Politics
Poll predicts narrow Labour win for Mid-South Pembrokeshire seat
THE NEW general election seat of Mid and South Pembrokeshire is expected to see a narrow Labour win over the Conservatives, against a projected landslide win for Keir Starmer nationally, in what is a now a six-way local battle for your vote.
As part of constituency changes, Pembrokeshire’s seats of Preseli Pembrokeshire and Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, are now no more.
As part of the changes, bits of north Pembrokeshire – including St Davids and– are joining the new Mid and South Pembrokeshire constituency.
Other parts of the north of the county are now in the new Ceredigion Preseli constituency; areas including Fishguard, Crymych and Maenclochog joining with Ceredigion.
With a July 4 date set for the general election, the currently declared candidates for Mid and South Pembrokeshire are: Welsh Liberal Democrat Alistair Cameron, with Stephen Crabb for the Conservatives, Stuart Marchant for Reform UK, James Purchase for the Green Party, Cris Tomos for Plaid Cymru, and Henry Tufnell for Labour.
Global public opinion and data company YouGov is predicting Labour’s Keir Starmer could be heading to Downing Street with a historic majority of 194 seats, a central projection of 422 Labour wins, which would be bigger than Tony Blair’s 1997 victory, and the second largest majority in British political history after Stanley Baldwin’s figure of 210 in 1924.
With the new boundary changes Wales will be dropping from 40 seats to 32 seats after the general election, and YouGov’s model has Labour winning 28 of them.
YouGov’s figures for the new Mid and South Pembrokeshire seat predict a Labour win, with 42.6 percent of the vote, followed by Conservatives on 33.4, Reform 9.4, Plaid Cymru 7.4, Liberal Democrats 3.6, and Green 2.8.
Labour, Conservative and Liberal Democrat candidates have previously outlined why you should have their vote.
Green candidate James Purchase was walking the long-distance pilgrim trail to Santiago de Compostela in Spain when the election was declared.
“I, James Purchase, was eating a pilgrim’s meal with my wife, Carolyn, when I heard someone mumble in Spanish something about ‘Sunak’ – whilst pointing at their phone and looking at us.
“We are walking the long-distance pilgrim trail to Santiago de Compostela in Spain and our fellow peregrines knew us to be from Walesland!
“I immediately guessed what was afoot and my online news feed confirmed my horror. I feel certain that Rishi Sunak waited until I was out of the country before calling the election! What other reason could there be – as everyone said it would be an Autumn election?
“However, his plan has been foiled as we have an excellent Pembrokeshire Green Party Committee looking after things whilst I’m away and I shall be back as fast as my little legs will carry me … literally!”
Plaid’s Cris Tomos, a former county councillor and north county community activist, said: “I will be focussing my campaign on how greater powers can be given to communities and neighbourhoods to address local employment, energy and home building opportunities and develop neighbourhood plans to support carers and those affected by the spiralling day to day expenses and cost of living .
“There needs to be a fundamental change in British politics, a new vision of economic focus on communities and supporting small and medium size businesses within those neighbourhoods. We need to ensure communities can support and scrutinise development such as harmful waste processing sites in their neighbourhood and have the final say when harmful developments can be permanently blocked, such as the waste site in Withyhedge.”
Reform UK has been contacted for a picture and statement for its candidate, Stuart Marchant.
international news
Mandelson quits Labour over Epstein controversy
Former cabinet minister says stepping down is ‘in best interests of the party’ as questions raised over historic payments
LORD MANDLESON has resigned his membership of the Labour Party, saying he does not want to cause “further embarrassment” following renewed controversy over his past links to convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
The former cabinet minister and one-time UK ambassador to the United States confirmed his decision in a letter to Labour’s general secretary after fresh documents released by the US Department of Justice appeared to reference him in connection with Epstein’s finances.
The files suggest that three payments of $25,000 — totalling $75,000, about £55,000 at today’s exchange rates — were allegedly made to Peter Mandelson in 2003 and 2004.
Lord Mandelson said he had “no record or recollection” of the transactions and believes the allegations may be false, but intends to investigate the matter himself.
In his resignation letter, he wrote that he felt “regretful and sorry” to be linked again to what he described as the “understandable furore” surrounding Epstein.
He added that stepping down from party membership was the responsible course of action while he reviewed the claims.
“I do not wish to cause further embarrassment to the Labour Party,” he said. “I have dedicated my life to the values and success of the party and believe I am acting in its best interests.”
Ambassador role ended
Lord Mandelson had been appointed the UK’s ambassador to Washington by Prime Minister Keir Starmer in December 2024.
However, he was removed from the post last year after earlier revelations about his past friendship and contact with Epstein, including emails showing communication after the financier’s 2008 conviction.
The latest release of files has also included photographs said to show Lord Mandelson alongside an unidentified woman. He said he could not place the location or circumstances of the images.
There is no suggestion that appearing in the documents or photographs indicates criminal wrongdoing.
‘Deep regret’
Earlier this weekend, Lord Mandelson reiterated his regret for ever having known Epstein and apologised “unequivocally” to the women and girls who suffered abuse.
“I want to repeat my apology to the women and girls whose voices should have been heard long before now,” he said.
Epstein died in prison in 2019 while awaiting trial on sex trafficking charges, but investigations into his network of associates continue to generate political fallout on both sides of the Atlantic.
Labour has not yet issued a detailed statement beyond confirming it had received Lord Mandelson’s resignation.

News
Policing powers stay with Westminster as devolution debate reignites in Wales
THE UK GOVERNMENT has ruled out handing control of policing and criminal justice to Wales, triggering fresh political debate over whether the Senedd should ever take responsibility for law and order.
South Wales Central Conservative MS Andrew RT Davies said ministers were “right” to block further devolution, warning that separating Welsh forces from England would weaken efforts to tackle organised and cross-border crime.
His comments follow an exchange in the House of Commons, where Liz Saville-Roberts pressed the Home Secretary on transferring powers to Cardiff Bay. The Government confirmed it does not believe policing and criminal justice should be devolved.

“Must reflect the reality on the ground”
Mr Davies said proposals from Plaid Cymru and other devolution campaigners ignore how crime and communities operate in practice.
“The Senedd must not be put in charge of policing,” he said.
“Senedd ministers have an appalling track record on law and order. As senior police officers say, reforms must reflect the reality that many Welsh communities look east towards England far more than they do to other parts of Wales.”
Senior officers have echoed that concern.
Amanda Blackman, Chief Constable of North Wales Police, recently said her force area is “very much connected from a criminality perspective” to Merseyside and Cheshire.
“Our population move, if you like, is more east to west, west to east than it is north to south,” she said, pointing to the daily flow of commuters, shoppers and offenders across the border.
Long-running constitutional argument
Wales currently has four territorial forces – Dyfed-Powys, South Wales, Gwent and North Wales – but funding, legislation, prisons and the courts all remain under Westminster control.
Supporters of devolution argue this creates a “jagged” system, where services like health, housing and education are run by the Senedd but justice is not.
Plaid Cymru has repeatedly called for Wales to follow Scotland and Northern Ireland, both of which run their own justice systems.
They say decisions made in Cardiff could better reflect Welsh priorities, invest more in prevention, and link policing with mental health, youth services and social care.
A Plaid source said: “Communities in Wales should not have to rely on London to decide how their streets are policed. Justice should sit alongside the other services that deal with the causes of crime.”
Cost and complexity concerns
But critics warn that splitting away from England could come at a high price.
Establishing a separate legal and prison system would mean new administrative structures, courts oversight, inspection bodies and funding arrangements.
There are also practical questions around serious organised crime, counter-terrorism and specialist units that currently operate across England and Wales.
Former policing leaders have previously cautioned that criminals do not respect borders, and intelligence-sharing could become more complicated if systems diverge.
For rural areas such as Mid and West Wales, including Pembrokeshire, officers often work closely with English counterparts on drugs, county lines and cross-border burglary gangs.
Little appetite for change – for now
With the current Government making clear it has no plans to devolve the powers, the issue appears unlikely to change in the short term.
However, with constitutional reform regularly debated ahead of future elections, policing remains a live political question.
For now, responsibility for law and order stays firmly with Westminster – but the argument over who should control Wales’ justice system looks set to continue.
News
Pembrokeshire MSs Meet Conservative Leader in Cardiff Bay
Visit comes as campaigning steps up ahead of the Senedd elections on May 7
PEMBROKESHIRE Conservative Members of the Senedd were among those meeting Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch in Cardiff Bay on Friday, as political parties increase campaigning ahead of the Senedd elections.
Samuel Kurtz MS, Welsh Conservatives Group Chair, welcomed Ms Badenoch alongside Darren Millar MS and Conservative colleagues during her visit to the Senedd. Discussions focused on the party’s priorities for Wales, the economy, and the future of the United Kingdom.
With fewer than 100 days to go until polling day on May 7, the Welsh Conservatives said the visit formed part of their preparations for the election, with a focus on their “Fix Wales” campaign message.
Mr Kurtz, who is standing as a Conservative candidate for the new Ceredigion and Pembrokeshire constituency, was joined by fellow candidates Paul Davies MS, Claire George and Brian Murphy.
Following the Cardiff Bay visit, Mr Kurtz returned to Pembrokeshire to hold a public advice surgery at Lamphey Hall, where residents raised local issues and concerns despite heavy rain.
The Senedd election will take place on May 7.
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