Community
Wales hurtling towards 10,000 care home bed deficit over next decade
EXPERTS have warned there will be desperate shortage of 10,000 care home beds in Wales over the next decade.
The alert has been raised specialist business property adviser Christie & Co who say there is a growing need for new, “future proof” care homes to meet the need.
Their prediction comes at a time when demand is spiralling upwards, with the over 85 population set to double over the next 20 years.
According to sector champions Care Forum Wales (CFW) the “alarming figures” illustrated the need for social care to be funded properly for existing homes to survive and encourage the development of new ones.
CFW warned that Wales was “sleepwalking into disaster” because the growing shortage of care home beds would pile pressure on the beleaguered NHS when hospitals were already virtually at breaking point.
Building new care homes is a costly business as Gwynedd and Flintshire county councils have shown recently.
They have plans to build two new facilities with a total of around 100 beds between them at an estimated cost of more than £250,000 per bed.
If their figures are correct that would mean it would mean it would cost £400 million for the extra beds needed in North Wales and £2.5 billion for the whole of Wales over the next 10 years.
Worryingly, Christie & Co also revealed in the report that 40 elderly care homes in Wales closed and only four opened between 2020 and 2023 – with no new ones in North Wales.
Among the closures in North Wales were Trewythen Hall in Gresford, Bay Court in Kinmel Bay, Gwastad Hall in Cefn y Bedd and Morfa Newydd in Greenfield with the loss of more than 160 beds.
CFW Chair Mario Kreft MBE said: “The report from Christie & Co paints a bleak picture an illustrates how the existing crisis is going to get even worse, creating a double whammy for our overstretched hospitals which have rows of ambulances queuing outside and patients on trolleys in corridors.
“Instead of being able to build more care homes to meet growing demand, we are seeing more and more care home closures.
“The cost of building new care homes and replacing the beds we are losing now is absolutely eye-watering.
“Our public finances in Wales are already under pressure so where is this money coming from?
“The way care homes are funded in Wales is a total postcode lottery with 29 variations on a theme, with most of social care being commissioned by the 22 local authorities and seven health boards.
“Within that there is a gaping North-South divide with five of the six county councils in North Wales paying the lowest fees, arrived at by a fee-fixing cartel known as the North Wales Regional Fees Group.
“The one shining exception is Conwy Council where earlier this year announced inflation-busting plans to increase fees by up to 20% after warnings that care homes were at risk of financial meltdown and closure.
“Following a long-running campaign by Care Forum Wales they have introduced fairer fees which reflect the actual cost of providing care for vulnerable people in privately run homes, including those with dementia.
“That came about because Conwy broke away from the North Wales Regional Fees Group and took our advice by commissioning leading healthcare economists Laing & Buisson to analyse the true costs of care providers for the current year.
“It’s and internationally recognised tool to ensure that and those living and working in care homes can receive the best care, while at the same time, ensuring that the
“This is something we have been calling for over many years. All we want is fairness in line with the Welsh Government’s ‘Let’s agree to agree’ guidance.
“The fundamental issue threatening the viability of care homes is the unrealistically low fees that the vast majority of councils and health boards pay, fees that come nowhere near covering the true cost of providing care.
“Economically, it would make a lot more sense to ensure the financial security of our existing care homes instead of just relying on the forlorn hope that somebody is going to magically build enough new ones to meet current needs and the increasing demands for social care.
“We’ve had a generation of injustice and it’s a generation where the institutional prejudice and discrimination against the private care sector in Wales has meant that those living and working in these fantastic community assets have not been valued.
“The problems we have in social care lead to the pressures in the NHS which lead of course then to extra costs being placed on the NHS which would largely be alleviated if local authorities had a more enlightened approach to social care.
“If Conwy can do it, the other five local authorities in North Wales can and should do it and of course, the money has always been there. It’s how you politically choose to spend it.
“Across the famous Foryd Bridge, which links Kinmel Bay and Rhyl, Denbighshire County Council is budgeting announced much smaller increases of around 8% on rock bottom fees which have been immediately wiped out by inflation and the cost of living crisis.
“The vastly differing rates mean that Denbighshire will be paying £9,224 a year less per person than Conwy towards the cost of giving exactly the same level of nursing care to residents.
“It is simply an outrage. It’s an affront to the families that that bridge spanning the mouth of the River Clwyd can mean such a massive difference for vulnerable people, including those with dementia.
“The families of those people, who will often be expected to make up the difference, need to ask why and quite frankly, it is a bridge too far.
“This is undoubtedly a stealth tax on families and quite frankly, the people making these decisions in those authorities should be utterly ashamed of themselves in the way they are betraying vulnerable people including those with profound dementia and their families.
“What this demonstrates is that there is an urgent need for us to look again at the way social care is funded.
“We need a national approach to eliminate this iniquitous postcode lottery so that the people for whom we provide care and our staff are treated fairly.
”This is too important to be left to local authorities and health boards alone – it has to be driven by the Welsh Government.”
Pictured: Mario Kreft MBE, Chair of Care Forum Wales
Community
Police join Prostate Cymru Walk of Wales on Pembrokeshire coast
OFFICERS from Haverfordwest Neighbourhood Policing and Prevention Team have taken part in the Prostate Cymru Walk of Wales, completing the scenic leg from Porthclais to Whitesands.
The walk gave the team the chance to support an important cause while helping raise awareness of prostate cancer, which affects one in eight men in the UK and is the most common cancer among men in Wales.

Taking in one of Pembrokeshire’s most beautiful stretches of coastline, the route formed part of a much larger challenge being undertaken between June and August 2026.
Walkers are travelling around Wales via the Wales Coast Path, averaging around 40km a day over 44 days to raise awareness and support the work of Prostate Cymru.
Police praised everyone taking part in the challenge and thanked those supporting the initiative.
Every step helps make a difference.

Community
Sir Terry Waite returns to Llangollen to praise festival’s global role
Former Eisteddfod president says music can “breathe harmony into the soul” as he continues humanitarian work
SIR TERRY WAITE returned to the Llangollen International Musical Eisteddfod on its 2026 opening day, six years after stepping down as president, to praise the festival’s continuing role in bringing people together through music.
Sir Terry, who rose to international prominence after being held hostage in Beirut for almost five years, was captured in 1987 while attempting to negotiate the release of other hostages. He was freed in 1991 and has since devoted much of his life to humanitarian work, peacebuilding and supporting people affected by conflict, homelessness and captivity.
Now in his late eighties, he remains closely connected to the Llangollen Eisteddfod, having served as its president from 2006 until 2020. During that time he became a much-loved and respected figure at the festival, and he has continued to visit regularly since leaving the role.
This year he was welcomed warmly by trustees and volunteers, as well as by Sir Karl Jenkins, who has become the 2026 Eisteddfod president and was preparing to feature in the opening concert, Uniting Nations: One World.
Sir Terry said: “It’s great to be back again because the International Eisteddfod has got a very important role to play in the world by bringing people from different communities together.
“The Eisteddfod has had a very rough time, during Covid and beyond. But it has managed to get back on its feet and it has been absolutely vital that international music goes on.”
Reflecting on the challenges the festival has faced over the years, he said: “Over the years, and I saw it when I was president, this festival has faced some very unusual challenges.
“One of them has been getting the people we want to come here from countries that are, some would say, beyond the pale politically, and getting visas for such people is exceptionally difficult. The team here struggle with that problem.
“I remember years ago we got hold of the chief officer in charge of visas in London. We invited him here to speak to us. He saw what was happening and understood the problem. But like all civil servants he was moved on.
“We’re now in an even more complex situation and some of our politicians, I can’t say who, but certainly some prominent people, have not necessarily helped matters at all.
“But I’ve often said that music has the capacity to breathe harmony into the soul, and that’s something that Llangollen certainly does.”
Since stepping down from the Eisteddfod presidency, Sir Terry has continued his work with a number of humanitarian organisations. He is co-founder and president of Hostage International and president of the homelessness charity Emmaus.
He said: “With Hostage International, one hour before coming here this afternoon I was talking to someone who has been held in arbitrary detention in Iraq for the last five years. I’ve been trying to help him and we’ve been giving support to his family. And that’s just one of 100 cases that we have.
“Then with the homeless, there’s also a lot of work to do. I’m still involved in this. We started off with a portable building and we now have 30 communities around England, Wales and Scotland.
“Then there’s the work I do with the children of war, who are often left without parents and left without education. Sometimes they are also highly traumatised.
“When you see what’s happening in places like Gaza and others, my goodness, so many children will grow up with no parents, no home, no education, nothing, and we have to try and do something about this.”
Sir Terry’s return added a poignant note to the opening day of the festival, underlining the Eisteddfod’s founding mission of promoting peace and friendship through music.
Community
Barclays gives no commitment to reopen west Wales branches
BARCLAYS has given no commitment to reopening bank branches in west Wales, despite calls for the banking giant to restore full services in Pembrokeshire and Ceredigion.
Paul Davies MS, Senedd Member for Ceredigion Penfro, wrote to Barclays UK Chief Executive Vim Maru urging the bank to consider reopening branches in Haverfordwest and Aberystwyth, with Tenby and Cardigan also suggested for review.
The call followed reports that Barclays is looking again at its high street presence and considering investment in its branch network.
But in a response to The Herald, Barclays stopped short of saying whether any west Wales towns were being considered for a reopened branch.
A Barclays spokesperson said: “Over the past year, we’ve added 47,000 hours of in-branch availability across the UK. We are now looking to enhance and invest in our branch footprint alongside our contact centres and app as we continue to meet the changing preferences of our customers. We’ll make more details known on proposed new branch locations at the appropriate time.
“Across Pembrokeshire and Ceredigion, we provide in person banking services from our local banking hubs in Pembroke Dock, Haverfordwest, Cardigan and Aberystwyth, and offer full branch services in neighbouring Carmarthen. Details of opening hours can be found on our website. We also operate a dedicated Welsh language telephone service available on 0333 202 7450, from 9am to 5pm, Monday to Friday.”
Barclays closed its Haverfordwest branch in May 2024. Its Aberystwyth and Cardigan branches also closed that year, leaving customers in large parts of west Wales without access to a full Barclays branch.
Mr Davies said the lack of branches in Pembrokeshire and Ceredigion represented a significant reduction in service provision for both personal and business customers.
He said: “It’s extremely disappointing that Barclays Bank currently has no branches in either Pembrokeshire or Ceredigion. This represents a significant reduction in service provision for both personal and business customers across the two counties.

“However, I welcome the bank’s recent announcement and have written to the Chief Executive to encourage Barclays to take this opportunity to restore banking services in our area by reopening branches in Pembrokeshire and Ceredigion.
“Access to face-to-face banking services remains vital for many residents, businesses and community organisations, and I hope the bank will give serious consideration to reopening the high street branches in west Wales.”
The issue is likely to be particularly significant in rural areas, where older residents, digitally excluded customers, small businesses, charities and community groups may still rely on in-person banking.
While Barclays says alternative services are available, critics argue that local banking points and hubs do not offer the same service as a fully staffed branch.
Barclays Local sites are generally cashless, while full branches offer a wider range of services. Banking hubs, operated separately through the national cash access scheme, provide counter services for basic cash transactions and access to community bankers on set days.
Mr Davies has called on Barclays to place Haverfordwest and Aberystwyth at the front of the queue if the bank proceeds with any programme to expand or reopen branches.
For now, however, Barclays has not confirmed whether any branch in Pembrokeshire or Ceredigion will return.
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