Business
Slower contractions in Welsh business activity and orders in December
WEAKER declines in output and new orders Firms remain optimistic for 2025 Employment falls at fastest rate since September 2020
The latest Cymru Growth Tracker from NatWest highlights a slower pace of decline in business activity and new orders for Welsh companies in December 2024.
The Wales Business Activity Index, which measures month-on-month changes in output across the manufacturing and service sectors, rose to 48.9 in December from 47.7 in November. While still below the 50.0 threshold that indicates growth, the latest reading signaled the slowest contraction in the current four-month downturn.
The softer decline in output was underpinned by only a slight fall in new orders. Welsh firms expressed optimism for increased activity in the year ahead, although concerns over economic uncertainty, rising costs, and selling prices tempered expectations.
Employment and Cost Pressures
Despite improved business activity, subdued demand, spare capacity, and heightened cost pressures led to the sharpest drop in employment since September 2020. Redundancies were driven by cost-cutting initiatives and lower sales, with voluntary leavers not being replaced.
Although firms managed to increase selling prices at the fastest rate since May 2024, business confidence slipped to a 13-month low.
Jessica Shipman, Chair of the NatWest Cymru Regional Board, commented:
“Welsh businesses saw a slightly brighter end to 2024 as contractions in output and new orders eased. Success in engaging new customers helped slow the decline in new business, and firms are cautiously optimistic about 2025. However, the pace of job cuts accelerated, and rising costs—particularly wages—pose ongoing challenges to margins.”
Comparing Wales to the UK
The performance of Welsh businesses contrasted with modest growth across the UK. While Wales recorded slower declines, the pace of contraction in business activity remained more pronounced than the UK average.
New orders also fell for a second consecutive month in December, though the decline was among the weakest of the ten UK regions experiencing downturns. Optimism among Welsh firms about future output fell to its lowest level since November 2023, lagging behind both the UK average and historical trends.
Inflation and Pricing Trends
Input costs at Welsh firms rose at their fastest pace since April 2024, driven by higher supplier prices, rents, and wage bills. The rate of cost inflation was slightly below the UK average, but the pressure remained historically high.
In response, businesses raised selling prices at the quickest rate since May 2024. Despite this, Wales saw one of the slower increases in charges among the 12 UK regions, with only Yorkshire & Humber, Northern Ireland, and the West Midlands recording weaker upticks.
Employment and Backlogs
Welsh private sector firms reported the steepest job cuts of all UK regions, with staffing levels falling at the fastest rate since September 2020. Similarly, incomplete work declined at the quickest pace among the monitored UK areas, reflecting subdued demand and increased spare capacity.
Business
Pembrokeshire Broad Haven holiday park works refused
A DEVELOPMENT call for a Pembrokeshire holiday park has been turned down by Pembrokeshire Coast National Park.
In an application to park planners, Broad Haven Holiday Park, through agent Gerald Blain Associates, sought permission for the relocation of a boat storage area, vehicle shed and play area along with rewilding of adjoining fields at Broad Haven Holiday Park, Broad Haven, near Haverfordwest.
The application was supported by local community council The Havens.

However, an officer report recommended refusal.
Detailing the application, it said: “The proposal relates to the extension of an existing static caravan holiday site into adjacent undeveloped woodland to accommodate the relocation of boat storage, a vehicle shed, and a children’s play area, together with associated ecological mitigation measures. No increased pitch numbers are proposed.
“The development site has already undergone some site clearance, resulting in the removal of approximately 1,000 square metres of woodland.”
It went on to say: “The existing site is already intervisible with the coast, and the proposed relocation of boat storage would likely increase its visibility rather than reduce it. Without supporting evidence in the form of a Landscape and Visual Impact Assessment (LVIA) or Zone of Theoretical Visibility (ZTV) demonstrating that the development would be visually contained, the proposal appears contrary to the guidance contained within the SPG and the objectives of Policy 41.
“As a result, the proposed development is considered to detract from the special qualities of the National Park in this location and would be detrimental to the quality and character of the landscape character area in which the site sits, and as such does not comply [with policies].”
The application was refused on grounds including it being sited within previously undeveloped land within a flood zone, a lack of information on potential impacts on biodiversity, and it is “considered to detract from the special qualities of the national park in this location and would be detrimental to the quality and character of the landscape character area in which the site sits”.
Business
Manorbier caravan park call refused by national park
A CALL to allow a Pembrokeshire caravan park to change part of its site from touring vans to static units without a formal planning application has been refused.
In an application to Pembrokeshire Coast National Park, Norfolk-based Park Farm Opco Ltd, through Chipping Norton-based agent Laister Planning Limited, sought a Lawful Development Certificate for the proposed stationing of static caravans in lieu of touring caravans, year-round, at Park Farm Holiday Park, Manorbier.
A supporting statement accompanying the application said: “The purpose of this application is to confirm that the touring caravans so permitted for year-round occupation on the western field at Park Farm, are capable of being replaced by static caravan pitches without effecting a material change of use. There is no specific number of touring or static caravans which is being sought at this juncture.”
It says Park Farm Holiday Park comprises of two areas, area A having some 61 owner-occupied static caravans, and area B used for touring caravan pitches and tents.
Planning permission was originally granted way back in 1956 for the caravan site, on a temporary basis, a Lawful Development Certificate for an existing use for the use of the site for up to 70 static caravans granted in December 1998, mainly covering area A.
The statement said the lawfulness of siting caravans year-round was previously confirmed by the park in 2024 “use as a campsite for touring caravans (not including twin-unit static caravans) and tents which shall be occupied for holiday use only and used as temporary, non-permanent units on a year-round basis”.
Of the proposals, it said: “The site is currently used for the stationing of touring caravans all year round. Most of the caravans on the site are stationed on what is called a ‘seasonal’ basis, where the owners leave them permanently stationed on the site and use them as holiday homes, paying an annual ‘seasonal’ fee.
“The proposed use of the site is to replace the permanently stationed touring caravans with permanently stationed static caravans. No specific number is provided, as no number is provided in any of the existing certificates, but it is anticipated that the total number of caravans in the application site will inevitably be reduced as the caravans are generally larger.
“There would be no other change in the way the site is operated, and the intention is to use the caravans for holiday purposes.”
An officer report recommending the certificate of lawfulness for the change be refused, saying it was “not satisfied that the evidence accompanying the application is sufficient to establish that the proposed use would be lawful”.
It said that while lawfulness certificates for tourers had been granted “it is considered that the siting of single-unit statics in lieu of those tourers, as now proposed, would be inconsistent with the lawful use of the site, and cannot be considered lawful in the same way,” adding “the changes proposed would result in a definable character change to the site of a magnitude that would be sufficient to amount to a material change of use requiring planning permission”.
The application for a certificate of lawfulness was refused on the grounds “the proposed use of the site would represent a material change of use requiring planning permission for which no permitted development rights exist, meaning a specific grant of planning permission is needed in order for the scheme to proceed”.
Business
Pembrokeshire Paddle West South Quay boat shed approved
A PADDLEBOARDING and canoeing company’s call for an extension to a boat shed at Pembroke’s South Quay, below its historic castle, has been given the go-ahead by county planners.
In an application to Pembrokeshire County Council, G Booth of Paddle West CIC, through agent James Dwyer Associates, sought permission for an extension to the stone-built boathouse, adjacent to the cliff on South Quay fronting the Mill Pond, Pembroke.
A supporting statement said: “It is intended to erect a single storey ‘lean-to’ building, or ‘shed’ for the storage of boats, such as canoes and kayaks, and related equipment, on a vacant space adjacent to the existing stone-built boathouse.”
It added: “The boathouse and the intended adjacent boat storage shed is located, as is to be expected, in close proximity to water, the Mill Pond. The Mill Pond is the main area of activity for Paddle West, a Community Interest Company, providing boating activities, kayaking, canoeing and paddle boarding, frequently for young people and families.”
It went on to say: “It is intended that the structure would be lightweight, erected on the exiting hard standing. The ‘shed’ would be used for the storage of boats and related equipment.”
With regard to the historic setting, it added: “Although the stone-built boathouse appears not to be listed, it is recognised that the walls above are listed and together they are a piece.
“Accordingly, through form and external materials proposed, timber cladding and profile sheet roofing, the aim is to ensure that the structure would be subservient and muted and not detract or compete with the visual aesthetic of the boathouse or historic walls. In effect the addition would blend into the background.”
The application, supported by Pembroke Town Council, was conditionally approved by county planners.
The boathouse is sited near to the new Henry Tudor Centre in South Quay, which is due to open in Spring 2027.
The centre, expected to receive around 30,000 visitors a year, will tell the story of Henry Tudor, son of Pembroke, his Welsh ancestry and his impact on our national story, Welsh culture and our wider British heritage.
The restored derelict South Quay buildings will also house a new library and community café, and a healthcare, social services and supported employment facility in the adjoining premises.
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