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Concern as just 3% of Dyfed-Powys arson cases result in charges

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ONLY 3% of arson cases investigated by Dyfed-Powys Police in the past three years have led to charges, sparking serious concerns about the force’s ability to bring offenders to justice.

Data obtained by Legal Expert shows that of the 558 arson offences recorded across the Dyfed-Powys area since 2021, just 18 resulted in someone being charged. Despite 56 arrests being made, the vast majority of cases were closed without prosecution, while many others remain unresolved.

Llanelli worst-hit by arson

The town of Llanelli recorded the highest number of arson incidents in the region, with 105 offences logged over three years. Ammanford followed with 69, Pembrokeshire South with 60, Brecknockshire with 57, and Montgomeryshire with 41.

Cardigan was the quietest area, with just 15 recorded arson cases.

Low charge rates seen across UK

Men accounted for 73% of the suspects—slightly below the UK average of 80%

The figures from Dyfed-Powys mirror a wider national issue. A survey of 31 UK police forces found that fewer than 5% of arson investigations resulted in a charge. In Essex, only two people were charged despite more than 3,000 arson reports.

Home Office statistics published in January show that in the year to September 2024, only 4.4% of criminal damage and arson offences led to a charge or summons—up only slightly from 4.1% the previous year. Around 70% of arson investigations were closed without identifying a suspect.

Teenagers among suspects

Of the 56 arson suspects identified by Dyfed-Powys Police, 11 were under the age of 18. This included three 12-year-olds and four aged 13 or 14. The most common age group was people in their 30s (16 suspects), with only nine in their 20s. Men accounted for 73% of the suspects—slightly below the UK average of 80%.

Dyfed-Powys was also the only force in the country to report zero repeat arson offenders during the three-year period.

Victims left without compensation

Alongside low prosecution rates, victims of arson are also struggling to receive compensation. Of 464 claims made to the Criminal Injuries Compensation Authority (CICA), just 76 resulted in a payout.

In 2024, only 17 people across the UK received compensation for injuries sustained in arson attacks. Common reasons for claims being rejected included the offence not being classed as violent, or the injuries not meeting CICA’s compensation threshold.

The total payout to arson victims over the three years was £102,260, with an average payment of £1,345. So far in 2024, just £2,400 has been awarded, despite 79 claims being submitted. Nearly 200 victims are still waiting for a decision.

Legal expert urges victims to seek help

Ellie Lamey, a criminal injury specialist at Legal Expert, said many victims may not realise they are entitled to compensation even if no one is convicted.

“It’s incredible that so few people have made a claim when thousands of arson offences have affected lives around the country,” she said. “Victims might be wondering how to get some form of justice.

“They don’t need to wait for a conviction to seek compensation. As long as they report the crime and cooperate with police, they may be eligible to apply.”

Legal Expert provides round-the-clock advice on CICA claims and support for those affected by violent crime.

Police defend response—comments seen as downplaying scale of issue

Detective Chief Superintendent Ross Evans of Dyfed-Powys Police said: “Dyfed-Powys Police is committed to following up all crimes including arson-related offences together with our partner agencies.

“While the article matches our own data, it doesn’t include a breakdown of the level of risk to life, which gives a bit more context. In the past three years, nearly 85% of arson incidents reported did not pose a danger to life.

“We see more damage-related offences than actual attacks on people or property, and due to the nature of some of these incidents—such as bin fires, small grass fires and litter fires—they can be difficult to detect.

“Of the 15% which did pose a risk to life, a charge rate of 17% was achieved.

“When arson incidents occur, police investigate to identify and bring any offenders to justice. We encourage members of the public to report any offences to us via 101, through our website, or by calling Crimestoppers anonymously on 0800 555 111.”

However, some of the comments made by police have been seen as attempting to downplay the scale of the problem—particularly when the overwhelming majority of arson offences go unpunished, and victims are left without justice or compensation.

Cover picture:

Park Church when it went up in flames in 2015 (Image: Gayle Marsh)

 

international news

Mandelson quits Lords amid police probe over Epstein links

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Peter Mandelson has announced he will retire from the House of Lords with immediate effect, as mounting political and legal pressure grows over claims he shared sensitive government information with convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

Parliamentary officials confirmed that Peter Mandelson formally notified the Clerk of the Parliaments of his decision, ending his membership of the upper chamber from Tuesday (Feb 4).

The move follows reports that the Metropolitan Police Service is reviewing allegations of possible misconduct in public office connected to emails said to have been forwarded to Epstein while Mandelson was business secretary during the 2008–09 financial crisis.

Downing Street has confirmed that material has been passed to police after an initial Cabinet Office review.

Government fury

LONDON, ENGLAND – JANUARY 19: Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer delivers a statement in the media briefing room of 9 Downing Street in central London, after US president Donald Trump’s threats to ramp up tariffs until a deal is reached for the US to buy Greenland, at Downing Street on January 19, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by Jordan Pettitt – WPA Pool/Getty Images)

Prime Minister Keir Starmer told cabinet colleagues Mandelson had “let his country down”, according to No 10, and officials are now drafting legislation that could strip him of his peerage entirely.

Removing a life peer is rare and would require an Act of Parliament.

If passed, Mandelson would lose the title “Lord” altogether — an extraordinary step that has only been considered in the most serious cases.

Senior ministers have described the alleged passing-on of market-sensitive government discussions as “disgraceful” and a “betrayal of trust”.

What police are examining

Misconduct in public office is a centuries-old common law offence that applies where someone in a position of public trust wilfully abuses that role. It carries a maximum sentence of life imprisonment.

Investigators will assess whether confidential information — particularly relating to government financial policy during the crash — was shared without justification and whether safeguards were breached.

At this stage, no charges have been brought.

Mandelson has previously apologised for maintaining contact with Epstein after the financier’s conviction, saying he regrets “ever having known him”, but he has disputed some of the latest claims and has not commented directly on the police review.

Political shockwaves

Opposition parties are pushing for further disclosure of documents relating to Mandelson’s vetting and his past roles.

Conservatives are expected to force a Commons vote demanding more information, while Liberal Democrats have called for a public inquiry.

Several MPs have also suggested Mandelson should be removed from the Privy Council.

The developments mark a dramatic fall for one of Labour’s most influential political figures of the past three decades, who only months ago was serving as the UK’s ambassador to Washington.

Now, with police examining evidence and legislation being prepared to remove his title, his public career appears effectively over.

More updates are expected as the investigation continues.

 

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Cleddau at heart of major water reforms as ministers promise ‘fundamental reset’

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New regulation plan aims to tackle pollution, sewage spills and ageing infrastructure

COMMUNITIES along the River Cleddau could see tighter controls on pollution and stronger oversight of water companies after ministers unveiled what they describe as a once-in-a-generation shake-up of how Wales’ water system is run.

The Welsh Government this week published a Green Paper promising cleaner rivers, tougher enforcement and a new Welsh economic regulator dedicated solely to the water sector.

Deputy First Minister Huw Irranca-Davies said it was time for a “fundamental reset” to rebuild public trust, warning that ageing infrastructure, climate pressures and growing concern about water quality meant the current system was no longer fit for purpose.

For Pembrokeshire residents, those words land close to home.

A First Milk discharge pipe into the Western Cleddau at a spot known as Fortune’s Frolic on 16 June 2023 (Pic: Supplied)

Local frustration growing

From Haverfordwest down to Milford Haven, the Cleddau is both a working waterway and a natural asset, supporting wildlife, leisure users, anglers and tourism businesses.

But in recent years there have been repeated complaints about sewage overflows, murky water after heavy rain and nutrient pollution washing in from across the catchment.

Storm discharges and wastewater treatment are the responsibility of Dŵr Cymru Welsh Water, while environmental enforcement sits with national regulators. Many locals say neither has acted quickly enough when problems arise.

Brown froth can be seen on the banks of the Western Cleddau (Pic: Supplied)

Residents and river users have told The Herald they feel the estuary is “worse than it used to be”, particularly after periods of wet weather when combined sewer overflows can activate.

Concerns range from the impact on fish stocks and birds to whether the water is safe for paddleboarding, sailing and wild swimming.

What ministers are proposing

The consultation sets out plans to:

  • create a new Welsh regulator focused on water
  • strengthen monitoring and enforcement
  • drive investment in ageing pipes and treatment works
  • improve transparency and accountability
  • support long-term environmental protection

Since 2022, the government says it has invested more than £56 million tackling water quality through enforcement, monitoring and nature-based solutions. A further £5 million has been earmarked next year specifically for river and coastal improvements.

Ministers say the changes should make it easier to fine or sanction poor performance and force faster upgrades where infrastructure is failing.

Why the Cleddau matters

The Cleddau catchment is one of west Wales’ most important waterways.

It feeds into the Milford Haven Waterway, a key centre for industry, energy, fishing and recreation, while also providing habitat for protected wildlife and drawing thousands of visitors each year.

Any decline in water quality has knock-on effects not just for nature but for jobs and the local economy.

Campaigners argue that without tougher oversight and sustained investment, the river risks long-term damage.

Consultation open

The Green Paper is now out for public consultation, with ministers inviting views from residents, businesses and community groups.

For many in Pembrokeshire, this may be a rare chance to push for specific improvements on their doorstep — from fewer sewage discharges to better monitoring of agricultural runoff and clearer reporting when incidents occur.

If the promised “reset” is to mean anything locally, it will be judged on one thing: whether the Cleddau actually gets cleaner.

The consultation is open on the Welsh Government website, and submissions can be made by individuals as well as organisations.

 

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Davies and Morgan clash over policing powers and terror response in Senedd exchange

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CONSERVATIVE MS says breaking up UK would ‘benefit criminals’ as First Minister insists Wales would still rely on cross-border co-operation

A ROW over whether policing powers should be devolved to Wales spilled onto the Senedd floor as a senior Conservative warned that separating from UK-wide structures could leave the country exposed to terrorism and serious crime.

During questions to the First Minister in Senedd Cymru, Andrew RT Davies pressed ministers on whether law and order is better delivered from Westminster rather than Cardiff Bay.

Opening the exchange, Mr Davies said that although he and the Welsh Government disagreed on where policing powers should sit, they should both accept that dismantling the United Kingdom would weaken security.

He told the chamber that if “separatists had their way and they broke up the United Kingdom, policing would be fundamentally weakened in these islands and the criminals will benefit from it”.

He asked the First Minister to agree that the UK provides the strongest framework for keeping communities safe through joint working between England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

“The co-operative working and that strong union, working together… protects the citizens of this great country of ours,” he said, urging ministers to reject what he called a “narrow, separatist, independent argument”.

‘Strong devolution in a strong UK’

Responding, Eluned Morgan said her government was not pursuing devolution as a stepping stone to independence.

“We want to see strong devolution in a strong UK,” she said, adding that Labour remained committed to improving services rather than chasing constitutional change for its own sake.

She argued that reforming how policing is governed in Wales could improve accountability and outcomes for the public, particularly as discussions continue over replacing the current police and crime commissioner model.

“We want to see change when it comes to policing… because we want to see better provision for the people in Wales,” she told MSs.

Terrorism expertise ‘not something you could replicate’

However, the First Minister acknowledged that certain specialist capabilities, particularly counter-terrorism, would still require close links with the rest of the UK.

“It of course makes sense for us to co-operate across the border when it comes to policing, when it makes sense,” she said.

“Just think about terrorism; we’ll never have the kind of absolute expertise in terrorism that you may get in a place like London. We would have to work with them and depend on them—not something you could do in an independent Wales.”

Her comments prompted Mr Davies to argue that this reliance showed why policing should remain reserved to Westminster.

He later said the admission demonstrated “the dangers of putting the Senedd in charge of policing”, claiming Wales could end up dependent on external support during major incidents.

Long-running debate

Policing and criminal justice are among the few major public services not currently devolved to Wales, with responsibility resting with the UK Government.

Supporters of devolution, including Plaid Cymru, argue that Welsh control would allow policies better tailored to local needs.

Opponents say fragmenting the system could weaken intelligence sharing and increase costs, particularly for specialist units tackling organised crime and terrorism.

The exchange underlines how the issue remains a political dividing line in Cardiff Bay, with both sides framing the argument around public safety rather than constitutional theory.

For now, any change would require agreement from Westminster, meaning the debate is likely to continue long before any powers formally shift.

 

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