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Wales faces £466m blow from disability benefit reforms

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Analysis warns cuts could hit 190,000 people as concern grows over impact on poorest communities

WELSH families could collectively lose up to £466 million by 2029-30 under planned UK government reforms to disability benefits, new analysis has revealed.

The figures, produced by Policy in Practice for the BBC estimate that nearly 190,000 people across Wales – around 6% of the population – may be affected by changes to Personal Independence Payment (PIP) and related support schemes.

PIP is designed to cover the additional costs of living with a disability, but eligibility is set to be tightened under the UK government’s proposals. Critics say the plans could remove essential support from some of the most vulnerable people in society.

A breakdown of the potential impact by region found that Blaenau Gwent, Merthyr Tydfil, and Neath Port Talbot could be the worst hit areas per head of population.

Sam Fathers, of Policy in Practice, warned that some individuals could see as much as 60% of their income vanish if the reforms go ahead as planned. “This is potentially thousands of pounds a year taken from people already living on the edge,” he said.

While the changes remain in consultation, concern is mounting across political lines. Mick Antoniw MS, a senior Labour figure in the Senedd, said the reforms lacked a coherent anti-poverty strategy.

“What’s missing is a clear agenda focused on lifting people out of poverty. These proposals seem driven more by cost-cutting than compassion,” he said.

Since 2019, there has been a 45% rise in the number of working-age people across the UK claiming health-related benefits. The UK government argues that reforms are needed to curb rising costs and aims to save £5 billion annually by 2030.

Ministers say a £1 billion support package will help more disabled people return to work, including a “try before you buy” scheme allowing claimants to attempt jobs without immediately losing benefits.

But critics remain unconvinced. Policy in Practice’s modelling suggests that even if 10% of claimants were successfully supported back into work, poverty levels in Wales would still rise.

A Department for Work and Pensions spokesperson said: “Most current PIP claimants will continue to receive it. We are committed to protecting those who genuinely cannot work and will ensure the system remains fair and sustainable.”

“We’ve also launched a review of the PIP assessment process and will work closely with disabled people and organisations in Wales as part of that process.”

Despite those assurances, campaigners fear that the poorest communities in Wales could bear the brunt of yet another squeeze on welfare.

Crime

Breakthrough in 1993 Tooze murders: 86-year-old man arrested after cold case review

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POLICE investigating one of Wales’ most disturbing unsolved double murders have arrested an 86-year-old man on suspicion of killing elderly couple Harry and Megan Tooze more than three decades ago.

South Wales Police confirmed the arrest on Tuesday (Dec 17), following a forensic cold case review into the 1993 killings, which shocked the rural community of Llanharry and cast a long shadow over the South Wales justice system.

Harry Tooze, aged 64, and his wife Megan, 67, were found shot dead with a shotgun at their isolated Ty Ar y Waun farmhouse on July 26, 1993. Their bodies were discovered inside a cowshed on the property, concealed beneath carpet and hay bales, having been shot in the head at close range.

The brutality of the killings and the remoteness of the scene prompted one of the most high-profile murder investigations in Wales at the time.

Conviction later quashed

In 1995, Cheryl Tooze’s then-boyfriend, Jonathan Jones, was convicted of the murders and sentenced to life imprisonment. The prosecution case rested heavily on a partial fingerprint found on a teacup at the farmhouse.

However, the conviction unravelled just a year later. In 1996, the Court of Appeal quashed the verdict, ruling it unsafe and highlighting serious concerns about the reliability of the fingerprint evidence. The decision was widely regarded as a significant miscarriage of justice.

Jones, who consistently maintained his innocence, was supported throughout the ordeal by Cheryl Tooze, whom he later married. The couple have since spoken publicly about the devastating impact of the case on their lives.

Despite renewed appeals and periodic reviews, no one else was charged and the murders remained unresolved for nearly 30 years.

Operation Vega and forensic advances

In 2023, marking the 30th anniversary of the killings, South Wales Police launched a full cold case review under Operation Vega. The review was led by forensic scientist Professor Angela Gallop, one of the UK’s most respected figures in forensic investigation.

Detectives re-examined preserved exhibits from the original crime scene using modern forensic and DNA techniques that were not available in the early 1990s. Police have not disclosed which items were re-analysed or what evidence led to the latest arrest.

On December 17, officers arrested an 86-year-old man on suspicion of murdering Harry and Megan Tooze. He remains in police custody while enquiries continue. No further details about the suspect have been released at this stage.

Police appeal for information

Senior Investigating Officer Detective Superintendent Mark Lewis described the arrest as a significant moment, but stressed that the investigation is ongoing.

He said: “While this arrest is clearly a significant development in the investigation, our enquiries are very much ongoing. This case has affected many people over the years and our aim is to find answers to the unanswered questions which remain about their deaths over 30 years on.

“Even with the passage of time, I would urge anyone who has information about the murders, no matter how small it may seem, to come forward and speak to police.”

Anyone with information is asked to contact South Wales Police, quoting occurrence number 2300016841.

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Crime

Former police officer accused of making sexual remarks to women while on duty

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Court hears allegations of inappropriate behaviour during official police visits

A FORMER police officer has appeared in court accused of making sexually inappropriate remarks to women he encountered while on duty.

Luke Silver, aged 34, is alleged to have abused his position as a police officer by making unwanted and explicit comments to two women during the course of official police business.

Cardiff Crown Court heard that Silver attended one woman’s home following an incident involving her partner and took an initial statement. However, the woman told the court that Silver later returned to her address on several further occasions, during which the conversation allegedly became personal and sexual in nature.

She said the officer asked intrusive questions about her sex life and made comments about her appearance, which she found unsettling. In messages sent to a friend at the time, the woman described his behaviour as “inappropriate”, “strange” and “creepy”.

The court was told she later said she felt uncomfortable during the visits, claiming Silver behaved in an overly relaxed manner while speaking to her and made remarks that were entirely unrelated to the police matter he had attended for.

A second woman has also made allegations that Silver asked her sexually explicit questions and made comments about her body while acting in his capacity as a police officer.

Silver, formerly of Gwent Police and now living in Lamphey, Pembrokeshire, denies three counts of improper use of police powers or privileges. The alleged offences are said to have taken place in 2021.

The trial is continuing at Cardiff Crown Court.

(Image: WNS)

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Crime

Bail revoked for teenager charged with rape following Sands Nightclub allegation

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A TEENAGER charged with rape following an alleged incident at a Saundersfoot nightclub has been remanded into custody after bail was revoked at Swansea Crown Court.

Joshua Probert, aged eighteen, is accused of raping a woman at Sands Nightclub in the seaside village during the early hours of Sunday (Dec 14).

The complainant is entitled to lifelong anonymity and no details that could identify her can be reported.

Probert was initially granted bail by Llanelli Magistrates’ Court on Wednesday. However, on Thursday afternoon (Dec 18) the Crown Prosecution Service applied for a special hearing at Swansea Crown Court, arguing that the earlier bail decision had been made without all relevant information being available.

The hearing was presided over by Paul Thomas KC. After considering new material put before the court, the judge ruled that there was a risk of reoffending.

There was also discussion that the defendant was at risk in the community due to alleged threatening phone calls against him.

Bail was therefore revoked and Probert was remanded into custody.

The defendant appeared in court supported by members of his family, including his mother, stepfather and father.

Much of the detail discussed during the hearing cannot be reported for legal reasons.

Probert is due to return to court in four weeks’ time as proceedings continue.

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