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£1.7bn boost for Welsh Government in UK Budget

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CHANCELLOR Rachel Reeves presented the UK Budget on Wednesday, unveiling an additional £1.7bn in funding for the Welsh Government next April. This increase, she described as “the largest real-terms funding boost since devolution,” will support key areas including schools, housing, health, social care, and transport.

In addition to the primary funding, the Chancellor announced a £25m allocation for coal tip maintenance and safety in Wales. This move comes after Welsh Finance Secretary Mark Drakeford highlighted the need for UK Treasury intervention, citing over 2,500 coal tips across Wales, with 360 categorized as high-risk.

The Budget also confirmed UK government backing for two electrolytic hydrogen projects in Milford Haven and Bridgend, aimed at advancing low-carbon hydrogen production in Wales. Welsh Secretary Jo Stevens remarked on the significance of collaborative efforts between UK and Welsh governments, noting the Budget’s potential to drive substantial regional development.

Reactions to the Budget varied widely. Welsh Conservatives labelled it a “smash and grab Budget,” warning of potential harm, while Plaid Cymru criticized it for lacking “transformative change.”

Analysis: Will £1.7bn meet Wales’ needs?

While the funding is substantial, Welsh ministers face challenges in addressing rising NHS waiting lists—a pressing priority given the record-high backlog. Last year, the Welsh Government redirected over £400m to the health sector, necessitating cuts elsewhere. Local councils are also bracing for a £559m shortfall in the coming financial year, adding pressure to the allocation of these funds.

Despite the Budget’s provisions, opposition parties are raising concerns. They argue that National Insurance increases could harm small businesses, and proposed inheritance tax reforms may pose challenges for family-run farms in Wales.

Additional measures

  • Minimum wage increase: Rising to £12.21 per hour next year, as announced earlier in the week.
  • Ongoing negotiations: The Welsh Government hopes to secure further coal tip safety funding.

This Budget marks a critical phase for Welsh governance, with both opportunities and challenges ahead.

Conservative MS, Samuel Kurtz said “This Budget brings devastating tax rises that will hit businesses and individuals across west Wales hard.

“With £25 billion in new taxes for businesses, economic growth will be stifled. The economy is now only forecast to grow by 1.5% by the end of the decade—lower than under the previous Conservative Government.

“Our farmers also find themselves under Labour’s axe as they slash Agricultural Property Relief, putting thousands of family farms at risk.

“Coupled with cuts to the Winter Fuel Allowance for thousands of pensioners, this Budget is deeply damaging and exposes Labour’s broken promises from the General Election.”

Responding to the publication of the UK Government budget, Welsh Liberal Democrat Deputy Leader David Chadwick MP said: “This budget fails to offer an ambitious vision for Wales that would mark a long-term investment in its future, it punishes small businesses and will be a disaster for family farms. 

“Labour has failed to deliver the billions owed to Wales from HS2, yet constituents like mine are facing deep cuts in their rail services.

“Meanwhile, the Chancellor has chosen to increase taxation for the small businesses that are the lifeblood of the Welsh economy instead of taking aim at the enormous profits of the banks, oil and gas giants and big tech.

“The Chancellors Family Farm Tax risks being a death knell for local farmers who have already faced attacks on their livelihoods by the Welsh Labour Government, who have shown time and time again they have no understanding of the rural economy or the work that goes into making sure the public have food on their plates.”

  • We would like to apologise that an earlier version of this article, briefly published, contained a number of reporting inaccuracies. This was due to to incorrect text being displayed due to a server error

Crime

Coroners inquest opened and adjourned following death of schoolgirl, 12

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THE PEMBROKSHIRE coroner has opened an inquest into the tragic death of Honey Foxx French, 12, from Hakin – who died after emergency services were called to a home on Saturday (Oct 19).

Pembrokeshire assistant coroner Gareth Lewis opened an inquest into the 12-year-old’s death on Wednesday (Oct 30).

The coroner adjourned the inquest until April 10, 2025, to allow for further investigation. He extended his condolences to Honey’s family and friends.

Dyfed-Powys Police have stated that her death is not being treated as suspicious.

In a joint statement, Honey’s school, Ysgol Penrhyn Dewi, and Pembrokeshire County Council described her as “much loved and cherished.”

“Honey French was a beloved member of our school community at Ysgol Penrhyn Dewi VA. She was a talented performer and writer who generously shared her humour, time, and talents with our school family and the wider community – she will be deeply missed. Our love, thoughts, and prayers are with her family during this difficult time.”

The police have launched a full investigation, with inquiries ongoing.

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News

Taxes up, spending up – It’s Reeves’s gig gamble

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THE HEADLINE from today’s Budget is a £40bn increase in taxes.

However, those tax increases are aimed at wealth, investment income, and businesses rather than standard-rate income taxpayers.

For the latter, the minimum wage rose, the price of draught beer was cut, the freeze in income tax thresholds will end, fuel duty will not rise, and the government is forecast to pump £70bn into public services and national infrastructure.

For small businesses, the Chancellor promised to “permanently lower business rate multiplies” for retail and hospitality businesses, cutting the amount of money High Street business pay in rates.

However, the Chancellor giveth and the Chancellor taketh away.

Rachel Reeves said that the employers’ NI rate will increase to 15 per cent from April next year.

In addition, the threshold at which employers start paying NI on each employee’s salary will drop from £9,100 to £5,000.

Those decisions represent a massive tax raid with massive potential impacts on prices (up), wages (lower), and hiring decisions.

Ms Reeves said that the increase in the employers’ NI rate, combined with the lowering of thresholds, would raise £25m for public services.

However, she sugared the pill, also announcing the employment allowance will rise from £5,000 to £10,500.

The Chancellor said: “This means 865,000 employers won’t pay any national insurance at all next year, and over one million will pay the same or less than they did previously.

“This will allow a small business to employ the equivalent of four full-time workers on the national living wage without paying any national insurance on their wages.”

The Chancellor also targeted wealth and inherited wealth.

Inherited pensions, formerly exempt from Inheritance Tax, will be subject to it. The threshold will be frozen (effectively, a rise). The Chancellor reintroduced the cap on lifetime pension pots, which was introduced and then scrapped under the Conservatives.

Farmers leaving estates worth over £1m will be subject to 20% in inheritance tax. Capital Gains Tax on shares and dividend income (unearned income) will rise from 10% to 18% for standard-income taxpayers and to 24% for higher-rate income taxpayers.

For those at the upper edges of income, there was even more bad news. The Chancellor announced the abolition of Non-Dom tax status, which allows the wealthy to duck tax on their income by claiming to be based abroad. That is unlikely to hit many taxpayers, but closing the Non-Dom loophole is an important symbolic act.

Rachel Reeves’s big gamble is that, by frontloading tax increases, there will be no need for substantial future tax rises for the next three years or so. Having boxed herself in on employee NI and income tax, Rachel Reeves left herself limited room for manoeuvre, making tax rises essential if she was to balance the books and fund unaccounted-for expenditures. As examples of the foregoing, Ms Reeves revealed that although the previous government announced compensation schemes for Post Office employees and postmasters and the victims of the contaminated blood scandal, it had not budgeted for funding them and – as Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury Laura Trott confirmed afterwards, had no intention of standing by the public sector pay awards it announced at the Budget in March.

The second gamble is that injecting money into capital infrastructure projects will drive forward growth and economic activity. If that happens, it will buck a two-decade-long trend of stagnation and industrial failure. If that works, Labour will reap the benefits; if it doesn’t, and if public services do not improve markedly, Labour will suffer.

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Business

Number of Welsh companies with unpaid bills hits 2024 high

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THE NUMBER of Welsh companies with overdue invoices on their books reached a 2024 high in September, according to new research from R3, the UK’s insolvency and restructuring trade body.

R3’s analysis of data provided by Creditsafe shows that 18,360 Welsh businesses had unpaid invoices on their books last month – the highest monthly total of the year so far.

The number of Welsh firms with overdue invoices on their books rose by 3.7% in September 2024 when compared to September 2023’s total of 17,709.

Bethan Evans, Interim Chair of R3 in Wales, says: “The rise in businesses failing to pay their bills on time is a clear sign that economic recovery in Wales is still fragile.

“While some sectors may be bouncing back, many firms are still grappling with the ongoing effects of rising costs, wage pressures, and reduced consumer spending, which is making it harder for them to manage their cash flow effectively.”

The number of overdue invoices in Wales also reached a 2024 high in September, with a total 145,687 recorded. This is a slight yearly rise of 0.3% when compared to September 2023’s total of 145,273.

Bethan, who is a partner at Menzies LLP, continues: “Wales’s business debt burden has crept up every month since March and this is creating a growing financial pressure for businesses.

“Without a consistent improvement in payment practices or cash flow, many companies may find it increasingly difficult to manage their debt and maintain operations, and we could see more and more businesses in Wales turning to a formal insolvency solution as a result.

“I would urge business owners and directors that are seeing their debt levels rise to seek advice as soon as they can from a qualified professional. Most R3 members in Wales will be happy to provide a free initial consultation so you can explain the challenges you’re facing, and help you understand the best course of action for you and your business.”

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