a violent and frenzied attack inside a family home.

The case, heard at Swansea Crown Court, centres on the death of Martin Steel, aged 48, who was found fatally injured at his flat in Hill View Crescent, Morriston.

Darren Steel, 41, denies murdering his brother.

Martin was described during proceedings as a “proud father of two” whose sudden death devastated his family and shocked neighbours in the close-knit community.

Concern was first raised on the morning of May 20, 2023, when neighbours noticed Martin’s dog whining alone in the garden at around 8.30am. Repeated calls and knocks at the door went unanswered.

The court heard that his mother, Dianne Steel, had planned to go shopping with her son that day. When she could not reach him, her fears grew and emergency services were called.

Paramedics and police forced entry to the flat and attempted CPR, but Martin was pronounced dead at 11.06am.

Giving emotional evidence, Mrs Steel told jurors she found her son “slumped in his chair in his living room, probably dead and covered in blood”.

Prosecutor Andrew Jones KC said the injuries were consistent with a sustained and violent assault inside the property.

During police interviews played to the court, Darren Steel admitted being at the flat the night before. He claimed he, his brother and his girlfriend had been taking heroin together.

He told officers the situation escalated after he believed Martin was “coming onto” his girlfriend, alleging this sparked a loss of control and a frenzied attack.

The prosecution argue the violence went far beyond self-defence and amounted to murder.

Jurors were taken through forensic evidence, witness testimony and the defendant’s account of events over several weeks of trial. Defence counsel urged them to consider the chaotic circumstances, including drug use and heightened emotions, when assessing Darren Steel’s state of mind at the time.

After closing speeches and the judge’s legal directions, the case was formally handed to the jury on Wednesday (Feb 12).

They will now deliberate in private before returning a verdict, with the court due to reconvene once a decision has been reached.

 

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Crime

Pendine man jailed for abducting and drugging teenage girl

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Offender had 1,101 unlawful images of children stored on his devices, including 122 Category A images – the most serious classification.

A PENDINE man has been jailed after admitting abducting a teenage girl, supplying her with drugs and keeping more than a thousand indecent images of children.

Richard Knight, aged 73, from Pendine, Carmarthenshire, was sentenced to three years and nine months in prison at Swansea Crown Court following what police described as a lengthy and complex investigation.

Officers from Dyfed-Powys Police were alerted in the early hours of Monday, April 11, 2022 after a distressed 15-year-old girl phoned her mother asking to be collected, saying she had taken drugs at Knight’s home.

Police forced entry to the address after receiving no answer and finding concerns for the girl’s safety. Inside, officers discovered a small cannabis grow but no occupants. It later emerged Knight had driven the girl home himself.

He was arrested shortly afterwards on suspicion of drink driving and drug offences. A further search of the property uncovered several types of controlled drugs and a number of digital devices.

During interview, the teenager told officers she had agreed to meet Knight but believed he knew her age and that she had not told her mother where she was going. She described being given various drugs, including substances hidden inside fruit pastels. CCTV later showed Knight buying the sweets before collecting her.

Digital forensic analysis revealed 1,101 unlawful images of children stored on his devices, including 122 Category A images – the most serious classification.

Drug experts valued the cannabis grow at between £6,000 and £20,000. Officers also seized six different types of Class A drugs from the address.

Guilty pleas before trial

Knight was charged with 12 offences including child abduction, possession and making of indecent images of children, and being concerned in the supply of controlled drugs.

He admitted the drug offences in April last year and later pleaded guilty to three counts of making indecent images. Although he initially denied child abduction, he changed his plea immediately before a trial was due to begin at court in January.

‘Very serious case’

Detective Constable Jon Gouldson said: “This was a very serious case involving a man who groomed a young and vulnerable girl for his own satisfaction.

“There is no doubt he knew that taking this 15-year-old into his home without parental permission was wrong.

“Taking or keeping a child under 16 without consent is a crime. There are no grey areas.

“We welcome today’s sentence and remain committed to bringing offenders like this before the courts.”

Support available

Anyone concerned about their own behaviour or thoughts towards children can seek confidential help from the Lucy Faithfull Foundation, which runs the Stop It Now service aimed at preventing abuse before it happens.

 

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