Politics
Budget cuts: Social Services and education take two-thirds of all councils’ money
Pembrokeshire County Council: Pandemic has forced through change to digital services
How will local government services change?
THE FUNDING pressures on local government over the last decade have been a catalyst for change in local service delivery. Increasing costs and lower revenue for local authorities means some services have reduced or are being run differently.The pandemic put significant new demands on local government, exacerbating existing pressures. The future of local government services is uncertain. How it responds to the challenges will shape those services for years to come.
The shape of local authority services has changed significantly over the last decade.
Overall local authority spending has decreased by around 7% since 2013-14 (in real terms). In contrast, expenditure on social services has increased by over 10%. Spending in most other service areas has been cut, including in education.
Planning and economic development services have been hit particularly hard, as have libraries, culture, heritage, sport and recreation services.
WHERE THE MONEY GOES
Together, social services and education made up over two-thirds of total expenditure on services by the 22 local authorities in 2019-20.
But while social services have been protected from the most severe spending reductions, this won’t be enough to ensure its sustainability for the future
A 2017 report by Wales Public Services 2025 found that spending through local authorities on social care for the over 65s is not keeping pace with the growth in the population of older people. Spending may need to have increased by at least £129 million (23%) between 2015-16 and 2020-21 to get back to the equivalent spend per head in 2009-10.
The ONS estimates that, between 2021 and 2031, the population of Wales will grow by just over 60,000 (1.9%). Within that population growth, there’s a projected increase in the proportion of older people. The population of over 65s is due to increase by around 119,000 (17.5%).
Wales Fiscal Analysis notes that, while future demand for care can’t simply be linked to growth in older populations, projected growth in older people with complex care needs is highly likely to mean increased pressure on care services.
It details that the number of older adults living with severe dementia is expected to double to 53,700 by 2040.
The Inter-Ministerial Group on paying for social care estimated that in a ‘high-cost’ scenario, between 2019-20 and 2022-23, the net costs of social care could increase by almost £400 million.
Wales Fiscal Analysis projects that by 2025-26, social services could account for 55% of all local government spending pressures, with school pressures accounting for a further 21%.
INCREASED RELIANCE ON COUNCIL TAX?
Where local authorities get the money to spend on services has also started to shift. There’s been a reduction in grant funding to local authorities over the period 2013-14 to 2019-20, some of which has been mitigated by local taxes. Grant funding still makes up most local authority income.
The amount to be collected from council taxpayers (excluding council tax benefit/reduction scheme funding) was up by almost 30% over the same period.
The overall increase reflects annual increases in council tax paid by residents over the period. Average Band D council tax (excluding the police element) increasED in real terms by £186.
However, local authorities have consistently warned that raising council tax is not enough to fill future funding gaps
Following the UK Budget 2021, Wales Fiscal Analysis notes that “the UK government’s medium-term spending plans make for a more austere outlook for the Welsh budget and Welsh public services” and outlines the possibility of a return to austerity for parts of the Welsh budget.
The financial impact of the pandemic on local government is likely to be felt for many years.
Audit Wales notes that, even in local authorities generating a budget surplus in 2018-19, some had significant overspends in demand-led services like social services. It suggests those pressures are likely to intensify because of the pandemic.
TRANSFORMINGPUBLIC SERVICES:
Local government has embarked on a journey to transform how it delivers services.
Local authorities are thinking differently about improving services for users while reducing the cost of running them.
An example of this is one-stop-shops or ‘hubs’. These hubs host multiple council services under one roof, such as libraries, money advice and adult learning services.
One of the most significant aspects of the transformation programme is to make better use of technology and digital tools.
The Digital Strategy for Wales, launched in March 2021, sets out a national vision for digital transformation. The Strategy seeks a cultural shift in how public bodies “deliver and modernise services” designed around user needs.
Over the past year, local authority resources have been diverted from some of this transformational work. Anticipated financial savings are now uncertain.
The WLGA recently suggested there’s doubt about when, and indeed if, some of those savings will now happen.
MIND THE GAP
Corporate Joint Committees (CJCs) are bodies designed to enable greater regional working and collaboration in areas like education and transport.
However, questions remain about how these new bodies will operate.
Responses to a recent consultation on CJCs by the previous Welsh Government show there’s still uncertainty about how they’ll function and their associated costs and benefits.
Despite the recent increase in the local government settlement for next year and the substantial funding support in response to the pandemic, significant challenges remain.
Wales Fiscal Analysis suggests that to meet cost pressures over the next few years, spending on local services needs to increase, on average, by 3.4% a year (in cash terms) between 2020-21 and 2025-26.
The WLGA recently reported that core pressures, the financial gap in money coming in, and what’s needed to pay for services could amount to £822 million by 2023-24.
Leaning on local taxation, such as council tax, to support critical services like social care and education won’t stem the demand for and cost of providing those services.
Local Government
Pembrokeshire council Cabinet finance roles under spotlight
THE NUMBER of senior Pembrokeshire councillors holding the top finance job in recent years came under the spotlight at the July meeting of the council.
A submitted question by Cllr Alan Dennison, heard at the July meeting of Pembrokeshire County Council asked: “Since my election in 2022, this administration has experienced a turnover of four finance cabinet members, averaging one per year.”
Those four Cabinet members with responsibility for finance were: Cllr Alec Cormack, Cllr Joshua Beynon, Cllr Alistair Cameron, and former leader Cllr Jon Harvey who has now assumed the finance role.
Cllr Dennison’s question added: “This high turnover raises concerns about the stability of the council’s financial management, particularly in light of the current fiscal challenges and in light of the recent announcement by Finance Cabinet Member number 3 [Cllr Cameron] that under this administration there has been a staggering 97 per cent increase in council tax rates since 2017, in contrast to a mere 37 per cent rise in the inflation rate.
“Could the Leader explain the rationale behind these frequent changes in leadership and what apparent benefit this has to the Pembrokeshire ratepayers?”
Back in May, a previous submitted question by Cllr Dennison asked for the increase in council tax levels since 2017.
Cllr Cameron had responded by saying the level of council tax for a Band D average property had increased by 95.7 per cent in that time.
For the 2026 to ’27 financial year, the county council part of council tax levels in the county rose by 4.6 per cent, equivalent to an extra £76 for the average Band D property, less than half last year’s increase.
The previous year saw Pembrokeshire’s council tax increased by 9.35 per cent, lower than that year’s Cabinet recommendation of 9.85 per cent.
The previous year to that saw a 12.5 per cent rise on top of previous increases of 12.5 per cent, 9.92 per cent, five per cent, 3.75 per cent, five per cent and 7.5 per cent.
The overall council tax bill is made up of the county council element, the largest part, the Dyfed-Powys Police precept, and individual town or community council elements.
Responding to Cllr Dennison’s question at the July meeting, new leader Cllr Tessa Hodgson pointed out that he had got “his facts and figures wrong,” as she had only had cabinet member for finance under her leadership, Cllr Harvey, who was “doing a great job”.
Community
Contentious DARC space radar scheme to be decided by Welsh Government
THE CONTENTIOUS DARC ‘space radar’ scheme in Pembrokeshire is to be decided by Welsh Government rather than county planners, just days before it was to be debated by them.
In an application submitted earlier this year to Pembrokeshire County Council following a public consultation, the Ministry of Defence wants to install 27 radar antenna and a long list of associated works at Cawdor Barracks, Brawdy for a worldwide network of sensors called the Deep Space Advanced Radar Concept (DARC) to track active satellites and other objects which would utilise three sites worldwide, part of the AUKUS trilateral security partnership, in the USA, the UK and Australia “enabling 360-degree coverage of the sky at all times of day and under any weather conditions”.
In late 2023, Cawdor Barracks was identified as the preferred UK site by the-then UK Defence Secretary, Grant Shapps.
A supporting statement says of the DARC scheme: “This capability is critical to protect and defend the services provided by satellites, ensuring continuity and resilience against collisions or debris-related incidents.
“Without DARC, the UK faces a significant risk of losing access to these vital services, which would have severe consequences for national security, economic stability, and public safety.”
St Davids City Council members unanimously opposed the pre-application consultation proposals, and public objectors have raised concerns with protests taking place outside the barracks and County Hall, Haverfordwest earlier this year, and the scheme before county planners attracted more than 1,000 objections.
Pembrokeshire-based Jerome Flynn, famous for his roles in Soldier Soldier, Robson & Jerome and more recently Game of Thrones has described the scheme as “the most unspeakably abominable planning application led by the US military, backed by Donald Trump to place 27 radar dishes right on the edge of our beloved coastal national park”.

Campaign group PARC against DARC, set up in 2024 to oppose the scheme which it has described as the militarisation of space, submitted an official request to ‘call in’ the application for DARC radar to the newly formed Plaid Cymru Welsh Government.
A ‘call-in’ means the application could be decided at Welsh Government level rather than by county planners.
The application was due to go before Pembrokeshire County Council’s next planning committee, on July 28, but has now been ‘called in by Siân Gwenllian MS, Minister for Local Government, Housing and Planning.
The Cabinet Minister’s letter to Pembrokeshire County Council calling in the application says: “The proposed development raises national security issues given the strategic defence nature of the proposal and is a novel planning issue.
“The proposal potentially conflicts with national policy in relation to landscape, ecology, sustainability and placemaking.
“A decision on the proposal may be controversial beyond the immediate locality, and there is already considerable public interest in the proposal.
“All these matters lead the Cabinet Minister to conclude the development is of more than local importance and the application should be determined by the Welsh Ministers.”
A PARC against DARC spokesperson, welcoming the ‘call-in,’ said: “As we made in our case to Welsh ministers, the DARC proposal is part of a weapons system designed to track and target satellites belonging to other countries around the world.
“It is being developed for the US Space Force, which was created under Donald Trump, at a time when US military spending has doubled since he took office. That is why DARC has been described as a significant escalation in the militarisation of space.”
A planned demonstration at County Hall, Haverfordwest, due to be held on July 28 when Pembrokeshire planners were to deliberate on DARC, is to go ahead as “a vigil in support of Welsh Government’s call-in decision,” PARC against DARC has said.
A spokesman for Pembrokeshire County Council said the call-in had been received on July 21.
“As such the application is transferred to the Welsh Ministers for a decision and the application will no longer be presented to the council’s planning committee at its meeting scheduled for July 28.
“The council now awaits confirmation from the Welsh Ministers regarding the procedure and timetable that will be adopted for their consideration of the application.
“Further information will be provided once the council has been formally notified of the next steps in the decision-making process.”
Local Government
Call to end special planning delegation panel
A CALL to bring to an end a special Pembrokeshire council panel which decides whether some planning applications should be considered by councillors rather than planning officers is to be discussed further.
A notice of motion submitted by Councillor Huw Murphy to the July meeting of Pembrokeshire County Council asked: “That council consider disbanding the Planning Delegation Panel (PDP) and review the current arrangements so that planning applications delegated to officers for refusal, where a member requests further consideration, are referred directly to the Planning Committee rather than first being considered by the PDP.”
His supporting statement said: “Under the current arrangements within Pembrokeshire County Council, where a planning application has been delegated to officers and a refusal is recommended, the local county councillor may request that the application be considered by the PDP.

“The PDP then determines whether the application should proceed to full planning committee. It is considered that this additional stage introduces unnecessary bureaucracy into the planning process, leading to increased delays and costs for applicants.
“The current process can also be perceived as limiting democratic oversight, as applications may be refused by the panel without being considered by full planning committee, whose elected members bring local knowledge, experience transparency and democratic accountability to planning decisions.
“By comparison, the Pembrokeshire Coast National Park Authority, which is responsible for planning across more than 30 per cent of the land area of Pembrokeshire, does not operate a planning delegation panel. Instead, planning matters are considered through its established planning procedures, and this approach appears to function effectively without the need for a PDP.”
His supporting statement ended: “The removal of the PDP should simplify decision-making, reduce bureaucracy, improve transparency and democratic accountability, and reduce the workload of Democratic Services.”
At the July meeting, members agreed the notice of motion would be referred to the council’s constitutional review committee for further consideration.
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