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Hormuz tensions raise concerns for Welsh LNG supplies through Milford Haven

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RISING tensions in the Middle East could have implications for energy supplies reaching Wales, experts have warned, as concerns grow over potential disruption to Qatari liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

Industry analysts say the deployment of naval mines in the strategic waterway could significantly delay the resumption of Qatari LNG exports, even if production facilities return to normal operation quickly.

The warning is particularly relevant for Pembrokeshire, where the South Hook LNG Terminal at Milford Haven—one of Europe’s largest LNG import facilities—is majority owned by Qatar and plays a key role in supplying gas to the UK.

Security experts told specialist energy service Montel News that any mining of the strait could make reopening the route “far more complex and gradual,” potentially keeping global gas supplies tight and prices elevated for longer.

Wael Abdel Moati, global gas expert and Chief Gas Officer at the Organisation of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries, said that restoring LNG supply levels could take “significantly longer than expected” if naval mines were present.

“Even if LNG production and exports were to resume quickly, the presence of naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz would make the reopening of the waterway far more complex and gradual,” he said.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important energy chokepoints. A large proportion of the world’s LNG shipments—including exports from Qatar—must pass through the narrow channel between Iran and Oman before reaching global markets.

Any disruption there has immediate consequences for Europe and the UK, both of which rely heavily on LNG imports.

For Pembrokeshire, the stakes are particularly high. Tankers carrying Qatari LNG regularly dock at South Hook LNG in Milford Haven, where the gas is processed and fed directly into the UK’s national grid.

The terminal is a critical part of Britain’s energy infrastructure and has been central to the country’s gas supply since it opened in 2009.

Military analysts say clearing naval mines from the strait could require significant military operations before normal shipping resumes.

Derek Steel, managing director of security consultancy Chartsec and a former UK special forces officer, said minesweeping operations and naval escorts would likely be required before LNG carriers could safely pass through the area.

He said the United States and its allies would need to neutralise Iranian naval capabilities before shipping lanes could be considered secure.

Even after mines are cleared, experts warn that LNG carriers may require naval escort through the strait until shipowners and insurers regain confidence in the safety of the route.

Recent reports from US Central Command said military forces had already “eliminated” several suspected minelaying vessels near the strait amid fears that Iran may be attempting to deploy sea mines in the region. Iran is believed to possess thousands of naval mines.

Energy analysts say that if shipments from Qatar are delayed, global LNG prices could remain high, potentially feeding through to higher energy costs across Europe.

For communities around Milford Haven—home to both South Hook LNG and the nearby Dragon LNG terminal—the developments underline how international conflicts can quickly affect Wales’ role in the global energy system.

 

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US surveillance aircraft hit in Iranian strike on Saudi base

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A US AIR FORCE E-3 Sentry airborne warning and control aircraft appears to have been heavily damaged — and possibly destroyed — during an Iranian missile and drone strike on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia on Friday (March 27).

Images circulating online, now also carried by The New York Times and other international outlets, show the rear fuselage of an E-3 burned out, with its distinctive radar dome separated and lying on the tarmac nearby. The extent of the visible damage suggests the aircraft may be beyond repair, although US officials have not formally confirmed the loss.

Reports cited by the The Jerusalem Post indicate that between ten and twelve American service personnel were wounded in the attack, with at least two said to be in a serious condition. The strike, which took place around 60 miles south of Riyadh in the early hours, is understood to have involved a coordinated barrage including at least one ballistic missile alongside multiple attack drones.

The same reports claim that other aircraft at the base may also have been damaged, including KC-135 Stratotanker refuelling aircraft, although this has not been independently verified.

Prince Sultan Air Base has been a key hub for US air operations in the region and has reportedly come under repeated attack in recent weeks. According to the Jerusalem Post, earlier incidents included a strike that wounded fourteen personnel earlier in the week, and a missile attack on March 1 which is said to have killed one servicemember.

High-value target

The E-3 Sentry is one of the most important aircraft in the US military’s inventory. Based on a modified Boeing 707 airframe, it is equipped with a large rotating radar dome providing 360-degree surveillance over hundreds of miles. The aircraft acts as a flying command centre, coordinating fighters, tracking threats, and managing complex air operations in real time.

The US Air Force originally operated around thirty E-3 aircraft, although that number has now been reduced to approximately sixteen as the ageing fleet is gradually retired. Around six had reportedly been deployed to the Middle East ahead of the current conflict.

Each aircraft cost roughly $270 million to build in the 1990s, which would equate to approximately $500 million to $700 million (£400m–£550m) today. However, analysts say the true value of the platform lies not in its price tag, but in the critical role it plays in maintaining air superiority and battlefield coordination.

Heather Penney, a former F-16 pilot and analyst at the Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies, described the potential loss as “incredibly problematic,” noting that such aircraft act as the “chessmaster” of modern air warfare, overseeing and directing operations across the battlespace.

Strategic implications

If confirmed, the loss or severe damage of an E-3 would represent a significant blow to US and allied operations in the region. The aircraft provides early warning of incoming threats and enables the coordination of large-scale air campaigns — capabilities that are difficult to replace quickly.

The strike may also highlight increasing sophistication in Iranian targeting. The Jerusalem Post reports that the attack appeared to focus on high-value assets, suggesting access to detailed intelligence on aircraft positions and operational patterns at the base. However, claims of external intelligence support have not been independently verified.

The incident underlines the vulnerability of even heavily defended installations to coordinated missile and drone attacks, and raises further concerns about escalation in an already volatile region.

At the time of publication, US officials had not issued a detailed public assessment of the damage or confirmed whether the aircraft has been written off.

 

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Britain exposed: UK has no real shield against long-range Iranian missile threat

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Reliance on US interceptors leaves gaps as Iran’s reach grows

BRITAIN would struggle to defend itself against a long-range ballistic missile attack and would instead rely heavily on American systems based in Eastern Europe and at sea — with no guarantee of success.

That is the stark reality emerging after Iran’s attempted strike on a UK–US base at Diego Garcia on Saturday (March 21), a move that caught many world leaders off guard and marked a significant escalation in capability.

Defence analysts say that its possible for Iran to hit targets of up to 4000 miles away

Concerns are further heightened by Iran’s development of larger space launch vehicles, including the Simorgh, Zuljanah, Ghaem-100 and Qased systems, which on paper demonstrate ranges of between 2,200 km and up to 6,000 km, with payload capacities of up to 1,000 kg. While these rockets are officially designed to place satellites into orbit rather than deliver warheads, they use the same multi-stage technology and propulsion systems found in long-range ballistic missiles. Defence analysts have long warned that such programmes provide a clear pathway to intercontinental strike capability, raising the prospect that parts of Europe — and potentially even the UK — could fall within reach if these technologies are adapted for military use.

No UK shield over Britain

The UK has no dedicated system to shoot down long-range ballistic missiles over its own territory.

While RAF Fylingdales provides early warning and tracking, it cannot intercept incoming threats. Britain’s air defence network — including RAF jets and ground systems — is designed for aircraft, drones and cruise missiles, not high-speed ballistic weapons.

In simple terms, if a missile were heading toward a target such as Milford Haven’s energy facilities, there is no British-operated system that could reliably stop it at the last moment.

America would have to act

Instead, any interception attempt would fall to the United States.

Key assets include:

  • Aegis Ashore missile defence bases in Romania and Poland
  • US Navy warships equipped with SM-3 interceptors
  • Wider NATO tracking and coordination systems

These systems are capable of striking a missile in space during its midcourse phase, long before it reaches the UK.

But there is a crucial limitation: they can only engage if the missile passes within range of those systems.

If the trajectory falls outside that envelope — or if no US ship is positioned correctly — there may be no interception at all.

A probability, not protection

Even when an intercept is attempted, success is far from certain.

Testing data for the SM-3 system suggests success rates of roughly 50 to 80 per cent per engagement, depending on conditions. In practice, multiple interceptors are often fired at a single target to improve the odds.

That still leaves a significant margin for failure.

In a real-world scenario involving countermeasures, technical faults or multiple missiles, the chances of at least one getting through rise sharply.

Gaps in coverage

The NATO missile defence network is not a continuous shield.

It is a patchwork of coverage zones tied to specific systems:

  • Romania and Poland provide fixed land-based interception capability
  • US warships offer flexible but limited coverage depending on deployment

There is no permanent protective umbrella over the UK itself.

If a missile does not pass through one of those defended zones, Britain would effectively be relying on luck and geometry.

Deterrence, not defence

Ultimately, the UK’s primary protection is not interception — it is deterrence.

Any successful strike on British soil would almost certainly trigger a major NATO response, making such an attack extraordinarily risky for any adversary.

But deterrence does not equal defence.

A growing concern

Iran’s attempted long-range strike on Diego Garcia has shifted the debate sharply.

The use of a missile capable of travelling thousands of kilometres surprised many Western leaders, who had not expected Tehran to demonstrate that level of reach in the current crisis. Although one missile failed and another was intercepted, the incident has raised fresh questions about how far Iran’s capabilities have advanced.

For years, the idea of a missile threat to Europe — let alone Britain — was largely theoretical. Now, defence analysts are treating it as a credible future risk, even if capability remains limited today.

The bottom line

The UK can detect a missile, track it, and coordinate a response — but when it comes to actually stopping it, the country would be dependent on American systems operating at distance, with no certainty of success.

If a missile ever did get through, there would be little standing between it and its target.

And that is the uncomfortable truth behind the headlines.

 

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Why Toronto should be your top travel pick for 2026

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Direct flights from Cardiff make Canada more accessible than ever

TORONTO has long been one of the world’s most dynamic cities—but in 2026, it is set to shine brighter than ever.

With a packed calendar of major sporting events, new attractions, and a renewed focus on arts, culture, and design, Canada’s largest city is fast becoming one of North America’s must-visit destinations.

For travellers across Wales and the West of England, getting there has never been easier. New direct flights from Cardiff Airport with WestJet launch on Friday (May 23), with return fares starting from £425*, offering a convenient alternative to travelling via London.

A city constantly reinventing itself, Toronto offers something new on every visit. In 2026, visitors can expect expanded waterfront experiences, new cultural spaces, and a thriving creative scene that continues to redefine the city.

Neighbourhoods such as Queen West, Riverside, and the Distillery District are at the heart of this energy—home to independent boutiques, craft breweries, contemporary galleries, and live music venues that showcase Toronto’s creative pulse.

The city’s diversity is perhaps its greatest strength, and nowhere is this more evident than in its food. From authentic Chinatown dumplings and Little Italy pasta to Caribbean street food and cutting-edge chef-led pop-ups, Toronto offers a global dining experience unlike any other. Nearby Ontario wine regions and lakeside farm-to-table restaurants add even more depth to its culinary appeal.

Despite its urban scale, Toronto also offers easy access to nature. A short ferry ride brings visitors to the peaceful beaches of the Toronto Islands, while scenic parks, lakes, and hiking trails are all within easy reach. Just 90 minutes away, Niagara Falls provides one of the world’s most iconic natural day trips.

The city will also take centre stage in 2026 as a host city for the FIFA World Cup, giving visitors the chance to experience world-class football in a truly global setting.

Toronto’s position as a major international hub makes it an ideal gateway for further travel. From here, visitors can easily extend their journey to destinations including Montreal, Ottawa and Quebec City, or major US cities such as New York, Chicago and Boston. Canada’s vast national parks and scenic regions are also within reach.

Whether it’s a family holiday, a cultural escape, or a multi-city North American adventure, Toronto offers a compelling alternative to traditional long-haul destinations.

With direct flights now operating from Cardiff Airport, travellers can begin their journey closer to home—avoiding long transfers and enjoying a smoother start to their trip.

Cardiff Airport CEO Jon Bridge said: “Toronto is one of the most vibrant and exciting destinations in North America, offering visitors an incredible mix of culture, cuisine, sport and natural beauty.

“With direct flights now available from Cardiff with WestJet, travellers across Wales and the West of England can discover everything the city and the wider region has to offer, while enjoying the convenience of starting their journey from their local airport.”

 

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