Connect with us
Advertisement
Advertisement

News

First Minister at risk of losing seat as new poll reshapes Senedd election race

Published

on

Latest survey suggests Labour could be pushed into third place as Plaid and Reform battle for top spot

THE FIRST MINISTER Eluned Morgan could lose her Senedd seat at the upcoming election, according to a major new opinion poll which signals a dramatic shift in Welsh politics.

The YouGov poll for ITV Cymru Wales, carried out in partnership with Cardiff University, suggests Welsh Labour is facing a significant downturn in support, with projections indicating the party could fail to win in several constituencies – including Morgan’s own seat of Ceredigion Preseli.

Plaid Cymru is forecast to emerge as the largest party, despite a slight dip in vote share to 33%. The party is projected to secure 43 seats – just short of an outright majority – putting leader Rhun ap Iorwerth in a strong position to attempt forming the next Welsh Government.

Reform UK has surged to 27% in the poll, closing the gap on Plaid and potentially securing around 30 seats in the Senedd. The figures underline a rapidly shifting political landscape, with Reform now firmly in contention as a major force.

Labour, meanwhile, is projected to win just 12 seats on 13% of the vote, placing it behind both Plaid and Reform. The results suggest the party may not return any Members of the Senedd in four constituencies.

Race for power tightening

Political analysts say the latest figures point to a two-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK.

Dr Jac Larner of Cardiff University’s Welsh Governance Centre said the poll shows a narrowing contest for the largest party, but added that Plaid remains better positioned to form a government due to wider coalition options.

He also noted that Labour’s support appears to have stabilised slightly since earlier in the year, following a difficult period, although the party remains well behind its traditional standing.

The Greens continue to perform strongly, polling at 12%, which could translate into around ten seats. Their rise does not appear to be eating into Plaid Cymru’s support, suggesting they are attracting a different group of voters.

The First Minister, Eluned Morgan MS started campaigning in Tenby on Friday (Pic: Supplied)

Tories face wipeout threat

The poll paints a bleak picture for the Conservatives, who are projected to secure just one seat with around 7% of the vote. The Liberal Democrats, polling at 5%, are at risk of losing representation in the Senedd altogether.

Experts warn that the new electoral system could amplify small changes in vote share, leading to disproportionate losses for smaller parties.

Major change expected

With just weeks to go until polling day, the findings point towards a potentially historic reshaping of the Senedd.

The Herald understands that parties across Wales are now intensifying campaign efforts as the prospect of a change in government becomes increasingly likely.

A large number of new Members of the Senedd are expected to be elected, with the balance of power shifting away from traditional parties and towards a more fragmented political landscape.

 

News

Two taken to hospital after aircraft ditches in Cardigan Bay

Published

on

Coastguard helicopter spotted two casualties after light aircraft came down off west Wales coast

TWO people were taken to hospital after a light aircraft ditched into the sea off the west Wales coast on Friday evening.

New Quay RNLI said its all-weather lifeboat was launched at 6:06pm following a direct page from Milford Haven Coastguard.

The emergency followed reports that an aeroplane had come down in the sea approximately 10 miles north-west of Cemaes Head, with two people on board.

The New Quay all-weather lifeboat proceeded at best speed to the scene, alongside a Coastguard helicopter, RNLI Fishguard Lifeboat and RNLI Cardigan Lifeboat.

The two casualties were spotted by the Coastguard helicopter before being recovered by Cardigan Lifeboat.

They were then transferred to the larger New Quay all-weather lifeboat, where crew members were able to provide casualty care during the return to shore.

Both casualties were brought ashore at New Quay’s main pier and handed over to the Welsh Ambulance Service. They were then transferred to hospital.

Photographs from the incident show lifeboat crews operating in choppy sea conditions, an ambulance waiting at New Quay harbour, and the aircraft partially submerged in Cardigan Bay.

One image appears to show the aircraft floating with part of the fuselage, wings and tail visible above the water.

A navigation warning was later issued after a partially submerged microlight was reported adrift in Cardigan Bay.

The cause of the ditching has not yet been confirmed.

The aircraft’s departure point, intended destination and route have not yet been officially released.

New Quay RNLI confirmed that after the casualties were handed over, its all-weather lifeboat was recovered, rehoused and made ready for further service.

The incident involved a major multi-agency response from HM Coastguard, the Coastguard helicopter, New Quay RNLI, Fishguard RNLI, Cardigan RNLI and the Welsh Ambulance Service.

Aircraft accidents and serious incidents in the UK are reported to the Air Accidents Investigation Branch.

 

Continue Reading

Community

HOPE MS Therapy Centre celebrates 40 years of support in Pembrokeshire

Published

on

A special evening of music and celebration marked four decades of service by HOPE MS Therapy Centre, one of Pembrokeshire’s longest-serving self-funding charities.

THE ANNIVERSARY concert took place on Friday evening (June 26) at St Clement’s Church, Neyland, bringing together supporters, trustees, local councillors and members of the community to celebrate the charity’s 40th year.

Founded in 1986, HOPE MS Therapy Centre provides support and therapies for people living with multiple sclerosis and other neurological conditions across Pembrokeshire. The organisation has operated as a self-funding charity throughout its history, relying heavily on fundraising and community support.

Guests enjoyed performances from the Quaynotes Mixed Choir, along with acclaimed soloist Sarah Arthur, in what organisers described as an evening of music, song and thanksgiving.

Among those attending was Pembroke Mayor Jonathan Grimes, who praised the charity’s contribution to the county. He was joined by fellow county councillors and trustees including Simon Wright and Simon Hancock MBE.

Writing after the event, Cllr Grimes said: “Thank you to HOPE MS Therapy Centre for inviting me as Mayor of Pembroke to this evening’s concert to celebrate 40 years of service to Pembrokeshire.

“It was great to see my fellow county councillors and members of the trustee board as well as enjoying a fabulous performance from Quaynotes Mixed Choir and the fabulous soloist Sarah Arthur.

“Congratulations to HOPE MS Therapy Centre. I’m looking forward to being involved with the other events you have planned to celebrate 40 years.”

The concert is one of a series of events planned to mark the charity’s milestone anniversary year.

HOPE MS Therapy Centre continues to support people from across Pembrokeshire, providing therapies, advice and a vital social network for those affected by multiple sclerosis and related conditions.

 

Continue Reading

Local History

Pembrokeshire man rode into history with Custer’s Last Stand

Published

on

Dinas Cross-born soldier was among those killed at the Battle of the Little Bighorn 150 years ago this week

A YOUNG man from a remote Pembrokeshire farm found himself at the centre of one of the most famous battles in American history after leaving Wales in search of a new life across the Atlantic.

This week marks 150 years since Sgt William Batine James, originally from Pencnwc Farm near Dinas Cross, was killed alongside General George Armstrong Custer at the Battle of the Little Bighorn.

The battle, fought on June 25 and 26, 1876, became known around the world as “Custer’s Last Stand” after the defeat of the US Army’s 7th Cavalry by a coalition of Lakota Sioux, Northern Cheyenne and Arapaho warriors.

Among the dead was a 27-year-old Welshman whose remarkable journey had begun on the north Pembrokeshire coast.

Born on March 3, 1849, James grew up in rural Pembrokeshire before emigrating to North America as a young man. Records show he arrived in Toronto in 1871 before later crossing into the United States and joining the US Army.

He eventually became a sergeant in Company E of the famed 7th Cavalry Regiment.

Just five years after leaving Canada, James found himself riding with Custer into what would become one of the most studied and debated military engagements in American history.

The battle took place in present-day Montana during the Great Sioux War. Custer’s force was overwhelmed after encountering a much larger Native American force than expected.

Every member of Custer’s immediate command was killed.

For many years, James’s family back in Pembrokeshire had little idea what had become of him. Communication across the Atlantic was slow and unreliable, and news often took weeks or months to reach rural communities.

His story only gradually emerged through letters he had sent home, helping relatives piece together the fate of the young man who had travelled thousands of miles from Dinas Cross to the American frontier.

Today, historians of both Welsh emigration and the American West continue to document the lives of those who fought at the Little Bighorn. James remains one of Pembrokeshire’s most unusual historical figures – a local farm boy whose life became entwined with one of the defining moments of the American frontier era.

One hundred and fifty years after his death, Sgt William Batine James remains a reminder of how far Welsh emigrants travelled in the nineteenth century, and how people from even the smallest communities could find themselves caught up in events that would echo through history.

 

Continue Reading

News3 hours ago

Two taken to hospital after aircraft ditches in Cardigan Bay

Coastguard helicopter spotted two casualties after light aircraft came down off west Wales coast TWO people were taken to hospital...

Sport20 hours ago

Long Course Weekend gets underway in Tenby as thousands head for county

Three days of swimming, cycling and running begin with The Wales Swim at North Beach THOUSANDS of athletes and supporters...

Climate23 hours ago

Welsh waters, Westminster profits: Crown Estate row reignited in Wales

PLAID CYMRU has renewed calls for the Crown Estate to be devolved to Wales after figures showed income linked to...

News1 day ago

Reform MS: ‘I felt like shouting get out of the water’

Paul Marr says children playing in streams at Pembrokeshire beaches deserve better protection from pollution risks REFORM UK MS Paul...

Health2 days ago

Senedd backs call to rule out hospital downgrades after heated NHS debate

Reform UK amendment passes as West Wales hospital fears remain central political issue THE SENEDD has backed a call for...

News2 days ago

Coastguard callout payments axe sparks fears for coastal communities

VOLUNTEER coastguards across the UK are set to lose callout payments, prompting concern over the future resilience of emergency cover...

Farming2 days ago

Rural Wales ‘left out’ of net zero debate, warns carbon entrepreneur

A WELSH carbon entrepreneur has warned that rural Wales risks being left behind in the national conversation about net zero....

Local Government3 days ago

Tenby Spectacular row continues as organisers say key question remains unanswered

Round Table says legal clarity over pedestrian access is still holding up event plan TENBY ROUND TABLE has welcomed Pembrokeshire...

Community4 days ago

Manorbier fire scandal: Council’s payout just £63,777 after school destroyed

PEMBROKESHIRE COUNTY COUNCIL has accepted an insurance settlement which leaves it with just £63,777.07 after the catastrophic fire which destroyed...

News4 days ago

Bus overturns in major incident near Kidwelly

All passengers rescued as emergency services remain at scene A BUS overturned on the A484 between Kidwelly and Ferryside on...

Popular This Week