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Rugby Sevens experts make predictions for Paris 2024 Olympics

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THE Paris 2024 Olympics starts in just a matter of days, with the Rugby Sevens kicking off proceedings on July 24th, just before the official opening ceremony on the 26th. Sell-out crowds are already expected for the men’s and women’s events and there’s already a great deal of anticipation around which nations will end up in the medal tables.

Plenty of eyes are said to be on the likes of Australia and New Zealand in the battle for gold in both the men’s and women’s games. However, the men’s Fiji side will be looking to make it three golds in a row, following their iconic successes in Rio in 2016 and Tokyo in 2021. Additionally, the Argentinian men’s team are being touted as dark horses and some believe the French sides could also capitalise on a home advantage.

This is according to the predictions for this year’s Olympic Sevens from a number of experts involved in the sevens game – including current and former players and coaches – in an exclusive feature with rugby website, RugbyPass. Alongside this, several of those interviewed here have touted a selection of players they believe will be standout performers across the tournaments.

Gareth Baber and Mike Friday

Gareth Baber, the coach who famously guided the Fiji men’s side to their second gold medal in Tokyo 2020, and the current USA Men’s Sevens team coach, Mike Friday, have both predicted that the respective sides where they have strong allegiances are the ones who are in with a chance of gold.

Gareth said: “I know people will be worried about Fiji, given their track record. There’s work to be done there, but they certainly can medal. The country is steeped in sevens rugby and they’ve consistently produced some players who can really do something.”

Mike stated: “I think we’re [USA] going to be a bolt out of the blue – we have the capability to cause absolute havoc.”

Both went on to champion the antipodean and French sides too:

Gareth said: “New Zealand will be positioning themselves as real medal contenders too. I’d also back France to do well, but their major challenge is constructing a frame to help their players do their best stuff in front of the home crowd.”

Mike explained: “France in both the men’s and the women’s are contenders. But looking just at the women’s, it’s going to be the likes of Australia and New Zealand that are pushing for gold.”

Mike then singled out several players to watch from the men’s and women’s events: “You’ve got the Levi sisters who are fantastic, Jorja Miller is a real catalyst too for New Zealand, but they’ve also got Michaela Blyde and Portia Woodman – a core of excellent players. On the men’s side, Marcos Moneta for Argentina, Dupont – just because it’s him – Terry Kennedy from Ireland is just a proper baller and will make things happen.”

Katy Daley-McLean MBE and Rachael Burford

Former England and Team GB Women’s Sevens stars, Katy Daley-McLean and Rachael Burford gave these medal predictions for the women’s events:

Katy said: “Australia and New Zealand are big favourites, but with their style of rugby, I think Canada and France will be in the mix there as well.” Rachael commented: “France – although under a lot of pressure – are at their best when they’re at home…Australia and New Zealand are coming into the Olympics very strong and a lot of people are expecting them to battle it out for the gold, but it’ll depend on who stays fit for them.”

Amongst their player recommendations, they also advised to watch out for Ellie Kildunne and Megan Jones of Team GB::

Katy explained: “I reckon if she [Ellie] smashes it in the Olympics and the next Rugby World Cup, she has the potential to become a household name.” While Rachael believes: “Meg will be massive for GB, her presence will transform that team. She alone will increase the ability of the whole squad.”

Tom Mitchell and Luke Treharne

Tom Mitchell, former England and Team GB Sevens captain, and Luke Treharne, former Team GB Sevens player and current Hong Kong 7s skills coach, offered these views:

Tom stated: “Looking at Argentina, Marcos Moneta who has come back from injury to make the squad is an absolute gun when fully firing…it’s also hard to look beyond Australia and New Zealand.”

Luke said: “For the women, I’ve been toying between the two juggernauts of Australia and New Zealand, but I think New Zealand will get the gold. France will get the bronze. As for the men, I think it’s going to go something like Argentina for gold, Fiji silver and Ireland bronze.”

Naya Tapper and Jodie Ounsley

RugbyPass also got the views of former England and Team GB Women’s Sevens wing, Jodie Ounsley, as well as current USA Women’s Sevens captain, Naya Tapper.

Jodie understandably chose her former teammates to go all the way: “I have to back the GB women’s side, but Australia and New Zealand are so strong and are definitely teams to look out for.” Naya – who will be competing this summer – also demonstrated some national pride by backing her country for Olympics success: “For the women’s and men’s side I manifest USA taking the gold. Let’s hope we can come back to this conversation and praise how great I am at predictions.”

Jodie was another expert to express admiration for Team GB’s Ellie Kildunne: “She’s coming back to sevens and she’s going to bring so many fans with her and I know she will make a great impact and be a storm at the Olympics. She will get people talking for sure.” Naya went on to highlight plenty of names for the women’s events: “Ilona Maher, Maddi Levi, Teagan Levi, Michaela Blyde, Portia Woodman, Anne-Cécile Ciofani, Séraphine Okemba – with how much talent we have in the game across all teams I could go on and on.”The schedule for the men’s sevens runs from July 24 – 27th – with a break in the middle for the opening ceremony – and the women’s event begins on July 28th and concludes on July 30th. If these predictions are to be believed, fans and neutrals alike could be set to see a hotly contested series. For further details, you can find the full selection of predictions and ‘ones to watch’ from these experts here: https://www.rugbypass.com/sevens/olympics/mens-and-womens-expert-predictions/

 

Sport

Haverfordwest edge Amman in five-try thriller

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Blues stay second in Division 3 West as United snatch late bonus point

HAVERFORDWEST strengthened their promotion push with a hard-fought 29-22 win at Cwmamman Park, ending Amman United’s four-match unbeaten run — though the hosts had the final say with a dramatic injury-time penalty try.

The Blues crossed five times in a clinical display that keeps them second in Division 3 West, but they were pushed all the way by a determined Amman side who dominated large spells of territory and possession.

There was no score for the opening 20 minutes before outside-half Iestyn Griffiths broke the deadlock with a superb 45-metre penalty. Amman looked the sharper side early on, with Owain Brayley, Shaun Watkins, Caian Francis and Cian Lewis busy in attack, while Alun Lewis impressed in both defence and support play. Centres Dylan Lloyds and Luc Rees combined well to keep the visitors under pressure.

However, a quick line-out misfired and Haverfordwest punished the error. Griffiths was caught under pressure, possession was turned over and Adam Phillips finished out wide for the visitors’ opening try.

Scrum-half Lee Evans nudged United back in front with a penalty on the half-hour, but Haverfordwest responded before the break. A well-judged kick ahead unsettled the home defence and scrum-half Liam Eaton reacted quickest to touch down for a 12-6 half-time lead.

Griffiths reduced the gap early in the second half with another booming penalty, but the Blues looked dangerous every time they attacked. Wing Isaac Kelso-Jones crossed wide out to extend the lead before Griffiths once again kept Amman in touch with a long-range effort.

Despite enjoying periods of possession, the hosts lacked a cutting edge at crucial moments. Haverfordwest made their pressure count when Scott Candler went over for the bonus-point try.

Late substitutions, including Craig Price and Amman Youth product Aled Davies, added fresh energy, and another huge Griffiths penalty narrowed the deficit to 22-15. With seven minutes remaining, flanker Ioan Hartridge-Jones crossed to seemingly settle the contest at 29-15.

But Amman refused to fold. Sustained late pressure forced a flurry of yellow cards, and deep into injury time a dominant scrum earned a penalty try, securing a deserved losing bonus point despite being outscored five tries to one.

Amman now face three successive away fixtures, starting at Neyland this Saturday, followed by trips to Cardigan and high-flying Tumble.

 

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Welsh rugby faces ticket slump as Six Nations sales stall

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WALES’ Six Nations campaign is facing an unexpected off-field challenge, with thousands of seats still empty for upcoming home fixtures at Cardiff’s 74,000-capacity Principality Stadium.

Figures from the Welsh Rugby Union ticketing platform show significant availability remains for all three remaining championship games in the capital. The shortfall is most noticeable for March’s meeting with Italy, while seats are also still on sale for clashes with France and Scotland.

For a tournament traditionally regarded as the crown jewel of the Welsh sporting calendar, such availability is unusual. Home internationals in Cardiff have long been considered near-guaranteed sell-outs.\

https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/standard/1024/cpsprodpb/3d67/live/400bc7f0-296e-11ef-951f-bfad685c889d.jpg

Grassroots clubs counting the cost

Several community clubs allocated ticket packages are now scrambling to avoid financial losses.

Some club officials have taken to social media to try to shift surplus tickets. Others say they are facing invoices for thousands of pounds despite not selling their full allocations.

One grassroots representative told The Herald that unsold tickets could leave his club thousands of pounds out of pocket — a significant blow for volunteer-run organisations already balancing tight budgets.

Matchday prices range broadly depending on seating category, with some fans questioning whether the cost of attending still represents value for money.

Performance and politics

On-field struggles have coincided with uncertainty off it.

Wales endured a prolonged losing streak before breaking the run last summer and have not lifted the Six Nations title since 2023. A heavy opening defeat in this year’s championship has done little to restore confidence among supporters.

Away from results, tensions remain over the future structure of the professional regional game, with debate continuing about funding, governance and the long-term direction of Welsh rugby.

Sports economist Calvin Jones said sustained under-capacity crowds would be concerning, noting that international gate receipts form a major part of the sport’s financial model in Wales.

“The stadium is critical to the game’s financial health,” he has previously warned. “If reduced attendances became a trend rather than a one-off, that would raise serious questions.”

WRU confident of late surge

The Welsh Rugby Union insists supporter loyalty remains strong and says sales have accelerated since the tournament began.

Officials point to changing purchasing habits, with more fans buying closer to matchday rather than months in advance.

They remain confident that the atmosphere in Cardiff will remain vibrant when France visit, with hopes that traditional matchday traditions — from the anthem to the post-match celebrations — will continue to draw supporters through the gates.

Lowest crowds?

Historically, Six Nations matches in Cardiff have rarely dipped far below capacity. The lowest attendance in the tournament at the Principality Stadium came against Italy in 2002, while recent fixtures have generally drawn well over 60,000 spectators.

Whether the current dip reflects temporary frustration or a deeper shift in supporter behaviour may become clearer by the end of the championship.

For now, Welsh rugby finds itself fighting for momentum — both on the pitch and in the stands.

 

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Sport

Club mourns sudden loss of respected coach Tim Poole

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Athletic XV head coach remembered as ‘one of life’s genuinely good people’ as fixtures postponed in tribute

TENBY UNITED RFC is mourning the sudden death of Athletic XV head coach Tim Poole, a well-known and much-loved figure in Pembrokeshire and Welsh grassroots rugby.

The club confirmed earlier this week that Tim had passed away unexpectedly, prompting an outpouring of tributes from players, coaches and clubs across the region.

A long-time supporter and member of Tenby United RFC, Tim stepped into the Athletic XV head coach role last summer when the side entered the league. Club officials said he was “immensely proud” to be part of the Seasiders and quickly became a central figure in the team’s development.

Known for his approachable manner and constant smile, Tim earned respect not only for his coaching but for the time he gave to others.

Alongside his work on the pitch, he delivered Level 1 coaching courses, safeguarding sessions and first aid training, supporting volunteers and players both within Tenby and across the wider rugby community. Many credited him with helping to strengthen grassroots rugby throughout the county.

In a statement, the club said it had been “inundated with tributes and condolences”, describing the response as a reflection of “how many people he supported and inspired”.

Club representatives added: “Tim was a true rugby man, always to be seen with a smile on his face and he had time for everyone. He was one of life’s genuinely good people and will be dearly missed.”

As a mark of respect, senior fixtures scheduled for this weekend against Burry Port and St Davids have been postponed, with both visiting clubs thanked for their understanding.

The club said its thoughts are with Tim’s family and friends at this difficult time, sending particular condolences to Julie, Bethany and Joe.

Rest in peace, Tim.

 

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