INCREASING demand, flatlining budgets, and systemic neglect are pushing adult social care to the brink—especially in rural areas like Pembrokeshire.

Across Wales and England, councils are sounding the alarm: local government funding is no longer sufficient to sustain social care services without sacrificing other essential provisions. Pembrokeshire, facing one of the steepest funding gaps in Wales, is at the sharp end of the crisis.

Mounting pressures on councils

In Wales alone, councils identified £106 million in in-year pressures for adult social care in 2024–25, with a further £223 million forecasted—amounting to 40% of all local government funding pressures. An ageing population and increasingly complex care needs are driving costs ever higher. National projections suggest that by 2037, spending on community care services for older people will have risen by 177%.

Pembrokeshire is particularly exposed. The county’s demographic profile, combined with historic underfunding, leaves it struggling to meet rising demand. The gap between the actual cost of providing care and the budget allocated to pay for it is one of the widest in Wales.

When social care costs exceed budget forecasts, councils are left with stark choices: cut other services, lay off staff, or dip into reserves. Pembrokeshire County Council has established a reserve fund to tackle in-year pressures—but this is a temporary fix, not a long-term solution.

The consequences are already visible. Day-care closures, reductions in library and leisure funding, and hiring freezes have all taken their toll. County Hall, once a hub of local services, is now a ghost of its former self.

Care homes under strain

While councils administer social care budgets, most care home services in Pembrokeshire are delivered by private providers—businesses that must remain profitable to survive. Yet the rates they receive vary wildly between counties. Pembrokeshire pays higher rates than its neighbours, but even this is not enough to guarantee stability.

Care homes face rising costs, particularly from increases to National Insurance and the Real Living Wage. One local group running six care homes reports a £150,000 annual cost increase due to these changes. This raises the risk of closures and forces families to shoulder top-up fees.

Smaller, independent care homes—of which Pembrokeshire has many—are particularly vulnerable. Without urgent intervention, some may shut their doors for good.

Chronic staff shortages

Recruiting and retaining staff in rural areas is another serious challenge. Pembrokeshire’s geography and limited transport infrastructure make it harder to attract qualified care workers. The result is high workloads, stress, and burnout for existing staff.

Domiciliary care services are especially strained. Community providers such as Community Interest Care CIC rely heavily on overseas staff, as many local residents are unwilling or unable to take up care work. The reasons are clear: physically demanding roles, unsocial hours, and poor pay compared to less stressful jobs.

According to Care Inspectorate Wales, nearly a quarter of social care workers are experiencing financial hardship, and a significant number are dissatisfied with their pay.

The burden of unpaid care

The crisis extends beyond formal care. Research from Carers Week shows that 23% of Welsh adults—around 584,000 people—now provide unpaid care to family or friends, the highest proportion in the UK. In total, unpaid care in Wales is estimated to be worth £8.1 billion annually.

This hidden workforce provides 96% of all care, often at enormous personal cost. Nearly half of unpaid carers have given up paid work, while many more have cut back on food, heating, or transport to make ends meet. Over half say they cannot manage monthly expenses, and a growing number are turning to foodbanks.

Yet the Welsh and UK governments continue to rely on unpaid carers as a cornerstone of their care strategy, offering minimal financial support in return. While small-scale grants exist, access is limited and the process is often confusing and burdensome.

A system in denial

The situation lays bare two urgent and interlinked policy failures: the outdated model of local government finance and the fragmented, underfunded system of social care provision.

Councils are being asked to deliver 21st-century care with 20th-century funding tools. Piecemeal reform—pilot schemes, short-term pots of money, and local fixes—cannot address the scale of the challenge.

Comprehensive reform is needed, but political appetite is lacking. Promised reviews of local government funding remain stalled, while plans to better integrate health and social care remain vague and underfunded. The idea of a national care service has merit, but no roadmap exists—nor any clarity on how such a service would be paid for.

The uncomfortable truth is that as people live longer, often with complex conditions, the cost of care will only increase. Without bold action and honest debate—on taxation, on responsibilities, and on priorities—the crisis in social care will deepen.

And in places like Pembrokeshire, the cracks are already wide open.

DUST off your platforms, grab your flares and head to the Torch Theatre for a night of glitter, groove and pure pop nostalgia. The UK’s top ABBA tribute show Thank ABBA For The Music is back – and it promises a high-energy, two-hour celebration of one of music’s most iconic bands.

ABBA, the Swedish sensation that took the world by storm in the 1970s, continues to dazzle fans of all ages with their timeless hits. From Dancing Queen to Waterloo, SOS, Mamma Mia, and Gimme! Gimme! Gimme!, this live concert experience delivers all the songs you know and love – with added sparkle.

Expect stunning vocals, dazzling choreography, pitch-perfect harmonies and spectacular stage costumes. A talented cast, interactive video projections, and a dash of tongue-in-cheek Swedish humour combine to create a glitterball-fuelled party atmosphere. Audience participation is not just welcome – it’s encouraged!

Whether you’re an ABBA superfan or just fancy a fun night out, this show has won rave reviews across the country. The Times and Star called it a “FABBATASTIC NIGHT OUT”, while The Sands Centre, Carlisle crowned it “THE BIGGEST PARTY WITH THE UK’S BEST ABBA TRIBUTE.”

So go on – take a chance! Fancy dress is optional, but highly encouraged.

Thank ABBA For The Music comes to the Torch Theatre on Friday 13 and Saturday 14 June at 7:30pm. Tickets are £25 and selling fast. Book online at www.torchtheatre.co.uk or call the Box Office on (01646) 695267.

A LAMPHEY homeowner has accused Pembrokeshire County Council of negligence after repeated flooding has left his property just feet away from disaster.

Brent Davies, who lives at Honeyhill Grove, says he and other residents were unaware their estate was built on a flood plain when they purchased their homes in 2018.

Now, despite one of the driest March and early April periods on record, fields behind his house are once again waterlogged – with the floodwaters just eight feet from his back door.

Mr Davies told The Herald: “We’ve had countless sleepless nights during bad weather, hoping we’re safe from the water. I’ve even built a retaining wall to protect our property, and we’ve had to call the fire brigade several times.”

He claims Pembrokeshire County Council was warned about the flood risk before granting planning permission for the development, with photographic evidence of the land underwater allegedly submitted to the authority at the time.

“Those warnings were ignored,” Mr Davies said. “The Council knew this area floods, yet they allowed homes to be built here. It’s disgraceful.”

He says all attempts to arrange a site meeting with the Council to discuss flood prevention have been ignored.

The Herald understands residents have now called for a public inquiry into how the development was approved and why their concerns continue to be dismissed.

Mr Davies added: “I’m at my wits’ end. We need answers and action. Who do we turn to when the authorities won’t listen?”

A spokesman for Pembrokeshire County Council, said: “Outline planning permission for residential development of Honeyhill Grove was granted following consideration by the Council’s Planning Committee at its meeting of January 8th 2013.

“Consultation was carried out with the then Environment Agency and no objection was made to the proposal. Honeyhill Grove and the field adjoining the site does not lie within a flood zone as defined by Technical Advice Note 15.

“In accordance with the advice of the Environment Agency, a planning condition requiring further details of surface water disposal from the site was included in the outline planning permission granted.

“An application for the approval of reserved matters for Honeyhill Grove was granted following consideration by the Council’s Planning Committee at its meeting of July 30^th 2013.

“The reserved matters application included details to discharge a number of conditions including the surface water disposal condition.

“Consultation was carried out with Natural Resources Wales and no objection was raised to the application or to the method of disposal of surface water. The reserved matters application including the discharge of conditions was approved.

“Whilst flood risk was raised in representations received in respect of the outline and reserved matters applications, consultation with both the Environment Agency and its successor Natural Resources Wales resulted in no objections being raised on the grounds of flood risk.”