Politics
Poll predicts narrow Labour win for Mid-South Pembrokeshire seat
THE NEW general election seat of Mid and South Pembrokeshire is expected to see a narrow Labour win over the Conservatives, against a projected landslide win for Keir Starmer nationally, in what is a now a six-way local battle for your vote.
As part of constituency changes, Pembrokeshire’s seats of Preseli Pembrokeshire and Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, are now no more.
As part of the changes, bits of north Pembrokeshire – including St Davids and– are joining the new Mid and South Pembrokeshire constituency.
Other parts of the north of the county are now in the new Ceredigion Preseli constituency; areas including Fishguard, Crymych and Maenclochog joining with Ceredigion.
With a July 4 date set for the general election, the currently declared candidates for Mid and South Pembrokeshire are: Welsh Liberal Democrat Alistair Cameron, with Stephen Crabb for the Conservatives, Stuart Marchant for Reform UK, James Purchase for the Green Party, Cris Tomos for Plaid Cymru, and Henry Tufnell for Labour.
Global public opinion and data company YouGov is predicting Labour’s Keir Starmer could be heading to Downing Street with a historic majority of 194 seats, a central projection of 422 Labour wins, which would be bigger than Tony Blair’s 1997 victory, and the second largest majority in British political history after Stanley Baldwin’s figure of 210 in 1924.
With the new boundary changes Wales will be dropping from 40 seats to 32 seats after the general election, and YouGov’s model has Labour winning 28 of them.
YouGov’s figures for the new Mid and South Pembrokeshire seat predict a Labour win, with 42.6 percent of the vote, followed by Conservatives on 33.4, Reform 9.4, Plaid Cymru 7.4, Liberal Democrats 3.6, and Green 2.8.
Labour, Conservative and Liberal Democrat candidates have previously outlined why you should have their vote.
Green candidate James Purchase was walking the long-distance pilgrim trail to Santiago de Compostela in Spain when the election was declared.
“I, James Purchase, was eating a pilgrim’s meal with my wife, Carolyn, when I heard someone mumble in Spanish something about ‘Sunak’ – whilst pointing at their phone and looking at us.
“We are walking the long-distance pilgrim trail to Santiago de Compostela in Spain and our fellow peregrines knew us to be from Walesland!
“I immediately guessed what was afoot and my online news feed confirmed my horror. I feel certain that Rishi Sunak waited until I was out of the country before calling the election! What other reason could there be – as everyone said it would be an Autumn election?
“However, his plan has been foiled as we have an excellent Pembrokeshire Green Party Committee looking after things whilst I’m away and I shall be back as fast as my little legs will carry me … literally!”
Plaid’s Cris Tomos, a former county councillor and north county community activist, said: “I will be focussing my campaign on how greater powers can be given to communities and neighbourhoods to address local employment, energy and home building opportunities and develop neighbourhood plans to support carers and those affected by the spiralling day to day expenses and cost of living .
“There needs to be a fundamental change in British politics, a new vision of economic focus on communities and supporting small and medium size businesses within those neighbourhoods. We need to ensure communities can support and scrutinise development such as harmful waste processing sites in their neighbourhood and have the final say when harmful developments can be permanently blocked, such as the waste site in Withyhedge.”
Reform UK has been contacted for a picture and statement for its candidate, Stuart Marchant.
Business
Pembrokeshire Broad Haven holiday park works refused
A DEVELOPMENT call for a Pembrokeshire holiday park has been turned down by Pembrokeshire Coast National Park.
In an application to park planners, Broad Haven Holiday Park, through agent Gerald Blain Associates, sought permission for the relocation of a boat storage area, vehicle shed and play area along with rewilding of adjoining fields at Broad Haven Holiday Park, Broad Haven, near Haverfordwest.
The application was supported by local community council The Havens.

However, an officer report recommended refusal.
Detailing the application, it said: “The proposal relates to the extension of an existing static caravan holiday site into adjacent undeveloped woodland to accommodate the relocation of boat storage, a vehicle shed, and a children’s play area, together with associated ecological mitigation measures. No increased pitch numbers are proposed.
“The development site has already undergone some site clearance, resulting in the removal of approximately 1,000 square metres of woodland.”
It went on to say: “The existing site is already intervisible with the coast, and the proposed relocation of boat storage would likely increase its visibility rather than reduce it. Without supporting evidence in the form of a Landscape and Visual Impact Assessment (LVIA) or Zone of Theoretical Visibility (ZTV) demonstrating that the development would be visually contained, the proposal appears contrary to the guidance contained within the SPG and the objectives of Policy 41.
“As a result, the proposed development is considered to detract from the special qualities of the National Park in this location and would be detrimental to the quality and character of the landscape character area in which the site sits, and as such does not comply [with policies].”
The application was refused on grounds including it being sited within previously undeveloped land within a flood zone, a lack of information on potential impacts on biodiversity, and it is “considered to detract from the special qualities of the national park in this location and would be detrimental to the quality and character of the landscape character area in which the site sits”.
Politics
Calls to reopen access to top of Pembrokeshire’s Hean Castle
CALLS for permission to replace a decayed spiral staircase preventing access to the top of Pembrokeshire’s historic Hean Castle mansion have been submitted.
In a listed building application submitted to Pembrokeshire Coast National Park, The Trustees of T O Lewis Trust, through agent Acanthus Holden Architects, seeks permission for the removal of a decayed timber spiral staircase and replacement in aluminium, along with pointing and masonry repairs to a flue turret, stairs turret and s bay at the Grade-II-listed Hean Castle, near Saundersfoot.
A supporting statement accompanying the application says the works planned will reinstate the spiral stairs access to the main castle tower, the scheme “aimed at reducing moisture ingress through the thin, walled turrets a replacing a rotten timber spiral staircase 13m tall”.
It says the upper third of the wooden treads in the “existing and very possibly the original spiral staircase” are “now badly decayed where they slot into the equally rotten stringers at this level, to the point that safe access to the turret top is no longer safe”.

It adds: “The replacement of the stairs in timber is a difficult and a very costly exercise with all fabrication and erection carried out likely to have been carried out originally on site. Accessing the turret at high level on the outside is also very difficult and only limited repointing will be possible.
“Ongoing water ingress into the turret would likely lead to further rotting of the replacement timber stairs in the near future.
“Two options have been considered for the replacement of the stairs in metal: Aluminium and Galvanised steel, both with similar cost implications.
“Aluminium is favoured and an acceptable quote has been received for the supply of a sectional staircase with ‘made to measure’ hard wood timber treads bolted to the Newell brackets. The made-to-measure treads will allow us a degree of flexibility with regard to any variance in the diameter of the ‘tube’.”
It says the proposed works will secure long-term sustainability, improve accessibility, and address urgent fabric defects.
The application will be considered by park planners at a later date.
News
Game of Thrones star urges voters to back anti-DARC parties
ACTOR Jerome Flynn has urged voters in Wales to back parties opposed to the proposed DARC radar scheme at Cawdor Barracks, saying the issue could be decided by the next Welsh Government.
The Pembrokeshire-based Game of Thrones star, also known for Soldier Soldier and Robson & Jerome, made the appeal in a video released by PARC Against DARC on Tuesday (May 5), just two days before polling day in the Senedd election.
Radar row enters election campaign
Flynn urged voters in Ceredigion Penfro and across Wales to support Plaid Cymru or the Green Party, saying both parties had pledged to oppose the project.
The Ministry of Defence has submitted a planning application to Pembrokeshire County Council for 27 radar antennas and associated infrastructure at Cawdor Barracks, near Brawdy.
The scheme forms part of the Deep Space Advanced Radar Capability programme, linked to the AUKUS defence partnership between the UK, US and Australia.
The MOD says DARC would help detect, identify and track objects in Earth orbit, supporting military and civilian satellite security.
Opponents claim the radar would industrialise part of the Pembrokeshire countryside, damage the setting of the national park, and increase the area’s military significance.
Flynn says project ‘not a done deal’
In the video, Flynn described the election as “probably the most crucial vote we’ve made in 25 years”.
He claimed the next Senedd could play a decisive role in the future of the project, saying: “I’m here to say, it’s not a done deal because Plaid Cymru and the Greens have both made party-led decisions to say no to Westminster.
“We’re not having such a thing on our beloved coast.”
Flynn also described St Davids as “the spiritual home of Wales” and criticised what he called “the most unspeakably abominable planning application” on the edge of the Pembrokeshire Coast National Park.
Campaign steps up pressure
PARC Against DARC said it welcomed Flynn’s intervention and said it had distributed 22,000 leaflets around Pembrokeshire in recent weeks.
The campaign group said First Minister Eluned Morgan’s recent comments on the scheme did not go far enough.
A spokesperson said: “While Eluned Morgan has come out in the final hour to call for DARC to be halted, we fear this does not go nearly far enough.
“Plaid Cymru and the Green Party have both made it their national party policy to oppose and stop DARC, so we have no doubt of the authenticity of their commitment.”
The group is also urging residents to submit objections to Pembrokeshire County Council before the current publicity period ends on May 20.
Welsh Government role
Campaigners say the next Welsh Government could intervene by “calling in” the planning application, meaning Welsh ministers would take responsibility for deciding it rather than leaving the final decision with Pembrokeshire County Council.
That possibility has made DARC a significant local election issue in Ceredigion Penfro, where Eluned Morgan is Labour’s lead candidate, Elin Jones leads the Plaid Cymru list, and Amy Nicholass heads the Green Party list.
Under the new Senedd voting system, voters will elect six Members of the Senedd for the constituency using a proportional list system.
PARC Against DARC said this meant there was “far less need for tactical voting” and argued that voters opposed to the radar could support either Plaid Cymru or the Greens.
Wider concerns
Campaigners have repeatedly claimed that the radar would make Pembrokeshire a potential military target and draw Wales further into US military strategy.
They also say the project raises environmental, health, democratic and security concerns.
Supporters of the scheme argue that space monitoring is becoming increasingly important as satellites are used for communications, navigation, defence and emergency infrastructure.
Flynn ended his video by saying: “Vote with your heart because we can make a difference here, we could put in a government that cares about our land, our people and our environment.”
Whatever the outcome of Thursday’s election, the intervention by one of Pembrokeshire’s best-known residents is likely to keep the DARC controversy high on the political agenda.
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