Health
Omicron peak could come in ‘the next 10 to 14 days’ in Wales

THE FIRST MINISTER Mark Drakeford has said he is ‘hopeful’ figures in Wales could start to reduce from around two weeks’ time.
The comments came during the live briefing held yesterday lunchtime in Cardiff, with the First Minister referring to modelling several times and comparing it to what has been recorded in firm figures.
The First Minister said of the above slide, “It shows you how the modelling that we’ve had done for us here in Wales shows how the Omicron wave wave is expected to behave. The blue line shows how cases are predicted to grow over the coming weeks. The black line shows the actual confirmed cases.
“As you can see, the actual cases are following very closely the predicted wave, and what the wave shows is the speed at which the Omicron wave will break over us and then how cases decline at a relatively rapid rate as well.
“Now we haven’t reached the peak of that wave yet, it could be within the next 10 to 14 days. But we will get to the top of the wave and then hopefully we will see the numbers reducing again here in Wales.
“The latest figures show that there are more than 2300 cases per 100,000 people across Wales. Cases are highest amongst 20- to 39-year-olds but we are also now seeing rises in older age groups. As community transmission increases rapidly, while the figures are clearly concerning, they are in line with what the modelling forecasts told us.”
“Every close contact is an opportunity for it to spread.”
Data was also released on the number of people to being admitted to hospital with coronavirus, “The latest figures show that there are now a total of 994, just under 1000, COVID-19 patients in our hospitals in Wales and that is a 43% increase on a single week and that number is the highest we have seen in Welsh hospitals since March of last year”.
“There are now around 40 people are so ill in hospital that they have to receive critical care and the majority of those people are people who have not been vaccinated. Very sadly since just the start of this year, public health Wales has reported 38 New deaths from coronavirus.”
When asked about reversing restrictions, and what timeframes could be involved, the First Minister said, “As people will have seen from the model that we showed earlier, the position over the next 10 days to two weeks is not going to be one that is easing.
“The numbers are likely to continue to rise. So it will not be until we have past the peak of infections and we are sure that we can see the pressures on the spread of this virus in the community are beginning to reduce, and will then take a while as it always does to feed through into reducing pressure on health services, hospital services, critical care services.
“So I don’t anticipate that over the next fortnight we will be in a position to move away from the level of restrictions we currently have in place. But, we will track it every day. We will review it every week. And when we see that corner being turned and we can see the number as we hope coming down reasonably rapidly. That will be the point at which we will be able to assess when it is safe to begin to lift the extra restrictions and protections we put in place so far.”
Health
NHS staff must get Welsh government pay offer without delay, says UNISON

NHS workers Wales must receive a newly approved wage rise in their pay pockets as soon as possible, UNISON said this week (Wednesday, May 24)
Leaders at UNISON, the largest health union in Wales, have welcomed the Welsh government decision to sign off the new pay offer but say the money must reach workers without delay.
The offer consists of a 5% wage increase (payable from 1 April 2023) and an additional one-off payment for 2022/23 – worth between £900 and £1,190.
Earlier this month UNISON consulted with staff on Agenda for Change contracts (those directly employed by the NHS) over the Welsh government’s pay offer for 2023/24 and an additional one-off ‘recovery payment’ for the previous financial year.
A significant majority (78%) voted to accept the offer, with just 22% voting to reject.
All NHS unions then met on Monday (May 22) declaring the majority of health unions in favour of the deal and a final decision to implement the offer was made by Welsh government today (Wednesday).
UNISON Cymru/Wales head of bargaining and campaigns Jess Turner said: “We’re pleased the new pay offer will now be rolled out but it’s vital that it reaches pockets of NHS staff in Wales without delay.
“The NHS is one team. Every job and every worker make an essential contribution to patient care.
“Thanks to this deal, NHS staff will receive their pay rise much sooner than in previous years. This sets an expectation for the way NHS pay is approached in future in Wales.”
Health
Alarm as ambulance response times continue to fall short

PLAID CYMRU politicians have expressed grave concerns as waiting times for ambulances in west Wales continue to fall short of Welsh Government targets.
Data released this week (May 18) by the Welsh Government showed that during April 2023 only 46.8% of immediately life-threatening incidents within the Hywel Dda Health Board area were attended within 8 minutes. There is currently a target for 65% of such severe ‘red’ calls to have a response within 8 minutes.
Figures for west Wales fell below national average – with just over half (53%) of ‘red’ calls across Wales responded to within 8 minutes. In the neighbouring Powys Teaching Health Board, 42.6% of such emergency calls were attended to within the target 8 minutes.
The latest NHS figures also showed that at the end of March 2023, 31,700 patients’ pathways were waiting more than two years for treatment – falling around 5,000 from the previous month.
The Welsh Government had previously set a target that no-one would be waiting for more than 2 years for treatment as at the end of March 2023.
Earlier this year, Plaid Cymru published its five-point plan to help tackle the crisis in the NHS, but this was voted down by Labour.
Responding to the figures, Cefin Campbell, Plaid Cymru Member of the Senedd for Mid & West Wales said: “These latest ambulance response times continue to be alarming. Now we’re into spring, it’s clear that we’re no longer talking about seasonal pressures – but rather a deep-rooted inability to get to grips with the grid-lock in our NHS.
“The figures sadly reflect a growing trend I’m regularly seeing in my inbox and on the doorstep, with constituents across west Wales citing lengthy delays for an ambulance – often with devastating consequences. Whilst I am aware of the unprecedented pressures the pandemic has placed on our hardworking NHS staff and services, clearly urgent action needs to be undertaken to overcome these problems.”
Rhun ap Iorwerth MS, Plaid Cymru’s Health spokesperson added: “Welsh Government’s inability to improve waiting times sufficiently for patients – missing their own targets in the process, and even showing apparent denial that they weren’t on course to meet them – raises serious questions about Labour’s credibility in terms of running the health service. I don’t think it’s impossible for us to put together a vision and to deliver on that vision in a way that delivers better healthcare than we currently see being delivered here in Wales today. But when Labour can’t manage to reach their own targets, it’s hard to have any confidence in their ability to fix these issues.”
Health
Nurse denies assaulting elderly patient with Parkinson’s at Withybush Hospital

SWANSEA CROWN COURT is currently hearing a case involving Primrose James, a 51-year-old nurse from Southend-on-Sea, Essex, who stands accused of assaulting an elderly and vulnerable patient at Withybush General Hospital.
The incident in question allegedly took place on May 31, 2022.
James faces charges of ill-treatment of a person lacking capacity.
The court alleges that she assaulted 80-year-old Dennis Warlow while assisting with his personal care, following an altercation with another staff member. James, however, denies the charges, claiming that his actions were in self-defense.
Dennis Warlow, described as a frail and vulnerable man suffering from Parkinson’s Disease, had been receiving treatment at the hospital’s orthopedic ward since January of that year after fracturing his hip.
According to witness testimonies presented in court on Wednesday, Mr. Warlow had a history of displaying disruptive and violent behavior.
The incident occurred when Mr. Warlow lashed out at healthcare assistant Holly English and James, who were working together to change his bed linen.
English testified that James became aggressive in response, repeatedly slapping Mr. Warlow on the left side of his face and forcefully poking him in the forehead with her index finger.
Allegedly, James also verbally berated Mr. Warlow, calling him a “horrible, horrible man.” English, shocked by the incident, reported it to leading ward nurse Christine Schofield, who subsequently informed ward sister Nicola Jones.
CPs prosecutor Sian Vaughan emphasized Mr. Warlow’s vulnerability and behavioral challenges during the trial’s opening. She outlined that James, an agency nurse who had worked on the ward for approximately two years, had been assisting with changing Mr. Warlow’s sheets around 2 am when the confrontation occurred.
According the CPS, James retaliated against Mr. Warlow’s attempted strike by smacking him on the left side of his face and proceeded to deliver multiple slaps, aggressively poking his forehead and forcefully pressing her fingers into the side of his nose.
During her testimony, English described James as angry and confrontational, while Jones affirmed that hitting or tapping a patient is never appropriate. James, in her defense, claimed that she only blocked Mr. Warlow’s arm from hitting her and had no further contact with him that night. She stated that he had been a difficult patient who had previously hit her in the face and kicked her leg.
The trial, presided over by Judge Huw Rees, continues as further evidence and testimonies are presented.
James, a nurse with 16 years of experience, maintains his innocence, denying any mistreatment of Mr. Warlow.
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