Community
Wales hurtling towards 10,000 care home bed deficit over next decade
EXPERTS have warned there will be desperate shortage of 10,000 care home beds in Wales over the next decade.
The alert has been raised specialist business property adviser Christie & Co who say there is a growing need for new, “future proof” care homes to meet the need.
Their prediction comes at a time when demand is spiralling upwards, with the over 85 population set to double over the next 20 years.
According to sector champions Care Forum Wales (CFW) the “alarming figures” illustrated the need for social care to be funded properly for existing homes to survive and encourage the development of new ones.
CFW warned that Wales was “sleepwalking into disaster” because the growing shortage of care home beds would pile pressure on the beleaguered NHS when hospitals were already virtually at breaking point.
Building new care homes is a costly business as Gwynedd and Flintshire county councils have shown recently.
They have plans to build two new facilities with a total of around 100 beds between them at an estimated cost of more than £250,000 per bed.
If their figures are correct that would mean it would mean it would cost £400 million for the extra beds needed in North Wales and £2.5 billion for the whole of Wales over the next 10 years.
Worryingly, Christie & Co also revealed in the report that 40 elderly care homes in Wales closed and only four opened between 2020 and 2023 – with no new ones in North Wales.
Among the closures in North Wales were Trewythen Hall in Gresford, Bay Court in Kinmel Bay, Gwastad Hall in Cefn y Bedd and Morfa Newydd in Greenfield with the loss of more than 160 beds.
CFW Chair Mario Kreft MBE said: “The report from Christie & Co paints a bleak picture an illustrates how the existing crisis is going to get even worse, creating a double whammy for our overstretched hospitals which have rows of ambulances queuing outside and patients on trolleys in corridors.
“Instead of being able to build more care homes to meet growing demand, we are seeing more and more care home closures.
“The cost of building new care homes and replacing the beds we are losing now is absolutely eye-watering.
“Our public finances in Wales are already under pressure so where is this money coming from?
“The way care homes are funded in Wales is a total postcode lottery with 29 variations on a theme, with most of social care being commissioned by the 22 local authorities and seven health boards.
“Within that there is a gaping North-South divide with five of the six county councils in North Wales paying the lowest fees, arrived at by a fee-fixing cartel known as the North Wales Regional Fees Group.
“The one shining exception is Conwy Council where earlier this year announced inflation-busting plans to increase fees by up to 20% after warnings that care homes were at risk of financial meltdown and closure.
“Following a long-running campaign by Care Forum Wales they have introduced fairer fees which reflect the actual cost of providing care for vulnerable people in privately run homes, including those with dementia.
“That came about because Conwy broke away from the North Wales Regional Fees Group and took our advice by commissioning leading healthcare economists Laing & Buisson to analyse the true costs of care providers for the current year.
“It’s and internationally recognised tool to ensure that and those living and working in care homes can receive the best care, while at the same time, ensuring that the
“This is something we have been calling for over many years. All we want is fairness in line with the Welsh Government’s ‘Let’s agree to agree’ guidance.
“The fundamental issue threatening the viability of care homes is the unrealistically low fees that the vast majority of councils and health boards pay, fees that come nowhere near covering the true cost of providing care.
“Economically, it would make a lot more sense to ensure the financial security of our existing care homes instead of just relying on the forlorn hope that somebody is going to magically build enough new ones to meet current needs and the increasing demands for social care.
“We’ve had a generation of injustice and it’s a generation where the institutional prejudice and discrimination against the private care sector in Wales has meant that those living and working in these fantastic community assets have not been valued.
“The problems we have in social care lead to the pressures in the NHS which lead of course then to extra costs being placed on the NHS which would largely be alleviated if local authorities had a more enlightened approach to social care.
“If Conwy can do it, the other five local authorities in North Wales can and should do it and of course, the money has always been there. It’s how you politically choose to spend it.
“Across the famous Foryd Bridge, which links Kinmel Bay and Rhyl, Denbighshire County Council is budgeting announced much smaller increases of around 8% on rock bottom fees which have been immediately wiped out by inflation and the cost of living crisis.
“The vastly differing rates mean that Denbighshire will be paying £9,224 a year less per person than Conwy towards the cost of giving exactly the same level of nursing care to residents.
“It is simply an outrage. It’s an affront to the families that that bridge spanning the mouth of the River Clwyd can mean such a massive difference for vulnerable people, including those with dementia.
“The families of those people, who will often be expected to make up the difference, need to ask why and quite frankly, it is a bridge too far.
“This is undoubtedly a stealth tax on families and quite frankly, the people making these decisions in those authorities should be utterly ashamed of themselves in the way they are betraying vulnerable people including those with profound dementia and their families.
“What this demonstrates is that there is an urgent need for us to look again at the way social care is funded.
“We need a national approach to eliminate this iniquitous postcode lottery so that the people for whom we provide care and our staff are treated fairly.
”This is too important to be left to local authorities and health boards alone – it has to be driven by the Welsh Government.”
Pictured: Mario Kreft MBE, Chair of Care Forum Wales
Community
Calls for traffic calming in Neyland after car hits house
A NEYLAND councillor has called for traffic calming measures in the town where “a terrible tragedy” was avoided by “sheer good luck” after a car recently hit a house wall, the fifth such incident in less than a decade.
At the most recent meeting of Neyland Town Council, residents expressed their concerns at vehicle speeds in a part of the town.
Town council member, and county councillor, Simon Hancock said: “They came to express their concern at speeding cars losing control on the corner where Honeyborough Road leads into Kensington Road. On Sunday afternoon a speeding car mounted the pavement and smashed into the wall of No 43 coming to rest in the middle of the road. Emergency services were on the scene.”

He said images of the incident and its aftermath were shared on social media and to the council.
Following that, Cllr Simon Hancock, who is also the county council’s presiding member, said: “I am extremely concerned by some drivers travelling at excessive speeds at this bend. This is the fifth serious incident in nine years where cars have collided with houses in the terrace.
“Any pedestrians on the pavement at the time could have been killed or seriously injured. I have written to the chief executive, leader and cabinet member [of Pembrokeshire County Council] insisting on road traffic calming measures at this location.
A Pembrokeshire County Council spokesperson said: “We are liaising with the police over the incident to determine the cause of the accident before considering what measures the Highway Authority may take.”
Business
Port backs next generation of seafarers with expanded cadetship support
STUDENTS training for careers at sea in Pembrokeshire are set to benefit from enhanced practical learning after fresh backing from the Port of Milford Haven.
Learners on the Marine Engineering Pre-Cadetship at Pembrokeshire College will now receive additional hands-on maritime training, funded by the Port, alongside their classroom studies.
Launched in 2023, the enhanced programme is aimed at young people hoping to enter the maritime, deck and engineering sectors. It combines technical teaching with industry-focused skills to help students prepare for work at sea.
For the past three years, the Port has covered the cost of uniforms to encourage professionalism and team spirit among cadets. This year, its support has been widened to include a series of accredited practical courses delivered through the Royal Yachting Association.
These include radar operations, first aid training for mariners, navigation and seamanship, and professional practices and responsibilities — qualifications designed to give students recognised safety and operational skills before entering the industry.
Brian Stewart, Assistant Harbourmaster at the Port of Milford Haven, said the training provides valuable real-world preparation.
He said: “The Pre-Cadetship training at Pembrokeshire College gives students a real insight into life in the maritime, deck and engineering sectors, while building key qualities such as discipline and teamwork. It’s great to see these enhanced practical opportunities being offered this year, which will provide students with invaluable experience and a clearer pathway into our diverse industry.”
Tim Berry, maritime lecturer in the college’s Faculty of Engineering and Computing, said the extra funding would make a “tangible difference” to learners.
He added: “These RYA-accredited practical courses allow the Pre-Cadets to translate classroom theory into real maritime skills, building their confidence and readiness for a career at sea. We’re incredibly proud of the opportunities this partnership continues to create for the next generation of marine engineers.”
The Port, one of the county’s largest employers, has increasingly worked with local education providers to encourage young people into maritime and energy-related careers, helping retain skills and opportunities within Pembrokeshire.
More information about the Marine Engineering Pre-Cadetship is available at pembrokeshire.ac.uk.
Cover photo:
Pre-Cadetship students with lecturer Tim Berry and Port of Milford Haven representatives Brian Stewart and Emily Jones (Pic supplied).
Community
Creative adventures at Oriel y Parc to celebrate St David’s Day
FROM the dragon’s fire to the boar’s roar, legends are on the move again this February half-term as Oriel y Parc, National Park Discovery Centre invites families to step into a world of myth, creativity and celebration in the lead-up to St David’s Day.
Running throughout half-term and into St David’s Day weekend, the programme brings together hands-on creative activities, immersive storytelling and one of Pembrokeshire’s most colourful annual celebration, the St David’s Day Parade. This year’s parade features Taith y Chwedlau /The Journey of the Legends, funded by the Welsh Government.
From Saturday 14 February to Sunday 1 March, young adventurers can take part in the Journey of the Legends Trail, following the troublesome Twrch and the determined Ddraig Goch as their story unfolds across the city of St Davids. Families can search for story stops along the trail, complete the challenge and earn a reward. Trail sheets are available from Oriel y Parc (£4 per child).
Creativity takes centre stage inside Oriel y Parc throughout half-term. The Discovery Room will be open from 14 to 27 February (excluding 17,18 and 19 February), offering free, drop-in sessions where families can create dragon headdresses and boar masks using a wide range of art materials. Suitable for all ages, these sessions give young makers the chance to become part of the St David’s Day celebrations by wearing their creations in the parade.
A special Make & Take Workshop: Dragon Wings & Giant Daffodils takes place on Wednesday 18 February, 11am–3pm, where children can create bold, wearable pieces ready for parade day (£4 per child, drop-in).
The celebrations reach their peak on Saturday 28 February, when the St David’s Day Parade fills the city with music, colour and creativity. Storytelling plays a key role in the day, with Taith y Chwedlau / The Journey of the Legends storytelling sessions taking place in the Oriel y Parc courtyard before and after the parade from 1.30pm, bringing the characters of the trail to life for audiences of all ages.
The parade begins at 2pm and is free to attend. Everyone is invited to line the streets and cheer on schoolchildren, community groups and local residents as they transform St Davids’ High Street in honour of Wales’ patron saint. The parade is funded by the Welsh Government.
Visitors are encouraged to bring pots and banging sticks to add to the atmosphere, and participants can enter the best parade outfit competition, with prizes for both the best dressed child and adult.
Following the parade, families can continue the celebrations with Celebrate St David’s Day with Clay! A relaxed, hands-on workshop inspired by Welsh themes and traditions from 3pm–4.30pm (£2.50 per child).
The day also features a Handmade Craft Market by Makers Bizarre, running from 10.30am–4.30pm, showcasing hand-picked local stallholders selling handmade crafts and produce (free entry).
Further details about events, opening times and a rich programme of changing exhibitions, both in partnership with Amgueddfa Cymru, Museum Wales and local artists and makers can be found at www.orielyparc.co.uk and www.pembrokeshirecoast.wales/events.
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