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Cllr Huw Murphy: Labour’s 25-year grip on Wales ‘is slipping fast’

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Councillor Murphy argues the failures of both Labour and Conservatives are paving the way for Reform and Plaid in 2026

THE ROMAN EMPIRE lasted 1,200 years. The British Empire, 200. But Welsh Labour? A little over 25.

Labour’s demise is the result of its failure to deliver what the people of Wales deserve. But let’s be clear: the Conservatives will not be winning in Wales in 2026 either. Fourteen years of austerity, the chaos of Liz Truss, and the disgrace of Boris Johnson’s COVID party-gate are not forgotten.

Wales falling behind

Wales sits at the bottom of the UK league tables in educational attainment. Our economy is stagnating, overly reliant on the public sector, which in turn impacts our Barnett formula settlement.

The NHS in Wales is struggling to deliver the care residents deserve. A visit to Withybush A&E reveals the reality: ambulances queued outside, unable to offload patients because the department cannot cope.

And yet, Welsh Labour has found the money to subsidise Cardiff Airport, overpay for farmland in Powys, back the doomed “Circuit of Wales” project, and even fund an Instagram bridge in Haverfordwest. Ask the public whether that money would be better spent on education or social care, and the answer is obvious — but no one seems to listen.

Health care in crisis

Many people cannot get an NHS dentist. During a recent visit to Malta to follow Haverfordwest FC in Europe, I paid €80 for dental treatment that would have cost £300 here. In Wales, millions pay National Insurance, income tax, VAT and council tax, yet cannot get an NHS dentist, be seen in A&E within a reasonable time, or even secure a GP appointment.

In Pembrokeshire, GP practices are closing and Withybush Hospital is under constant threat of further downgrading.

My role as Independent Group Leader

In 2024 I became Leader of the Independent Group, giving me the opportunity to work for my Newport & Dinas ward while fighting for Pembrokeshire as a whole. We have saved public toilets from closure, reduced the council tax rise in March, and retained three-weekly refuse collection when four-weekly was proposed.

As part of my role, I listen to the views of all political parties. I have attended a Plaid Cymru conference in Aberystwyth, a talk by Mark Drakeford in Newport, and a Reform meeting in Carmarthen. I am not a member of any political party, but by listening, it is clear there is an appetite for change.

The mood on the ground

Across Wales, people are working hard but seeing little return for their taxes. Young people cannot afford to buy a home, the elderly cannot access quality social care, and farmers — working for minimal returns — are unfairly blamed for climate change. Immigration remains a key issue that both Labour and the Conservatives have failed to resolve.

Senedd 2026 will be a reset moment. Support for both Labour and Conservatives is collapsing. Lifetime voters are turning away from the two main parties. Reform and Plaid are the clear beneficiaries.

Predictions for 2026

If the vote were held today in Pembrokeshire and Ceredigion, and with no strong independent candidate, my prediction would be:

  • 2 seats for Reform
  • 2 seats for Plaid
  • 1 seat for Labour
  • 1 seat for the Liberal Democrats, with Sandra Jervis a credible contender in Ceredigion

The sixth seat would be wide open.

Labour’s failings after 25 years in power are well documented, and even with Eluned Morgan at the helm, the party is on course to lose its grip on Wales. Keir Starmer’s flip-flopping in Westminster will not help Labour in Cardiff Bay.

Why independence from party politics matters

Cllr Huw Murphy

All administrations need strong opposition. In Pembrokeshire, the Independent Group provides that — not opposing for the sake of it, but challenging policies that harm residents and pushing for responsible use of taxpayers’ money.

The advantage of being an Independent is the freedom to represent the views of your community without party tribalism. Stephen Williams, an Independent councillor in Carmarthenshire, recently announced he will stand as an Independent for the Senedd. Perhaps Pembrokeshire and Ceredigion should consider doing the same.

This is an opinion piece by Cllr Huw Murphy, County Councillor for Newport & Dinas and Leader of the Independent Group on Pembrokeshire County Council.

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Community gathers in Tenby to remember the fallen

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TENBY residents gathered in solemn reflection at the town’s cenotaph this on Sunday (Nov 8) to mark Armistice Day and honour all those who gave their lives in service to their country.

Rain fails to dampen spirits

Despite the drizzle, a large crowd assembled at the war memorial on South Parade as the clock struck 11:00am. The Last Post was sounded, followed by two minutes’ silence observed across the town.

Civic leaders and young representatives

The Mayor of Tenby, town councillors, veterans, members of the Royal British Legion and representatives from youth groups, cadets, emergency services and local schools took part in the wreath-laying ceremony. Among them was a young boy who stepped forward to lay a poppy wreath—symbolising the next generation’s gratitude for those who made the ultimate sacrifice.

A service of unity and respect

As the names engraved on the cenotaph were read aloud, the assembled crowd stood shoulder to shoulder, remembering those from Tenby and beyond who never returned home. Local clergy led prayers, and the service was accompanied by music from the Salvation Army Band.

Following the ceremony, the parade marched through the town walls led by the Royal British Legion standard bearers, with applause from residents lining the streets.

The annual service once again showed Tenby’s deep respect for its history, its veterans and the continuing legacy of remembrance.

Lest we forget.

Photos by Gareth Davies/Herald

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Take a bow, the government’s own comedy duo

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This column is “THE ALTERNATIVE VIEW” by Mike Dello

THERE have been some terrific comedy double acts over the years – Laurel and Hardy, Abbott and Costello, Morecambe and Wise. Well, take a bow, at considerable expense, the government’s own pair: Mahmood and Lammy – the Home Secretary and Justice Secretary.

It would all be rather funny if this hapless duo hadn’t compromised the safety of the British public. The system somehow managed to accidentally release migrant sex offender Hadush Kepatu – yes, by mistake. From all accounts, this individual even tried to get back into prison, but was sent away, wandering the streets for forty-eight hours before being re-arrested.

He was then promptly deported to Ethiopia – with £500 of taxpayers’ money in his pocket. And, given we’re still bound by the European Convention on Human Rights, one suspects he may soon turn up again on a small boat, free of all checks.

Meanwhile, 49-year-old Wayne Broadhunt was murdered while walking his dog this week – reportedly by a migrant – as this scandal reaches epidemic proportions.

Starmer’s house of cards

Sir Keir Starmer’s premiership continues to unravel. Lucy Powell has defeated Bridget Phillipson in a members’ vote for the deputy leadership of the Labour Party – despite being sacked from the Cabinet by the Prime Minister only a few short weeks ago.

As BBC Political Editor Chris Mason dryly observed: “It’s a result the Prime Minister did not want.”

Then there’s Rachel Reeves, the Chancellor, now under fire over alleged rule breaches involving her personal rental affairs. Starmer is standing by her, of course – though one might think the person managing the nation’s finances should at least keep her own in order.

Conflict abroad and chaos at home

The paper-thin ceasefire in Gaza has been shattered once again, with Israel launching air strikes that killed more than a hundred civilians after the killing of an Israeli soldier by Hamas.

And across the Atlantic, Hurricane Melissa has devastated Jamaica, with winds of up to 185mph leaving a trail of destruction. In an ironic twist, some climate campaigners are finally conceding that such disasters are not becoming more frequent – as they long claimed – but more severe.

Meanwhile, Net Zero by 2030 looks increasingly like a fantasy. Wind farms aren’t delivering what was promised, and these expensive steel giants are driving energy bills through the roof. One wonders if Sir Ed Miliband, the government’s “climate chappy,” has received his knighthood yet.

True heroes among us

The word “hero” is often used loosely – but seldom has it been more deserved than in the horrific events of Saturday night, when 32-year-old Anthony Williams went on a stabbing spree aboard a passenger train between Doncaster and London.

Eleven people, including the driver, were injured – some seriously. Driver Andrew Johnston showed exceptional skill and courage in diverting the train into a platform at Huntingdon, enabling police to apprehend Williams within minutes.

Among the passengers was Nottingham Forest fan Stephen Crean, who quite literally put his body on the line to protect others, suffering grave injuries in the process. He and others on that train are the true heroes of our times – far more deserving of honours than certain MPs, lords or celebrity “captains of industry.”

Thankfully, such incidents remain rare – a small comfort when more than five million people travel safely on Britain’s railways every day.

A final word

It is worth remembering that during the 1982 Falklands conflict, Prince Andrew – as he then was – served as a Royal Navy helicopter pilot on numerous dangerous missions, including anti-surface operations and casualty evacuations. He was rightly honoured for that service.

Today, his reputation lies in ruins due to his association with Jeffrey Epstein. While King Charles was right to strip him of certain titles and privileges, his wartime honours should stand. If not, the word “hero” loses all meaning.

And finally, the BBC once again finds itself accused of manipulating footage – this time allegedly inserting false words into Donald Trump’s mouth during a Panorama documentary to suggest he incited the 2020 Capitol riot.

If true, it’s yet another reason why the broadcaster should be defunded and made to stand on its own feet, rather than forcing taxpayers to bankroll what many now see as a partisan, outdated institution.

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How did we beat Nigel Farage and Reform in Caerphilly? We stood by our convictions

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By Rhun ap Iorwerth, Leader of Plaid Cymru

PLAID CYMRU’S decisive victory in the Caerphilly byelection proves that Labour’s century of dominance in Wales is over. Voters now face a clear choice between two very different futures, and Caerphilly shows that it is Plaid Cymru’s bold, inclusive vision that carries momentum.

Caerphilly was one of the safest Labour seats in Wales. Many London commentators expected the seat to fall to Reform – perhaps even hoped it would. It would have fit the narrative that post-industrial communities naturally drift to the populist right. We proved them wrong. A message built on fairness, community and national purpose resonated with voters, and a comfortable majority voted for it.

Reform UK threw everything it had at this campaign. Busloads of activists came from Kent. Their anti-refugee banners and billboards made local people feel uneasy and sought to pit neighbour against neighbour. Reform thought it could surf a wave of anger and fear, but people in Caerphilly saw through their cynicism. They rejected the idea that Wales should be used as a stepping stone for Farage’s next Westminster project.

Plaid Cymru’s message of hope beat Reform’s hate. Where Reform shouted division, we talked about belonging. Where they peddled blame, we talked about community. That matters not just for us in Wales, but for progressives everywhere. The populist right can be beaten when people are offered hope and a vision of a fairer future.

The result couldn’t be more damning of Labour. Eluned Morgan and Keir Starmer’s brand of managerial politics does not speak to Welsh voters any more. Labour once claimed to be the natural party of Wales. “Natural” parties die when they stop standing for something. In Caerphilly, decades of complacency caught up with them.

People here no longer believe Labour represents their communities, their values or their ambitions. They see a party that has swapped conviction for calculation and focus-grouped slogans. The byelection result shows that Labour’s hold on Wales is gone.

Winning almost half the vote was no statistical fluke. It was the result of thousands of doorstep conversations, a campaign powered by volunteers, a message grounded in belief, and the charisma of a local champion in Lindsay Whittle, whose decades of hard graft mean he is known and loved by people here.

Conviction politics still works. Clarity and passion can defeat cynicism and drift.

Momentum is now with Plaid Cymru. As we move towards a fully proportional Senedd, the possibilities for genuine, people-led government have never been greater. Caerphilly has lit a fuse under Welsh politics, and it is burning brightly towards 2026.

Wales faces a simple choice. One path is regressive, built on resentment and division, dressed up in Reform’s slogans. The other is progressive, inclusive and confident, led by Plaid Cymru. The people of Caerphilly have already chosen, and their message will echo far beyond their constituency.

There are lessons here for every progressive movement in the UK. You don’t defeat extremism by copying its language or trimming your values to fit a poll. You defeat it by standing for something real. When Reform tried to weaponise Welsh programmes that help refugees to integrate, making Ukrainians feel unwelcome, we stood up to them. We defended what is right and stayed true to our values.

We are focusing on policies that will transform people’s lives, not just tinker at the edges. Our free-childcare plan is worth more than £30,000 in childcare costs in the first four years of a child’s life – the most ambitious in the UK. Our manifesto will be grounded in a recognition that too many in our communities have been left behind. We are determined to change that. Like Scotland, we will take real action to tackle child poverty through a new child payment. This is what bold, practical politics looks like – politics with purpose, ambition and heart.

When voters see authenticity, they respond. Former Labour voters, and many who had given up on politics, did not come to Plaid reluctantly. They came enthusiastically. They saw a movement that reflects their aspirations and speaks their language.

This result carries weight far beyond one seat. It shows that Starmer’s Labour, and Westminster politics as a whole, can no longer take Wales for granted. The old order of British politics is breaking down.

Starmer’s cautious managerialism offers no answers to the cost-of-living crisis, the climate emergency or the constitutional question. People want more than competence. They want conviction. Caerphilly shows that Wales is ready to build the government it deserves, in the country it believes in.

This was never about just one seat. It marks a shift in spirit. Caerphilly has opened a new chapter in Welsh politics. Hope has proved stronger than hate, belief has beaten cynicism.

The people of Caerphilly have shown the way. Labour’s old Wales is fading, and a new, self-assured Wales is taking its place – one led by Plaid Cymru.

Rhun ap Iorwerth MS, Leader of Plaid Cymru, Member of the Senedd for Ynys Môn

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