Business
UK inflation falls to 2.3%, raising questions over interest rate cuts
UK inflation has dropped to 2.3% in April, marking its lowest level in nearly three years. However, the decline fell short of analysts’ expectations, dampening hopes for an imminent interest rate cut by the Bank of England.
City analysts had anticipated a reduction to 2.1%, closer to the Bank’s 2% target. This discrepancy led markets to adjust their forecasts, now predicting that the Bank’s current rate of 5.25% may not be reduced until August, rather than next month as previously speculated.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the decrease from March’s 3.2% was primarily due to lower energy and food costs. The last time inflation was this low was in July 2021. Significant contributions to the drop included a record 27% fall in electricity and gas prices over the past year and a modest 2.9% annual rise in food and soft drink prices, the smallest increase since November 2021.
Illustrating the ongoing strain on household budgets, furniture retailers reduced prices by 0.9% between March and April, while overall goods prices dropped by 0.8% month-on-month. However, annual services inflation, reflecting inter-company charges, remained stubbornly high at 5.9%, only slightly down from March’s 6%.
Despite the overall fall in the consumer prices index (CPI), the ONS noted that higher property rents and mortgage costs kept the alternative CPIH measure, which includes housing costs, elevated at 3% year-on-year. Petrol and diesel prices rose last month, although the price of Brent crude has recently stabilised around $83 (£65) per barrel.
KPMG UK’s chief economist, Yael Selfin, suggested that the chance of an interest rate cut next month had diminished. “Falling inflation nears the Bank of England’s target but may not suffice for an early rate cut,” she stated. Echoing this sentiment, Paula Bejarano Carbo of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research noted that core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, remains high at 3.9%. Combined with robust wage growth, this persistence could compel the Bank’s monetary policy committee to maintain rates.
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak heralded April’s CPI figure as a “major moment for the economy, with inflation back to normal,” asserting that it validated the government’s economic strategy. Conversely, Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves argued that it was premature for the Conservatives to celebrate, highlighting the ongoing pressures of soaring prices, mortgage bills, and taxes.
In the eurozone, inflation held steady at 2.4% in April.
Separate ONS data indicated a larger-than-expected rise in public borrowing for April, with the monthly deficit reaching £20.5bn. Despite a decrease in debt payments, the high cost of servicing government debt exceeded expectations, potentially ruling out pre-election tax cuts.
Economic adviser Martin Beck from the EY Item Club described the public finance figures as disappointing, suggesting that continued higher borrowing costs would likely prevent any significant fiscal easing before the next general election.
Welsh Conservative Shadow Minister for Economy and Energy, Samuel Kurtz MS, praised the inflation drop, attributing it to the UK Conservative Government’s effective economic policies. He called on the Welsh Labour Government to support the economy by fully implementing business rates relief and reforming growth taxes.
Paul Butterworth, CEO of Chambers Wales South East, South West, and Mid, noted that while the reduction in inflation was significant, it remained above the Bank of England’s target. He expressed hope that the continued downward trend might prompt an interest rate cut soon.
Meanwhile, the British Association for Counselling and Psychotherapy (BACP) warned that despite the fall in inflation, the cost of living crisis continues to severely impact mental health. Their recent survey revealed that 74% of respondents felt their mental health was worsened by the crisis, with particularly high impacts on those with pre-existing conditions, women, ethnic minorities, and lower-income households.
BACP’s Director, Dr Lisa Morrison Coulthard, emphasised the need for government action to address these mental health challenges. The BACP has proposed a 13-point action plan to improve access to mental health services, stressing the importance of funding and support for vulnerable populations.
As the nation grapples with economic and mental health pressures, the government’s response to these intertwined issues will be crucial in the coming months.
Business
Cardiff airport investment under fire as Qatar link stalls despite £400m public backing
Ministers admit no meetings with airline that once received Welsh Government marketing support
THE FUTURE of Cardiff Airport’s long-haul ambitions has been thrown back into the spotlight after Welsh ministers admitted they have not personally met Qatar Airways executives — despite the airline once operating the airport’s flagship international route and benefiting from a publicly funded marketing partnership.
The admission has prompted fresh questions over whether taxpayers are getting value for the almost £400 million of public money that has been invested in the airport since it was bought by the Welsh Government in 2013.
South Wales Central Conservative MS Andrew RT Davies said the lack of direct engagement was “unacceptable”, arguing that ministers had failed to prioritise restoring one of Wales’ most important global connections.
In written questions to Economy Minister Rebecca Evans and Transport Minister Ken Skates, he asked how many times they had met Qatar Airways since August 2024.
Both confirmed they had not held any meetings.
Ms Evans said commercial negotiations are led by the airport’s executive team and added she would “very much welcome” the route’s return when the time is right.
Mr Skates said responsibility for the airport sits outside his portfolio and declined to comment further while discussions are ongoing.

Flagship route
Qatar Airways launched daily flights between Cardiff and Doha in 2018 to considerable fanfare.
At the time, ministers described the service as “transformational”, linking Wales directly to one of the world’s biggest aviation hubs and providing one-stop access to more than 150 destinations across Asia, Australia, Africa and the Middle East.
Business groups said the route would make Wales more attractive to inward investors and exporters, while tourism chiefs hoped it would bring higher-spending international visitors.
To promote the link, the Welsh Government entered into a two-year marketing partnership with the airline, understood to be worth around £1 million, aimed at raising Wales’ profile overseas and encouraging travel through Cardiff.
The agreement funded joint advertising and promotional campaigns in international markets.
However, the route operated for less than two years before being suspended at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020.
While Qatar Airways has since restored flights to other UK airports including Heathrow, Manchester and Birmingham, Cardiff remains the only former UK destination where services have not resumed.

Value for money questions
The situation has reignited debate over whether the public investment delivered lasting benefits.
Critics say the combination of direct airport funding and marketing support should have secured a more sustainable presence from a global carrier.
They question whether the advertising partnership represented value for money if the route ultimately disappeared and has yet to return.

For some observers, the absence of Qatar has become a yardstick for judging the success of government ownership.
After more than a decade and hundreds of millions of pounds in loans and support, they argue, Wales should be seeing stronger international connectivity rather than retreat.
Supporters counter that the pandemic severely disrupted aviation worldwide and that rebuilding routes takes time, particularly for smaller regional airports.
They also note that commercial airline negotiations are typically handled by airport management rather than ministers.

Passenger recovery
Cardiff Airport was purchased by the Welsh Government for £52m to prevent its closure and safeguard jobs.
Since then it has required repeated financial support packages to maintain operations and invest in infrastructure.
Passenger numbers remain below pre-pandemic levels, and the airport continues to compete with Bristol, which offers a far wider range of routes and attracts many Welsh travellers across the border.
Industry analysts say long-haul services such as Doha are especially important because they connect regions directly to global markets without relying on London hubs.
Without them, airports risk being seen as secondary or feeder operations.
Political pressure
Mr Davies said the government needed to show greater urgency.
“Senedd ministers have ploughed almost £400 million into Cardiff Airport since they bought it – yet they haven’t even bothered to meet with a major airline to re-establish a crucial international link,” he said.

“When that level of public money is involved, people expect leadership.
“Getting flights back should be a priority.”
The Welsh Government maintains it remains supportive of restoring the route and says talks with Qatar Airways are continuing through airport executives.
But for many travellers and businesses, the key question remains simple: after years of investment and promises, when will Wales once again have a direct long-haul link to the world?
Until Qatar — or another global carrier — returns, critics say, that question will continue to hang over Cardiff Airport’s future.
Business
Croeso awards return to celebrate Pembrokeshire’s tourism stars
Colin Jackson to host major industry night as entries open for 2026 event
THE CELEBRATION of Pembrokeshire’s tourism and hospitality sector is officially underway as the Visit Pembrokeshire Croeso Awards return for 2026 after a two-year break.

The prestigious awards, designed to recognise businesses that go above and beyond to deliver exceptional visitor experiences, are back with what organisers describe as “fresh energy and renewed ambition”.
This year’s ceremony will be hosted by Welsh sporting legend Colin Jackson CBE, the Olympic silver medallist and former world champion hurdler, who will act as compère for the evening.
The awards will take place on Thursday (Oct 29), bringing together leading hotels, attractions, restaurants and tourism operators from across the county for a night of celebration and recognition.

Seventeen categories are open for entry, including Best Hotel, Best Place to Eat, Accessible & Inclusive Tourism Award and Rising Star, highlighting both established operators and emerging talent within the industry.
Organisers say the event is not only about rewarding excellence, but also about developing the next generation of hospitality professionals.
At the heart of this year’s ceremony is a partnership between Pembrokeshire College and the Celtic Collection. Students will gain hands-on experience in staging a live, large-scale event, working alongside front-of-house teams and industry specialists to plan and deliver the evening.
The collaboration aims to give young people practical skills while supporting the long-term future of the county’s tourism sector.
Emma Thornton, Chief Executive of Visit Pembrokeshire, said: “We are very excited to be launching our 2026 Croeso Awards building on our 2024 event through working in partnership with Pembrokeshire College and the Celtic Collection.
“We’ve taken the deliberate step to launch three months earlier than in previous years. By doing so we hope this will encourage more entries, making it much easier for businesses and organisations to submit entries well ahead of the busy spring and summer season.
“If you haven’t entered the Croeso Awards before, please make this the year that you do.”
Applications are now open via the Croeso Awards pages on the Visit Pembrokeshire website and close on Monday (March 31). The shortlist will be announced on July 1.
Support sessions to help businesses complete applications will be held every Wednesday throughout February at the Bridge Innovation Centre in Pembroke Dock.
Tickets and a limited number of sponsorship opportunities are also available.
Photo caption:
Colin Jackson CBE will host the 2026 Croeso Awards when they return this October (Pic supplied).
Business
Welsh business confidence falls sharply in January
BUSINESS confidence in Wales fell by twenty points in January, according to the latest Business Barometer from Lloyds Bank, amid weakening optimism about both trading conditions and the wider economy.
The headline confidence figure for Wales dropped to 32%, down from 52% in December 2025. Firms’ confidence in their own trading prospects fell even more steeply, down thirty points to 38%, while optimism about the wider economy declined by eight points to 27%.
Despite the downturn in sentiment, Welsh businesses reported stronger hiring intentions. A net balance of 44% of firms said they expect to increase staff numbers over the next twelve months, up twenty-four points on the previous month.
Looking ahead, businesses in Wales identified their main priorities for growth over the next six months as developing new products or services (43%), investing in staff training and skills (40%), and introducing new technology (33%).
The Business Barometer surveys around 1,200 businesses across the UK each month and has been running since 2002, providing early indicators of regional and national economic trends.
UK outlook mixed
Across the UK as a whole, business confidence slipped by three points in January to 44%. While firms’ confidence in their own trading prospects increased by seven points to 59%, optimism about the wider economy fell sharply, down fourteen points to 28%.
London recorded the highest confidence level of any UK nation or region at 68%, followed by Northern Ireland at 66% and the West Midlands at 65%.
Sector picture
Retail confidence edged up slightly in January, rising by two points to 49%. Confidence in the service sector increased by one point to 42%, marking the first rise since the summer. Construction confidence, however, fell back after a particularly strong improvement in December.
Nathan Morgan, area director for Wales at Lloyds, said the figures reflected ongoing economic pressures but highlighted some positive signals.
“Business confidence has reduced this month, reflecting wider economic headwinds,” he said. “However, hiring intentions are up sharply, with Welsh businesses planning to invest in people at scale, showing a real commitment to growth despite the challenges.”
Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist at Lloyds Commercial Banking, said firms were entering the year with confidence in their own trading prospects, even as concerns about the broader economy persisted.
“The first rise in confidence in the services sector in seven months is encouraging, given the sector’s central role in supporting UK economic activity,” she said.
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