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Proposals to redraw Wales’ political landscape ahead of 2026 Senedd election

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A HUGE new constituency stretching from the Llŷn Peninsula on the west coast to the Welsh border with England is among the proposals set to reshape the Senedd election in 2026. This comes as part of a broader reform that will see the Welsh Parliament grow to 96 Members of the Senedd (MSs) from the current 60, with a new voting system and a drastic redrawing of the electoral map.

The changes, outlined by the Democracy and Boundary Commission Cymru, follow a mandate to create 16 new, larger constituencies by merging the existing 32 Westminster seats. This reconfiguration will lead to the creation of vast constituencies, some covering nearly 2,000 square miles, as well as smaller, more densely populated urban areas.

The new electoral map represents a profound departure from the existing structure, with the 16 proposed constituencies representing a doubling up of the recently redrawn Westminster boundaries. This approach was adopted to meet the tight timeline ahead of the next Senedd election in 2026, avoiding the need to draft entirely new boundaries from scratch. Each of these new constituencies will elect six MSs through a party-list proportional representation system, replacing the current mixed system of first-past-the-post and regional lists.

The largest proposed constituency, Dwyfor Meirionnydd, Montgomeryshire, and Glyndŵr, will span a vast area of 1,927 square miles, stretching from the Llŷn Peninsula in the west to the border with England, and encompassing parts of Gwynedd and Powys. This will be a significant change for the residents of these areas, who will see their representation in the Senedd combined across a broad and diverse geographic area.

In contrast, urban areas such as Cardiff East and North will be more compact, reflecting the higher population density in these regions. The smallest of the proposed constituencies, Cardiff East and North, will cover just a fraction of the area of its rural counterparts, yet will still elect the same number of MSs.

The Boundary Commission’s proposals are not yet set in stone. A public consultation is currently underway, running until 30 September 2024, allowing residents and stakeholders to have their say on the new boundaries. The commission has emphasised that it has taken into account factors such as transport links, local ties, shared history, and the Welsh language in drawing up the proposals, aiming to create constituencies that feel as natural and representative as possible.

The proposals are expected to be revised in December 2024, with the final boundaries to be confirmed by March 2025. However, these changes are intended to be temporary, with plans for a more comprehensive review of the boundaries before the subsequent election in 2030. This future review is expected to allow for more flexibility in creating constituencies that better reflect the changing demographics and political landscape of Wales.

The expansion of the Senedd and the introduction of the new voting system are the culmination of years of debate and planning, spearheaded by former First Minister Mark Drakeford and ex-Plaid Cymru leader Adam Price. The reforms aim to address long-standing concerns that the current size of the Senedd is insufficient to effectively scrutinise the Welsh Government, given its growing responsibilities since devolution.

While Welsh Labour and Plaid Cymru have supported the expansion, the Welsh Conservatives have voiced strong opposition, citing the increased cost of an additional £18 million per year on top of the Senedd’s existing £67 million annual budget. The new system’s reliance on closed party lists, where voters choose a party rather than individual candidates, has also sparked concerns about the potential erosion of the connection between voters and their elected representatives.

Professor Laura McAllister, an expert in Welsh politics, has warned that the closed lists system could concentrate too much power in the hands of political parties, potentially undermining public trust. Critics fear that this could weaken the bond between constituents and their MSs, as voters would no longer have the option to vote for a specific individual who best represents their interests.

As Wales prepares for the 2026 Senedd election, the changes to the electoral map and the expansion of the Welsh Parliament represent a significant moment in the evolution of Welsh democracy. The introduction of a more proportional voting system is intended to better reflect the will of the electorate, but it also brings with it challenges in terms of representation and voter engagement.

One of the most significant tests for the new system will be voter turnout. Historically, turnout in Senedd elections has been relatively low, with the 2021 election seeing a turnout of just 46.6%. Whether the changes will inspire greater engagement or lead to further voter apathy remains to be seen.

The final shape of Wales’ political map for 2026 is still in flux, and the coming months will be crucial in determining how these changes will impact the future of Welsh politics. With the commission urging the public to participate in the consultation process, the voices of Welsh voters will play a key role in shaping the new constituencies that will define the next chapter of the Senedd.

Crime

Whitland fraudster admits accessing vulnerable woman’s bank account

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BRUCE Nankervis, of Flat 3 Farmers Arms, Whitland, appeared before Llanelli Magistrates’ Court facing charges of fraud by false representation. The court heard that Nankervis committed the offences in April and May 2023 by accessing the bank account of Angela Chatfield, intending to cause her loss.

On 24th April 2023, 25th April 2023, and 2nd May 2023, he dishonestly accessed Chatfield’s account without her knowledge or permission, taking advantage of his position of trust. Nankervis pleaded guilty to the charges on 28th August 2024.

The magistrates sentenced Nankervis to a suspended custodial period of 24 weeks, with a supervision period of 12 months, citing his flagrant disregard for people and their property and the fact that the offences were committed against a vulnerable person. The sentence was suspended to allow for his rehabilitation, maintain his recently acquired home, and enable him to reconnect with his daughter. He was also ordered to comply with rehabilitation activity requirements for up to 15 days and perform 50 hours of unpaid work within 12 months.

Additionally, Nankervis was ordered to pay £85 in costs to the Crown Prosecution Service, a £154 surcharge, and £1,484 in compensation to Angela Chatfield. Payments are to be made in monthly instalments of £40 starting from 16th October 2024.

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Business

Council denies responsibility for The Range store’s snub of Haverfordwest

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THIS week Pembrokeshire County Council has refuted claims circulating on social media that it was responsible for The Range’s decision not to open a store in the former Wilko unit in Haverfordwest.

The rumors, which gained traction on Facebook this week, suggested that the discount retailer pulled out due to issues related to car parking charges in the nearby Perrots Road car park.

A council spokesperson addressed the situation, on Wednesday (Sept 18) telling The Herald: “There is absolutely no truth in the rumour that The Range decided not to take on the former Wilko store in Haverfordwest due to car parking charges in the nearby Perrots Road car park. The Council is unaware of where this rumour has come from.”

It has been confirmed that The Range is no longer opening a branch in the former Wilco store in Haverfordwest (Image: File)

This statement comes in response to a flurry of social media activity, where several residents expressed their disappointment and frustration. One user, Stephen Hughes, sparked conversation with a post claiming, “Range wanted to go to Wilko and the council refused free parking at Haverfordwest absolutely shocking.” The post received multiple comments, reflecting the growing frustration among the community.

Chris Wilson said: “The council seemed determined to wreck Haverfordwest,” while Julie McIntosh added, “OMG we will never have them now.”

These sentiments echo a broader dissatisfaction with the current state of the Haverfordwest town centre.

The council, however, has made it clear that The Range’s decision was independent of any car parking policies. “While The Range ultimately decided not to proceed, the Council is currently in detailed discussions with a prospective tenant for the unit and very much hope to have the building brought back into use as soon as possible,” the spokesperson added.

The speculation on social media highlights the ongoing concerns about the town’s retail prospects and the council’s role in facilitating or hindering economic development.

Recent reports indicate that The Range is expanding in the UK, with five new branches opening by Christmas in locations such as Walkden, Cwmbran, Leamington Spa, Chelmsford, and Oswestry.

Additionally, The Range’s parent company, CDS Superstores, has announced plans to reopen up to 300 Wilko stores after acquiring the brand, with five concept stores expected to open by Christmas 2024

Despite Haverfordwest now being off the list, it remains to be seen how the situation will unfold and whether the prospective tenant will bring a new chapter to Haverfordwest’s retail scene.

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Crime

Parc Prison now much more stable, says Welsh Social Justice Minister

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A SOUTH Wales prison where 10 inmates have died this year has made “considerable progress” in its management, according to a Welsh government minister.

Jane Hutt, the Social Justice Minister, stated that HMP Parc in Bridgend, which houses man prisoners from Pembrokeshire, is now “much, much more stable.” The prison, operated by security company G4S, has faced allegations of drug misuse but maintains it has a “zero-tolerance policy towards drugs.”

Jane Hutt, the Social Justice Minister

Minister Hutt said she received reassurances from Ian Barrow, who oversees the management of Welsh prisons, that there had been significant improvements at Parc following the appointment of a new director in June.

The minister announced plans to visit Parc later this month alongside the UK government’s prisons minister, Lord Timpson.

Will Styles was appointed as the new director of Parc after Heather Whitehead stepped down. Styles, who has been with G4S for a year managing HMP Five Wells in Northamptonshire, took over the role following Whitehead’s departure. G4S stated that her immediate exit in August 2023 was “not in response to one single incident.”

Since February, 10 inmates have died at the prison, with at least four of the deaths believed to be drug-related. In June, three prisoners were also hospitalised following disorder at the facility.

South Wales Police reported in March that a synthetic opioid, Nitazene, had been identified in connection with all four drug-related deaths, with another synthetic drug, Spice, also identified in two of the cases. G4S reiterated its “zero-tolerance policy towards drugs” in response to these findings.

The deaths have sparked protests from the families of inmates who died while in custody. In May, they demonstrated outside the prison, demanding answers from authorities regarding claims of drug misuse within the facility.

At the Social Justice Questions session in the Welsh Parliament on Wednesday, Conservative Senedd member Altaf Hussain expressed concerns about healthcare at Parc. In response, Jane Hutt extended her thoughts to the staff and families affected by the “deeply concerning” deaths in custody earlier this year.

Hutt stated that she met Ian Barrow last month and received “reassurances on the progress made at Parc” since the new director’s appointment. “My understanding from that meeting is that Parc has made considerable progress since the spring,” she added. “It’s now much more stable.”

She confirmed her upcoming visit to the prison with Lord Timpson on 30 September.

HMP Parc is one of the UK’s largest category B prisons, housing convicted male adult and young offenders, as well as convicted sex offenders or those awaiting trial for sex offences.

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