Politics
Council prepares for elections
THAT’s it as far as County Council politics go for now.
The Notice of Poll for May 5’s County Councils publishes tomorrow (Friday, March 18) and nominations open for the next County Council term on Monday (March 21).
Those nominations close on Tuesday, April 5.
That’s not a lot of time to get your act together if the elections have come as a horrible surprise, but plenty if you’ve prepared yourself to stand as a candidate.
If not, you need the nominations of ten electors resident in the Ward for which you seek election. However, while the Council goes into pre-election purdah, The Herald does not.
I WANT TO BE ELECTED?
It’s not only Pembrokeshire County Councillors who will be elected on May 5.
On the same day, Pembrokeshire elects its town and community councils.
Pembrokeshire has ten town councils and sixty-seven community councils.
Town and Community Councils serve their community by exercising a range of statutory powers and duties with the aim of improving the quality of life in their locality.
Each council is made up of elected members. However, in many cases, councillors are returned unopposed or are co-opted. For example, only two of the current Haverfordwest Town councillors were elected in 2017, the remainder were co-opted to fill vacancies during the council term.
Whether that’s healthy for democracy or not is a separate debate; but Pembrokeshire leads the way in the proportion of county councillors who did not face the electorate in 2017.
Twelve of sixty county councillors were returned unopposed.
Community and Town councils are responsible to their local electorates for delivering a wide range of services and for the provision and upkeep of local amenities.
County Councillors have a duty to serve their communities and work with Council officers to provide services to the public. Most County Councillors are also Town or Community Councillors
County Councillors meet together regularly as The Council, where they decide overall policy and set the organisation’s budget for the year.
County Councillors might be nominated by fellow councillors to sit on certain committees, for example, the Planning Committee or one of the Council’s scrutiny committees.
The Council Leader is elected by Councillors at the beginning of the Council term and the Leader selects the Cabinet.
PEMBROKESHIRE’S STRANGE POLITICS
Pembrokeshire is unusual in Wales because it returns relatively few councillors who stand for political parties.
Out of sixty councillors at the last election, the Conservatives returned twelve councillors (now eleven following a by-election) Labour returned seven, the Liberal Democrats one, and Plaid Cymru six.
The remainder of the councillors all stood as Independents.
There are, however “Independents” and “Real Independents”.
The Independent Political Group, led by Jamie Adams, ran Pembrokeshire as a one-party state until 2017, when its vote collapsed.
The IPG’s current membership is twelve, although its membership is fluid and some members inch towards more traditional party colours.
The 2022 elections will be the first under new boundaries.
STANDING DOWN
Several councillors are not seeking re-election: those include Sam Kurtz MS, whose Scleddau Ward disappears. Cllr Kurtz could have resigned his seat on election to the Senedd but chose to remain to avoid the costs of a by-election.
He’s donated his councillor’s allowance to local projects. Cllr Josh Beynon steps down, as does veteran Johnston councillor Ken Rowlands. Cllr Rod Bowen steps down from Clydau.
Cabinet member Cllr Phil Baker announced he would step down in May and there are rumours that several other prominent councillors from around the county will not seek re-election, including at least two other members of the IPG.
The changing boundaries will almost certainly affect the council’s make-up. The important question for any candidate standing as an independent is whether they will remain independent or join the Independent Political Group – or any other party grouping.
TURNOUT THE VOTE
In addition, the turnout in local elections is so low that a prospective candidate might only need to rally a handful of extra votes to see off a split field. That was the case in Pembroke Dock Central and Milford Central last time out, where the margins of victory for Cllrs Paul Dowson and Stephen Joseph were tiny. Those margins were not, however, as tiny, however, as the two votes that saw Cllr Tony Baron returned as member for the now abolished Amroth Ward.
In General Elections to Westminster, there are often safe seats in which any opposition effort is token.
Generally, that’s not the case in Council elections – although standing against Cllr Tony Wilcox in Pennar can be a sobering experience for his opponents.
Votes cast in the tens rather than the hundreds or thousands make a genuine difference to election outcomes.
Our prediction for the next Council is that Labour will perhaps gain the odd seat, the Conservatives will lose the odd seat, the Liberal Democrats might gain a seat, Plaid Cymru could gain a couple of seats in the north and east of Pembrokeshire, the IPG might lose ground due to established members’ decisions not to seek re-election. The majority of members will be “Real Independents”, or as Cllr Mike Stoddart calls them “Dictionary Independents”.
Beyond that, Cllr David Simpson is likely to remain leader with some changes to his Cabinet (one enforced) for the first part of the new administration’s term.
Replacing Cllr Simpson will be a tricky job: Jamie Adams will want it but might struggle for cross-party support; an openly political leader from a party group is unlikely to succeed in forming a coalition for the same reason.
All of which might explain why Cllr Adams is keen to find someone to stand against current Cabinet Members, particularly the Cabinet Member for Transformation, Cllr Neil Prior.
Business
Call to end ‘fad’ of ‘school dogs’ in Pembrokeshire
A CALL to end the ‘fad’ of permanent ‘school dogs’ in Pembrokeshire for their benefit and the befit of the schools, instead using visiting ‘therapy dogs’ is to be heard next week.
Pembrokeshire County Council’s Schools And Learning Overview And Scrutiny Committee meeting of November 28 will consider a public submission by Robert Thomas – who works with therapy dogs – on the subject of school dogs.
The submission reads: “My definition of a school dog is one that spends long periods in the school and is managed and owned by school employees not outside assessed and insured visiting therapy dogs who stay for an hour with a competent handler.
“The welfare of many dogs in schools in Pembrokeshire has been compromised over the last few years and we are concerned that the rise in the popularity of school-owned or teacher-owned dogs is an animal welfare issue.
“I can think of several school dogs in Pembrokeshire where it has gone wrong for the animal.”
He cites examples of ‘school dogs’ the county, where he says they have had to be removed, with the animals being unsettled, barking and even nipping on occasions, showing “a lack of understanding of animal welfare”.
His submission adds: “We have done some work with the Animal Welfare team at the Welsh Government around licensing this field, a consultation was completed in March 2023, currently awaiting the outcome.
“It has become a fad across the country and many dogs spend all day in schools supported by staff members who have another job to do. It feels like PCC does not have a policy overarching animal welfare policy in schools to protect dogs from being seen as staff members and there purely for human benefit, not the dogs.
“Dogs need to rest and sleep during the day and not in school. The visiting therapy dog model works best as the impact is greatest and the welfare of the dog is managed externally. If the dog is there all the time that can diminish the impact, and the novelty can wear off for the pupils.
“In my experience schools should concentrate on teaching and leave the therapy dog introduction to those that have the expertise in animal welfare.”
The submission will be considered by committee members at the November 28 meeting.
Charity
‘Grave concerns’ over national insurance hike
SENEDD Members expressed grave concerns about the impact of the UK Government’s national insurance tax hike on GPs, universities and charities in Wales.
Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth warned the rise in employer national insurance contributions from 13.8% to 15% in April will have a disproportionate impact in Wales.
He told the Senedd: “Labour are quick to accuse others of fantasy economics whilst their own plans represent nightmare economics for thousands of employers and employees.”
Raising concerns about the impact on job creation and wages, he said employment levels are at their lowest for almost a decade – lower than anywhere else in the UK.
He accused Labour of breaking a manifesto pledge as he pointed to an Office for Budgetary Responsibility (OBR) assessment that three quarters of the cost will be passed to workers.
Leading a debate on November 20, Mr ap Iorwerth called on the UK Treasury to fully cover the added cost to public sector employers in Wales.
He said: “It’s not the private sector only … bearing the brunt. Charities, GPs, universities – sectors already feeling the squeeze, to say the very least – have been taken to the brink.”
He pointed to “eye-watering” bills of £90,000 for some GPs, with the British Medical Association warning some surgeries could close as a consequence.
Mr ap Iorwerth said mental health charity Plattform faces a £250,000 annual bill and Welsh universities, “already crippled by financial challenges”, will face significant further pressures.
Plaid Cymru’s motion urged Welsh ministers to press the UK Government to apply a wider definition of the public sector workforce to include universities, GPs and charities.
Peter Fox, the Conservatives’ shadow finance secretary, similarly accused Labour of breaking a manifesto commitment not to raise tax on working people.
The former council leader said: “Time and time again – the chancellor went on TV and made the claim, only to u-turn after they got into power.”
Mr Fox, who represents Monmouth, said even a 1% rise in employer national insurance contributions for the public sector would cost Welsh taxpayers an extra £100m.
He told the Senedd: “The UK Government has said that it will provide funding to cover the cost of national insurance contributions for those workers.
“However, this will still come out of the taxpayer’s pocket … ultimately it is the taxpayers who are going to pay for the Chancellor’s tax increase.”
Luke Fletcher, Plaid Cymru’s shadow economy secretary, warned the national insurance rise will be a drag on an “already anaemic” Welsh jobs market.
His colleague Sioned Williams, who also represents South Wales West, described the chancellor’s “back-of-a-fag-packet” plans as senseless.
She raised concerns about six-figure increases in tax bills for charities including Tenovus, Marie Curie, Citizens Advice Cymru and the Wastesavers Charitable Trust.
Cefin Campbell, Plaid’ Cymru’s shadow education secretary, said the national insurance increase will cost Welsh universities an estimated extra £20m a year.
The Mid and West Wales MS warned: “Without a shadow of a doubt, these additional costs could push our higher education institutions over the precipice.”
Labour’s Hefin David said difficult decisions had to be made to fill a £22bn “black hole” left by the Tories but he rejected Plaid Cymru claims of a return to austerity.
Dr David told the Senedd: “Yes, tough decisions have to be made but I think that in the longer term, this is to everyone’s benefit.”
Andrew RT Davies, leader of the Conservative opposition, disputed the “incorrect” £22bn figure, saying the OBR found a £9bn gap.
Replying to the debate, Mark Drakeford stressed that neither he nor the Welsh Government has responsibility for national insurance contributions.
Wales’ finance secretary, who was appointed in September, criticised “fantasy economics” from opposition members on the Plaid Cymru and Conservative benches.
Deriding the “politics of the playground”, he said: “Both of them are willing to spend money on almost anything; neither of them are willing to raise the money necessary from anyone.”
Prof Drakeford said the chancellor returned national insurance broadly to where it had been as a share of gross domestic product for 13 of the 14 Conservative years.
The former First Minister pointed out that the UK Government offset national insurance rises on small employers by more than doubling the employment allowance.
He told the debating chamber or Siambr: “If you want to pay for things, you have to find the money to do so. That is what the chancellor had to do. That is how we will get the money that will come to public services here in Wales.”
Senedd Members voted 25-19 against Plaid Cymru’s motion.
News
Labour’s leaders enjoy Llandudno love-in
LABOUR’S conference in Llandudno last weekend was an opportunity for the Party’s great and good to come together and tell each other how wonderfully things are going.
The key message was that, while the Labour Government in Cardiff Bay was nothing less than a roaring success, things could only get better with Labour governments at either end of the M4. Labour in Wales must hope that this last phrase sticks in the electorate’s consciousness and glosses over Welsh Labour’s problems.
There are plenty of those problems, although you’d be hard-pressed to identify any of them from the keynote speeches delivered to the faithful.
Speakers hit all the important notes:
- Labour was delivering more money to the Welsh Government to spend (big cheer).
- There would be money to spend on the NHS (bigger cheer).
- There were no more Conservative MPs from Wales in Westminster (ecstatic rapture).
And so on and so forth in all the key speeches.
PREACHING TO THE CHOIR
It’s only fair to begin with the big cheese himself, Sir Keir Starmer. Cheese is the right word. The Prime Minister recapped his October speech at Labour’s national conference, and he laid on added Welsh schtick with a trowel. Nye Bevan, the NHS, the Industrial Revolution, the sense of community. All his speech lacked was the Morriston Orpheus Choir humming “A Hyd a Nos” in the background.
Thankfully, as is the way things are nowadays, there were no big announcements in Keir Starmer’s speech. Its content had been well-trailed. Bashing the Tories while taking credit for their policies and adding the odd million here and there is enough for a Labour leader in Wales to get a rapturous reception. And he got one.
Eluned Morgan was more old school: “There’s a new Wales on the horizon, and I intend to lead us there,” the First Minister began.
She continued to explain that: “The people’s priorities are my priorities.
Improved health and social care, delivering future-proofed jobs and growth, higher standards in our schools and more social housing because your postcode should never determine your prospects, improving transport and keeping people in touch. New trains, a new bus bill, better roads.”
Nobody could disagree with those objectives. Nobody casting a more critical eye over them could help but wonder why it’s taken 25 years for the penny to drop.
The First Minister’s attempt to create some pithy soundbites was undermined by how she introduced them: “They offer soundbites – and we deliver sound policies. They sow division – we build unity. They promise walls – we build bridges. They complain – while we campaign.
And while they look backwards – we move forwards.”
It was a bit like Tony Blair. “Now is not the time for soundbites, but the hand of history is on out shoulders.”
STEVENS STANDS OUT
Jo Stevens, the Secretary of State for Wales, hit an altogether stronger note.
She announced £13 million to provide support for workers, families and businesses affected by the closure of the Tata Steel blast furnaces in her first address to the Welsh Labour Conference since Labour won a landslide General Election result in July.
The investment from the Transition Board, which will provide non-repayable grants of up to £10,000 to help workers and their families set up their own businesses, is part of a wider £26.5 million package committed by the UK Labour Government since taking office, and part of an £80 million commitment to fully fund the Transition Board and to support workers that came out of Labour’s Autumn Budget.
Jo Stevens developed her theme by attacking the Conservatives’ failure to bankroll a scheme they’d announced: “In October last year, the Tories had promised £80m to support workers and businesses in Port Talbot. Nine months later, they hadn’t delivered a single penny.
“Now we know why – the £80 million was never there. It was one of a long list of unfunded spending commitments.
“Today, I am announcing a £13 million fund to support existing and new businesses in Port Talbot and across our steel communities. And Labour’s first Budget confirmed that £80 million in full.”
The conference loved it all. But apart from Jo Stevens repeating an attack line that Labour had already developed in the preceding weeks, it was rather thin gruel, albeit enthusiastically delivered.
THE PARTY OF GOVERNMENT
Wales’s Transport Minister, Ken Skates, announced a “new” Bus Bill to re-regulate bus services and integrate train and bus timetables, tickets and routes. The inverted commas around the word “new” are advisable as this is a Bill that’s long been out for consultation. Councils have already outlined their responses to it, and it was one of his predecessor’s major pieces of legislation. When the Bill is finally published next March, it will be only four years since the commitment appeared in the 2021 Manifesto and seven years since the Welsh Government announced its intention to legislate.
Having announced £22m to cut waiting times just over a fortnight before the Labour conference, Health Minister Jeremy Miles announced a further £28m, which included £3m to shorten waiting lists for children awaiting neurodevelopmental assessments.
Remarkably, the entirely nonpartisan Welsh Government press office was on hand to announce these initiatives in almost identical terms to the Labour Party’s press releases on the same subjects and as they were made to the Party faithful. There is a separation between the party political activities of Welsh Government ministers on the one hand and Welsh Government actions on the other. While the lines have blurred over recent years, it is not the business of Welsh Government employees to assist Ministers with campaigning activities, such as a conference speech.
Labour is the Party of government in Wales, but it is not the Party of the Welsh Government.
LABOUR’S WELSH PROBLEM
In Westminster opposition, Labour made many of the right noises about doing right by Wales. Chief among those noises was sending Wales “£4bn” as a consequential payment for the HS2 project that the Conservatives (boo!) had denied Wales. There were other promises, too:
- Rejigging the basis upon which Westminster allocated money to the devolved governments.
- Making sure the Welsh Government regained control over the funding that had replaced the European Union’s money.
- Devolving more powers to the Welsh Government.
Big promises, all of them.
In the thrill of victory and delivering and taking the credit for projects launched by the Conservatives (boo!), those promises have vanished into talking shops and the language of “hard choices”.
And so, to make up for the fact that the Westminster Labour Government has left its Cardiff comrades in the same position as the Emperor wearing his new clothes, Labour’s conference speeches were long on triumphalism and mood without any sign of much that was new.
Turnout in Wales on July 4 was down over 10.5%, and Labour’s share of the vote fell by 3.9%. Labour’s share of the General Election vote in Wales has only twice slipped below July’s level (in 2010 and 2015). Even in 2019, Labour polled better. In 1997, when Tony Blair’s New Labour swept the Conservatives from power almost as dramatically as in July, Labour won almost 55% of the vote in Wales.
Labour’s polling for the next Senedd election is even more dire than July’s outcome, with some polls showing support hovering around 30%. In 2026, the low turnout and divided vote that skewed General Election outcomes in Welsh constituencies could cause a very different outcome. Turnout in Welsh elections is often pitiful, and the new voting system could erode Labour’s dependable “red rosette on a donkey” vote.
Between now and May 2026, Labour must not only say what it wants to deliver but also get on with it. The lack of urgency about its previous Manifesto commitments and the ongoing omnishambles that is the Welsh NHS leave Eluned Morgan little room for manoeuvre.
In opposition, parties abuse the government of the day. In government, parties abuse the preceding government. In Wales, where Labour’s been in power for twenty-five years, the problem goes without saying.
-
Crime3 days ago
Pembroke man faces rape and sexual assault charges
-
Business9 hours ago
Specsavers relocates to landmark new store following £1.2 million investment
-
Community5 days ago
Special guests for Torch showing of ‘Attack on Sorpe Dam’
-
Community2 days ago
Waldo Lounge in Haverfordwest is now officially open!
-
News2 days ago
A tribute to Honey Arteya Foxx French, written by her family
-
Top News4 days ago
Pembrokeshire’s ‘coal king’ lifts one of world’s oldest 127 kg lifting stones
-
News4 days ago
Police appeal after Nerf gun bullet hit baby
-
Crime6 days ago
Man jailed for growing £500,000 worth of drugs in Pembroke