Politics
Wales could miss out on £65m to cover national insurance hikes

MARK DRAKEFORD warned Wales could miss out on up to £65m to cover the increased costs of employer national insurance contributions in the public sector.
The finance secretary confirmed that Rachel Reeves, the UK chancellor, has decided to distribute national insurance funding via the Barnett formula.
“I think that she is wrong to do that,” he said. “And I have said so in direct terms to the chief secretary of the treasury … as did the finance ministers for Scotland and Northern Ireland.”
He stressed: “We should have been compensated for the actual costs, not a Barnett share.”
Prof Drakeford told the Senedd: “The result is that we are now, it could be as much as £65m short of what we estimate public services in Wales – within the chancellor’s own definition – will have to pay.”
Labour’s Alun Davies described the population-based Barnett formula, which was devised in the late 1970s as a temporary measure, as not fit for purpose.
During finance questions on April 2, he told the Senedd: “It also ensures that Wales does not get a fair crack of the whip when it comes to the distribution of funding across the UK.”

The Blaenau Gwent Senedd member voiced concerns about the UK treasury using the formula to compensate public sector employers for national insurance costs from April.
Mr Davies said this would break an agreement that where one government takes a decision that has a negative impact on another, it should provide the costs in full.
Prof Drakeford agreed with his Labour colleague and Joel Barnett, who “many times” has described the formula he devised as no longer fit for purpose.
Holding a copy of the statement of funding policy referred to by Mr Davies, he said talks with the UK treasury on the matter continue and the figures will not be confirmed until late spring.
He said: “Paragraph 10 on page 13 says … ‘when decisions are taken by any of the administrations which leads to additional costs of another of the other administrations, the body whose decision leads to the additional cost will meet that cost’.
“Well, that suggests to me that when the UK Government made its decision that it should reimburse Welsh public services for the actual costs of the increase in NI contributions – not a Barnett share of the costs in England.”
The Conservatives’ Janet Finch-Saunders supported reforming funding to be based on need rather than population, calling for help for care homes with the costs of NI increases.

Prof Drakeford reiterated his position that the Welsh budget should not be used to plug gaps created by UK Government policies.
He emphasised the real issue is that the formula can only be reformed if every part of the UK agrees, “and some parts do rather well out of the Barnett formula”.
“The pressure on them to seek reform is not the same,” he said.
Describing national insurance as a “shocking” example, Adam Price said: “The Barnett formula is not just clearly unfair, it’s also inconsistently applied and lacks transparency.”

The Plaid Cymru politician warned: “It’s not working at any level.”
Prof Drakeford called for an independent oversight body: “We cannot go on, I believe, indefinitely having the [UK] treasury, the judge, jury and, occasionally, the executioner when it comes to the Barnett formula.”
Questioning the first minister a day earlier, Mr Davies argued reform of the Barnett formula is one of the most important questions facing Wales.
He said: “The real question facing this government and this parliament is protecting and investing in the future of our people and our communities. We can’t do that if Wales is the worst-funded country in the United Kingdom.”
Eluned Morgan responded: “I couldn’t agree more and that’s why I have made it a point of bringing up these issues at every opportunity I have had with the prime minister.”

Andrew Jeffreys, director of the Welsh treasury, last week reiterated the Welsh Government position that spending should be distributed based on need rather than the Barnett formula.
But he told a Senedd committee on Friday: “The UK Government doesn’t seem interested in any substantial reform to the way that system works.”
News
Welsh pensioners to receive state pension increase amidst mixed reactions

STARTING this month, over 600,000 pensioners across Wales will see their State Pensions rise by up to £470 annually, following the UK Government’s adherence to the ‘triple lock’ policy. This policy ensures that pensions increase each year by the highest of average earnings growth, inflation, or a minimum of 2.5%.
Government’s Position
The UK Government has emphasized its commitment to supporting pensioners through the triple lock. In a recent statement, it was noted that this commitment would result in the State Pension increasing by up to £1,900 over the course of the current Parliament.
Opposition and Think Tank Critiques
However, the policy has faced criticism from various quarters. The Liberal Democrats have raised concerns about the real impact of the pension increase, pointing out that due to the freezing of income tax thresholds, a significant portion of the pension rise could be offset by increased tax liabilities. They estimate that a typical basic rate tax-paying pensioner might see 77% of the pension increase negated by these tax measures.
Additionally, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has questioned the sustainability of the triple lock mechanism. They argue that while the policy aims to protect pensioners’ incomes, it may not be the most efficient approach and could lead to unpredictable fiscal burdens.
Pensions Minister’s Stance
Torsten Bell, the newly appointed Pensions Minister, has previously described the triple lock as “rubbish” and advocated for its replacement with a system that aligns state pension increases with benefits for jobseekers and the long-term sick. Despite his past remarks, recent reports indicate that he is now “fully committed” to maintaining the triple lock.
Economic Implications
Financial experts have also highlighted potential unintended consequences of the pension increase. The freezing of personal tax allowances means that some pensioners may find themselves pushed into higher tax brackets, thereby reducing the net benefit of the pension rise. This situation underscores the complex interplay between pension policies and tax regulations.
In summary, while the increase in State Pensions is a welcome development for many Welsh pensioners, it has sparked a broader debate about the effectiveness and sustainability of the triple lock policy, as well as its interaction with the broader tax system.
News
Welsh Government unveils new legislation to transform bus services

PROPOSALS to overhaul the way local bus services are planned and delivered across Wales have been published today, with the aim of improving services for passengers and encouraging more people to use public transport.
A new Bill has been laid before the Senedd which, if passed, will grant powers to establish a fully integrated bus network that puts passenger needs first.
Key proposals include creating one network, one timetable, and one ticket system across Wales. Services will be designed based on local knowledge but coordinated nationally by Transport for Wales, working in close partnership with local authorities and Corporate Joint Committees. The new system would primarily operate through franchised contracts delivered by private, public, and third sector operators.
Welcoming the Bus Services (Wales) Bill, Cabinet Secretary for Transport and North Wales Ken Skates said the legislation had the potential to transform bus travel for communities across the country.
“This is a historic day for public transport in Wales as proposals for bus reform begin their journey through the Senedd,” said Mr Skates. “This is about putting people first—offering one network, one timetable and one ticket across Wales.
“Change is needed. While some areas are well-served, it’s not the case everywhere. I want a bus network that is reliable, affordable, easy to use, and better integrated with other modes of transport such as trains and active travel.
“The benefits are clear: improved access to services, greater equity for those most reliant on public transport, and a meaningful alternative to car travel.”
Buses carry around 190,000 passengers a day in Wales and account for three-quarters of all public transport journeys. The Bill aims to address common barriers to bus use—such as poor reliability, lack of ticket interoperability between operators, and weak links with other transport modes.
The public will benefit from clearer, easier-to-navigate timetables and more seamless transitions between buses and trains. Ticket revenue will be reinvested across the country, improving services in both rural and urban areas.
Mr Skates highlighted current examples of successful integration, including the TrawsCymru T1 service, which already offers joint bus and rail tickets, and the 1bws ticket in North Wales, valid on almost every local bus in the region.
“These examples show what can be achieved with joined-up thinking,” he said. “I don’t underestimate the scale of change this Bill represents, which is why the rollout will happen region by region. But when complete, it will be truly transformational.”
The rollout is expected to begin in South West Wales in 2027, followed by North Wales in 2028, South East Wales in 2029, and Mid Wales in 2030. However, Mid Wales will benefit from earlier improvements through the Bridge to Franchising programme, already underway.
News
Welsh Lib Dems call for expansion of free childcare across Wales

THE WELSH LIBERAL DEMOCRATS have pledged to make childcare a central pillar of their platform ahead of the 2026 Senedd elections, with a bold new commitment to offer 30 hours of free childcare per week for all children aged nine months to four years old.
During a visit to Meithrinfa Y Pelican nursery in Cardiff on Thursday (Apr 4), party leader Jane Dodds MS set out the plans ahead of the party’s Spring Conference. She said tackling high childcare costs was essential not only to ease the cost-of-living crisis for families, but also to support the Welsh economy.
“The extortionate cost of childcare is one of the biggest challenges families face,” Dodds said. “It’s not only impacting child poverty rates, but it’s also dragging down our economy and preventing parents – especially women – from pursuing the careers they want.”
Dodds highlighted the party’s recent success in securing £30 million through budget negotiations to expand the Flying Start programme. This funding will provide childcare for all two-year-olds in Wales and increase the hourly rate to support providers. However, she said this was just the beginning.
“If we are in a position to shape government policy after the next election, we will go much further,” she added.
During the visit, nursery staff outlined the challenges facing childcare providers, including rising National Insurance contributions, increased energy and water bills, and general inflation. Many nurseries have had to raise their fees simply to maintain minimum staffing levels.
Dodds emphasised that a vote for the Welsh Liberal Democrats next year would be a vote to reduce childcare costs, help families through the cost-of-living crisis, and stimulate the Welsh economy.
“Every child deserves the best possible start in life, no matter their background,” she said.
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