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Labour reeling after Caerphilly loss as Plaid surges ahead

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Plaid Cymru victory in traditional Labour heartland sparks fears of wider collapse ahead of May elections

LABOUR faces growing internal unrest following a devastating defeat in the Caerphilly Senedd by-election, with MPs warning that a repeat of such results next May could spell the end of Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership.

Plaid Cymru secured a decisive victory, beating Reform UK and leaving Labour with just 11% of the vote in a seat once regarded as one of its safest. The result represents a 27% swing away from the party and has triggered fears that Labour could be pushed into third place in Wales if the trend continues.

Crushing result in century-old Labour stronghold

Caerphilly has been a Labour stronghold for more than a century and still returns a Labour MP to Westminster, but voters turned decisively away from the party in Thursday’s poll.
Plaid candidate Lindsay Whittle, a long-serving local councillor, won 15,961 votes—around 47% of the total—while Reform’s Llŷr Powell finished second with just under 12,000. Labour trailed far behind.

One senior Labour backbencher described the result as “a totally incoherent strategy coming home to roost,” adding: “If the national vote across Wales in May is even close to Caerphilly, we can’t carry on like this.”

Reform setback despite Farage visits

For Reform UK, which had expected a breakthrough, the result was also disappointing. Party leader Nigel Farage visited the constituency several times but admitted afterwards that Plaid’s strong local candidate and Labour’s collapse had cost his party the seat. “The Senedd elections next year are a two-horse race between Reform and Plaid,” he said.

Reform’s candidate Llŷr Powell said the experience had been valuable training ahead of the nationwide contests next May. “We’ve built up local campaigning teams and learned a lot about the ground game,” he said.

Pressure mounts on Starmer

In Westminster, Labour MPs described the atmosphere as “despondent”. Some warned that if similar results were repeated across Wales and parts of England, Starmer could face a leadership challenge before summer.

“The loss of Caerphilly is a blaring alarm,” one MP told The Herald. “We can’t drift through winter on autopilot. People want to hear what Labour actually stands for, not just what it opposes.”

Others accused party strategists of failing to articulate a clear vision, with one MP comparing Labour’s stance on immigration to “borrowing Reform’s language”.

However, Cabinet Office minister Nick Thomas-Symonds defended the party’s approach, saying voters were clear that border security remained a major public concern that could not be ignored.

Plaid hails ‘hope over division’

Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth hailed the victory as proof that Wales was “ready for new leadership”.
“The people of Caerphilly have chosen hope over division and progress over the tired status quo,” he said. “We are now the real choice for Wales—the only party able to stop billionaire-backed Reform and offer a better future that works for everyone.”

Political analysts say the result reflects growing volatility among Welsh voters and a shift in support from both Labour and Reform towards Plaid in areas once considered Labour heartlands.

With local elections looming in May and more than 1,600 council seats in play across the UK, Labour strategists now face the task of preventing a regional revolt from becoming a national crisis.

 

Politics

Porthgain holiday let scheme approved by national park

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A CALL to regularise the use of an annexe as a holiday let at the Pembrokeshire seaside village of Porthgain has been given the go-ahead.

In an application to Pembrokeshire Coast National Park, Ryan Davies sought permission for a change of use of a previously occupied annexe at Gallery Cottage, Harbour Lights Gallery, Porthgain for use as a short-term holiday let.

An officer report recommending approval said: “This application seeks consent for a change of use from the existing C3 use of the annexe known as Gallery Cottage to allow both family and guest short stays. The annexe had originally been given consent for use purely incidental to the enjoyment of the main dwelling. However, the annexe is currently in use as a short-term holiday let.

“An application under Section 73 has previously been submitted to allow the subdivision of the property as a whole in order that the use of the annexe as a short-term holiday let could be regularised.

“However, given that this would have involved a fundamental change to the development previously granted, it was considered that a full application would be required.

“It is not considered that the change of use of the annexe to a short-term holiday let would result in harm being caused to the residential amenity of nearby properties, nor the special qualities of the National Park.

“Neither is it deemed that the residential amenities of the dwelling known as ‘Harbour Lights’ or the closest dwelling to the rear would be adversely affected since the unit is separated from the main dwelling by a frame shop, gallery space and an office/store room and on a different level to the nearest other dwelling.”

It added: “This application also seeks to regularise some external changes to the building and boundary treatments since the granting of [a 2021 application for the erection of extension and alterations to provide additional habitable accommodation to existing dwelling following demolition of gallery workshop / shed].

“It is deemed that since the overall form of the annexe remains largely the same, there would be no harm caused to the general character of the area, nor to the special qualities of the Park.”

The application was conditionally approved by park planners.

 

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Political leaders and unions react to Milford Haven school assault

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First Minister, MP, MS and teaching unions call for safety and support for staff

POLITICAL leaders and teaching unions across Wales have spoken out following Thursday’s assault on a teacher at Milford Haven School, which led to a lockdown, a major police response and the arrest of a 15-year-old boy on suspicion of attempted murder.

The First Minister Eluned Morgan said she was “deeply concerned” by the incident and stressed that violence had no place in Welsh schools.

Police at Milford Haven School on May 5 (Pic: Herald)

Her comments come just days after she visited the Milford Haven campus following the school being placed into special measures by Estyn, where she met leaders to discuss improvement plans and support arrangements.

She said her thoughts were with the injured teacher, their family and the wider school community, and praised the swift response of staff and emergency services.

Henry Tufnell MP

Local MP Henry Tufnell, who represents Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, described the incident as deeply upsetting for what he called a close-knit community.

He said he was thinking of the teacher and pupils affected and thanked Dyfed-Powys Police and ambulance crews for their professionalism.

Meanwhile Senedd Member Samuel Kurtz said: “Deeply concerning news across the water in Milford Haven.

“Sadly, violence in our schools is becoming all too common, and thanks must go to the emergency services for their timely response. Thoughts are with the injured teacher, their family and the wider school community.”

Leader of the Welsh Conservatives Andrew RT Davies said teachers must feel safe at work and called for continued support for school staff.

Teaching unions also responded.

NASUWT said teachers “deserve to feel safe in their workplace” and that any violence against staff must be taken seriously, while National Education Union said schools must remain safe spaces for both pupils and staff and urged continued focus on safeguarding and behaviour support.

All said support would be offered to the Milford Haven school community in the days ahead as police investigations continue.

 

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Another Senedd member defects to Reform as Lib Dem MP hits out

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David Chadwick MP says James Evans MS ‘put career before constituents’ after party switch

A SENEDD member has defected to Reform UK, prompting sharp criticism from a neighbouring MP who accused him of abandoning his principles to protect his political future.

James Evans has left the Conservatives to join Reform UK, a move that immediately drew fire from local David Chadwick, the Welsh Liberal Democrats MP for Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe.

Mr Chadwick said the switch raised serious questions about consistency and loyalty to voters in mid Wales.

‘Career before constituents’

In a strongly-worded statement, Mr Chadwick said: “What’s clear is that James Evans is more interested in protecting his own career than standing up for his constituents in Brecon and Radnorshire.

“You could fill a library with his past criticisms of Reform and of Conservative defectors. He has described Reform as a danger to national security because of its links to Russia, and warned they would push Britain towards an insurance-based NHS.

“Yet the moment his own seat came under threat, he jumped ship to the very people he once said had no principles.

“The Welsh Liberal Democrats are clear: our principles are not for sale. We will continue to do what we were elected to do, stand up for our constituents, not engage in political psychodrama.”

Past remarks resurface

The comments highlight a series of previous attacks made by Mr Evans on Reform UK and those who had joined the party.

He has previously questioned Reform’s leadership and direction, and suggested the party could not be trusted with the NHS, warning of a move towards insurance-based healthcare.

The Liberal Democrats also pointed to remarks made last year when Mr Evans criticised another Conservative who defected, saying she had “no principles”.

Opponents say those statements now sit uneasily with his own decision to change parties.

Growing political pressure

The defection comes amid increasing competition between parties across rural and mid Wales, with Reform seeking to capitalise on dissatisfaction with both Labour and the Conservatives ahead of the next Senedd election.

Mr Evans has yet to respond publicly to Mr Chadwick’s comments.

 

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