News
Basic Income for Care Leavers in Wales, pilot announced – Tories against scheme

FOLLOWING engagement with several experts, stakeholders and care leavers, the Welsh Government has outlined plans to extend support for care leavers through a Basic Income pilot in Wales.
The pilot will enhance the support available to young people as they leave care and assess the impact that has on them. It will provide a test for the stated benefits of basic income, such as addressing poverty and unemployment and improving health and financial wellbeing.
All young people leaving care who turn 18 during a 12-month period, across all local authority areas, will be offered the opportunity to take part in this pilot. The pilot will begin during the next financial year, and we anticipate over 500 young people will be eligible to join the scheme.
The pilot will run for a minimum of three years with each member of the cohort receiving a basic income payment of £1600 per month for a duration of 24 months from the month after their 18th birthday.
The Welsh Government involved care leavers directly in the development of the pilot as well as working with professionals in Local Authorities and have also established a Technical Advisory Group, chaired by Professor Sir Michael Marmot, bringing together experts in basic income and support for care leavers to inform the development and evaluation of the pilot.
Outlining the reasoning behind the pilot, Minister for Social Justice Jane Hutt said: “Our Basic Income announcement today complements the Welsh Government’s ambition to ensure the most vulnerable in our society are supported. We know we’re in the midst of a cost-of-living crisis and we’re determined to continually look at how best to support individuals in Wales who live in poverty.

Care leavers have a right to be properly supported as they develop into independent young adults. It’s also important to note that this policy is underpinned by the United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Child (UNCRC), emphasising our commitment to strengthening the rights of children and young people in Wales.
Yet too many young people leaving care continue to face significant barriers to achieving a successful transition into adulthood. Our Basic Income pilot is an exciting project to deliver financial stability for a generation of young people that need it most.
The pilot will build on the existing support offered to look after children in Wales and ensure young people who take part in this pilot get all the support they need to give them the best possible chance to make their way in life and the transition out of care better, easier and more positive.
We are fully committed to supporting those living in poverty, ensuring they receive adequate financial support so that everyone in Wales can live happy and healthy lives.”
Emphasising the importance of the pilot to care leavers, Catriona Williams OBE, Chair of Voices from Care Cymru said
“We are grateful to the Minister for the time she spent with young people from across Wales on Saturday to listen to their views about the Pilot. It is critical for it to succeed that the voices of care experienced children and young people are heard on decisions like this that directly affect their lives. We look forward to working with the Welsh Government to help ensure that the Pilot is successful and delivers the best possible outcomes for care experienced young people in Wales so they can thrive. ”
The Welsh Government’s Technical Advisory Group on Basic Income, chaired by Professor Sir Michael Marmot said: “The Technical Advisory Group for the Welsh Basic Income Pilot want to put on record our support for this policy. Whilst we may have differing opinions on how a basic income can work on a wider scale, we can all agree that any scheme aimed at helping a particularly vulnerable group should be welcomed and intend to provide Welsh Government with the support it needs in making this a success.”
Finally, outlining the importance of measuring the results and ensuring the continued support for care leavers in Wales, the Minister stated: “The pilot is specifically being designed to enable participants to receive more than just a basic transfer of cash; support will also be offered that is designed to build up their confidence to negotiate the world outside of care.
This extra support will include, for instance, financial well-being training and signposting to all available support provided by Welsh Government and other partner organisations.
I want to thank all the stakeholders, experts and partner organisations that have made this a reality. We’re committed to delivering for the people of Wales and ensuring we support the most vulnerable in our society. Our basic income pilot delivers for young people leaving care in Wales and emphasises our commitment to tackling the scourge of poverty.”
The Welsh Conservatives have said that Labour is not living in the real world, and that the scheme, if rolled out would cost billions -whist the NHS is struggling.
Shadow Minister for Social Partnership, Joel James MS, said: “Whilst I wholeheartedly support helping the poorest and most vulnerable in our country, the Labour Government is not even close to living in reality with this trial.
“Countless trials from across the globe have found Basic Income does not have the expected outcomes as it fails to incentivise work and proves time after time to be a waste of public money.
“If rolled-out across the board with every adult in Wales receiving £1,600 a month it would cost nearly £50 billion a year, and at the same time reward the wealthiest in society rather than helping those who need it most.
“Our NHS is at breaking point and our economy is in a fragile state, but instead of tackling those issues head-on, Labour are more interested in Basic Income – which will cost the country an absolute fortune.”
Welsh Liberal Democrat Leader Jane Dodds, who has campaigned strongly in favour of the introduction of UBI trials, said: “Although I would have liked to see a wider pilot, today’s announcement is a significant step in the right direction and will be one of the most generous trials we’ve seen globally.
“However, I’d also like to see the Welsh Government outline how they intend to promote uptake of the scheme. We know that unfortunately care leavers have very low uptake of existing Government assistance schemes, so we have to ensure this opportunity is effectively promoted to those who qualify.”
Welsh Liberal Democrat Leader Jane Dodds, who has campaigned strongly in favour of the introduction of UBI trials, said: “Although I would have liked to see a wider pilot, today’s announcement is a significant step in the right direction and will be one of the most generous trials we’ve seen globally.
“However, I’d also like to see the Welsh Government outline how they intend to promote uptake of the scheme. We know that unfortunately care leavers have very low uptake of existing Government assistance schemes, so we have to ensure this opportunity is effectively promoted to those who qualify.”
At the height of the pandemic, the leader of Plaid Cymru has called on the Welsh Government to introduce a universal basic income.
Speaking in 2020, Adam Price said the temporary universal basic income for the next month would help provide adequate support for the self-employed during the crisis.
The proposed emergency payment would give the self-employed security for a limited period ahead of any further announcement of support from the UK Government.
“The Coronavirus isn’t just a health crisis – it’s an economic crisis,” he said.
“Millions of people – particularly the self-employed, freelancers, sole traders, and those working in the gig economy or on zero hours contracts are facing a catastrophic loss of income due to the crisis which will now be exacerbated by the lockdown.
“What’s lacking is what people urgently need – certainty. Certainty that they can pay their bills, certainty that they will be able to put food on the table and certainty that they will get through this.
“That’s why we’re calling on the Welsh Government to provide an emergency Universal Basic Income for a month as the quickest, simplest, and surest way of providing much needed certainty for the self-employed, freelancers and those on zero hours contracts until the UK Government finally step up to the plate.
CONTROL OF TAX AND WELFARE
Plaid Cymru is saying that Wales needs control of tax and welfare powers to run a “comprehensive” Universal Basic Income (UBI) pilot.
Luke Fletcher MS, Plaid’s spokesperson for the economy, has welcomed yesterdays announcement of a basic income pilot, but has warned that the Welsh Government will have to “curb” its “ambition” if it wants to go further.
The Welsh Government has outlined plans for a £1600 a month basic income pilot for care leavers in Wales, in which young people leaving care who turn 18 during a 12 month period, across all local authority areas, will be offered the opportunity to take part in the pilot.
Luke Fletcher said: “This pilot is a step in the right direction for the Welsh Government, but it’s really important that it has the structure around it to enable it to meet the ambition of addressing poverty and unemployment, as well as improving health and financial wellbeing.
“Poverty is as multidimensional as it is widespread, and there’s no reason that this pilot cannot be expanded to a wider population from the start.
“To fully support these steps, Welsh Government must call for more powers over welfare and tax, and not let their previous reluctance to do so curb this new ambition.
“These additional powers are needed urgently, not just to run a comprehensive pilot, but to tackle rising poverty in our communities and to start planning a future Welsh Tax and Benefits system, with UBI (Universal Basic Income) at its core.”
Health
Welsh Government announces additional funding for hospices

HOSPICSE across Wales are set to receive a further £5.5 million in funding to help continue delivering essential palliative and end-of-life care services.
The cash boost is in addition to the £3 million uplift in recurrent funding confirmed in the Welsh Government’s 2025–26 budget. The new funding will support Wales’ twelve NHS-commissioned hospices — including the country’s two children’s hospices — in managing financial pressures and ensuring fair pay for staff.
Hospices in Wales play a vital role in supporting patients, families and carers during the most challenging times, and are committed to providing dignified and personalised care outside of hospital settings.
Health Secretary Jeremy Miles said: “Hospices play a vital role in supporting families at some of the most difficult times.
We are committed to strengthening and improving palliative and end-of-life care to ensure everyone who needs hospice support receives dignified and personalised care, outside of hospital.”
Liz Booyse, Chair of Hospices Cymru, welcomed the announcement: “We welcome the Welsh Government’s commitment of funding. It is a testament to the importance of the hospice sector within our healthcare system, and we are immensely grateful. Our services provide vital care and support to over 20,000 children and adults affected by terminal illnesses each year.
This funding is a significant step forward, and we will continue working in partnership with the Welsh Government to achieve a sustainable funding settlement that will bring greater stability to the Welsh hospice sector.”
Matthew Brindley, Policy and Advocacy Manager for Wales at Hospice UK, added: “Recent years have been very tough for Wales’s hospices, amid a combination of rapidly rising costs and ever-growing need for end-of-life care.
We’re grateful to the Welsh Government for recognising both the pressure hospices are under, and the immense value they bring to Wales’ health and social care system.
It’s vital we continue to work together toward a more sustainable approach to hospice funding in Wales. Our population is ageing, with increasingly complex health needs. We need a strong, robust palliative and end-of-life care system — and hospices in Wales are ready to play their part.”
News
Welsh Labour dominance under threat in closest Senedd race in 25 years

New electoral system and rising support for Reform could reshape political landscape in 2026
WELSH Labour’s long-standing dominance in Cardiff Bay could come to an end at the 2026 Senedd Election, with the latest projections showing the party only narrowly ahead of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK and Plaid Cymru in what is set to be the tightest race in a generation.
Cavendish, one of the UK’s leading public affairs and communications consultancies, today (Thursday, April 10) launched its new Senedd Seat Projector, revealing dramatic shifts in public support and the likelihood of a multi-party government.
Using polling data and modelling based on the new proportional voting system and enlarged Senedd, Cavendish forecasts that Labour may secure 28 seats—just one ahead of Reform on 27, with Plaid Cymru close behind on 24.
Under the reformed system, 96 members will be elected across 16 new constituencies, with each electing six MSs. The changes are expected to significantly alter how campaigns are run and how votes are converted into seats.
Coalition government likely
Cathy Owens, Director at Cavendish, said a coalition government appears almost certain.
“Our Senedd Seat Projector sets out a stark reality for Welsh Labour,” she said. “It shows a coalition between Labour and Plaid Cymru as the most likely outcome, potentially with joint First Ministers.
“Otherwise, a combination of the Conservatives, Reform, and Plaid Cymru would be needed to secure a majority—a scenario that seems politically unlikely.”
Cavendish says the data reflects a “seismic” shift in Welsh politics. For the past 25 years, Welsh Labour has polled consistently between 35% and 40%. But over the last year, support for Labour has dropped significantly, with Reform now regularly polling at similar levels.
The polling picture
Cavendish compiled projections from leading pollsters over the last 12 months. While Labour consistently leads, the margin is often razor-thin. A sample of projections includes:
Survation (April 2025):
- Labour: 28 seats (27%)
- Reform: 27 seats (24%)
- Plaid Cymru: 24 seats (24%)
- Conservatives: 15 seats (15%)
- Lib Dems: 2 seats (5%)
- Greens: 0
Beaufort (December 2024):
- Labour: 28 seats (27%)
- Reform: 28 seats (24%)
- Plaid Cymru: 20 seats (18%)
- Conservatives: 17 seats (17%)
- Lib Dems: 2 seats (6%)
- Greens: 1
YouGov (December 2024):
- Labour: 25 seats (23%)
- Reform: 25 seats (24%)
- Plaid Cymru: 24 seats (24%)
- Conservatives: 19 seats (19%)
- Lib Dems: 2 seats (5%)
- Greens: 1
Redfield & Wilton (June 2024):
- Labour: 38 seats (36%)
- Reform: 11 seats (11%)
- Plaid Cymru: 24 seats (22%)
- Conservatives: 20 seats (18%)
- Lib Dems: 2 seats (6%)
- Greens: 1
The variation highlights the volatility of Welsh politics under the new system, with small shifts in support having a significant impact on seat distribution.
Campaigns will need to adapt
Cathy Owens added: “The new system rewards efficient, geographically spread support. Parties will need to rethink their campaign strategies completely.
“There will be six types of marginal seats, and organisations that want to influence manifesto pledges will need to engage far more strategically than before.”
Cavendish says the Senedd Seat Projector offers a unique insight into the upcoming election and will be an essential tool for journalists, analysts, campaigners and the public.
The tool is now live on the Cavendish website, along with a full report on Senedd reform.
Cavendish will also host a LinkedIn Live event featuring Cathy Owens and fellow director Nerys Evans, in conversation with journalist Will Hayward, to discuss the findings and what they mean for the future of Welsh politics.
Business
House prices edge up in Wales as economic concerns hit confidence

HOUSE prices in Wales continued to edge upwards in March, according to the latest Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Residential Market Survey. However, short-term expectations for both prices and sales have declined, as economic uncertainty begins to weigh on market sentiment.
A net balance of 6% of Welsh surveyors reported that house prices were higher over the past three months—the first quarter of 2025—although the increase was marginal.
Despite the slight rise, confidence in the near-term outlook has weakened. A net balance of -24% of respondents now expect house prices to fall over the next three months.
Sales expectations have also taken a downturn. A net balance of -39% of Welsh respondents anticipate a fall in sales during the second quarter of the year, a significant drop from the 12% expecting growth in February.
The decline in optimism follows a fall in demand last month. A net balance of -25% of respondents reported a reduction in new buyer enquiries, while agreed sales also slipped, with a net balance of -7% reporting a fall—marking the second consecutive month in negative territory.
On the supply side, however, there was a more positive signal. A net balance of 24% of Welsh surveyors said there had been an increase in new instructions to sell.
Looking further ahead, the longer-term outlook remains more upbeat. Although the 12-month sales balance has now turned negative, a net balance of 33% of Welsh respondents still expect prices to be higher in a year’s time.
In the lettings market, a net balance of -17% of Welsh respondents reported a fall in tenant demand in March, while landlord instructions fell sharply, with -50% reporting a decline. Nonetheless, rents are expected to rise in the short term, with a net balance of 33% anticipating increases over the next three months.
Anthony Filice FRICS of Kelvin Francis Ltd in Cardiff said: “There are increased levels of instructions and a healthy level of viewings. Sales are being regularly agreed and vendors are increasingly taking advice on accepting offers.”
On the lettings market, he added: “There is a healthy choice of properties available, but with rising rents, tenants are taking time to select. The lower-priced properties are letting the quickest.”
RICS Chief Economist Simon Rubinsohn commented on the UK-wide picture: “The expiry of the stamp duty break was always likely to trigger a pause in activity. However, the latest results—and anecdotal evidence from respondents—suggest sentiment has also been dampened by the recent wave of negative macroeconomic news.
“Going forward, much will depend on the broader economic impact of the emerging trade war and how the Bank of England responds. While longer-term expectations remain relatively resilient, they could shift quickly if global headwinds intensify.”
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